Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6b734cb08be267e4f3d9b8fa377ee33aa8e1810875ccd565946b904dc607364
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $629,846
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $790,007
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $629,846 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 441 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed No | 40c | 66,610$26,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,592.1 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Yes | 60c | 60,020$36,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,007.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Yes | 60c | 42,242$25,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,896.76 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 32c | 38,072$12,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,359.06 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 29c | 35,072$10,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,254.2 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked No | 40c | 20,000$8,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,050 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 38c | 19,863$7,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,544.71 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 62c | 18,106$11,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,832.25 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 61c | 16,735$10,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,609.27 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x434e…a307backed Yes | 62c | 16,135$10,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,131.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 40c | 15,946$6,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,356 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked Yes | 66c | 15,405$10,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,180.57 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf0…153ebacked No | 38c | 15,000$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,699.98 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb2…c8bfbacked Yes | 63c | 14,002$8,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,226.42 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -5.1wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 39c | 13,400$5,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,225.85 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 61c | 10,459$6,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,075.23 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yes | 60c | 10,037$6,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,964.78 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Yes | 62c | 8,073$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,072.58 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 39c | 7,413$2,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900.97 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…c9a1backed Yes | 62c | 7,096$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,696.49 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 38c | 6,750$2,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,532.34 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 39c | 6,449$2,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,515.23 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 39c | 5,202$2,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,013.79 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Yes | 61c | 4,913$2,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,916.11 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 39c | 4,753$1,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,838.79 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes | 61c | 4,608$2,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,797.12 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 59c | 4,491$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,841.32 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 39c | 4,248$1,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,656.55 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0727…ec27backed Yes | 62c | 4,060$2,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.31 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 17c | 4,044$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.01 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 39c | 4,042$1,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,576.49 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc89b…451fbacked No | 39c | 4,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 42c | 3,840$1,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,603.74 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e957backed Yes | 61c | 3,418$2,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.99 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc478…d2e2backed Yes | 61c | 3,307$2,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.16 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 20c | 3,083$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.17 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e62…ec52backed Yes | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 18c | 3,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf661…d170backed No | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.96 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 40c | 2,956$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.29 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 22c | 2,782$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.01 | 111 | 25.2%28 W · 83 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 62c | 2,661$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.29 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 39c | 2,500$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.99 | 301 | 49.5%149 W · 152 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x283d…0dadbacked Yes | 60c | 2,375$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…0805backed Yes | 62c | 2,339$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.71 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 17c | 2,143$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.24 | 420 | 43.8%184 W · 236 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 6c | 2,095$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.26 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Yes | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 62c | 1,738$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.32 | 327 | 36.4%119 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked No | 35c | 1,705$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.44 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 71c | 1,699$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.72 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfc…4194backed Yes | 64c | 1,690$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.84 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…fabbbacked No | 38c | 1,670$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.58 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x332a…33babacked No | 40c | 1,656$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.4 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 29c | 1,562$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.62 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked No | 39c | 1,540$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.7 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed Yes | 61c | 1,500$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98f3…bf14backed No | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57dd…6ab4backed Yes | 61c | 1,481$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.59 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34cf…7188backed No | 40c | 1,403$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.09 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -43%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed No | 40c | 1,328$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.52 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x736f…d0c5backed Yes | 61c | 1,311$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.48 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed Yes | 62c | 1,200$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 21c | 1,099$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.54 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1edcbacked Yes | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82c2…2bb3backed Yes | 61c | 993.52$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.47 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Yes | 60c | 967.32$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.93 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bb…e40fbacked Yes | 62c | 956.63$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.52 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc426…20b4backed Yes | 61c | 945.9$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1a…2c0ebacked Yes | 61c | 900$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb90c…9a6abacked Yes | 61c | 830$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.7 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4782…d21ebacked Yes | 61c | 821.62$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.62 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0521…cc4abacked Yes | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.67 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d3d…ad08backed Yes | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7623…a48abacked Yes | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.67 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…22d9backed Yes | 61c | 819.49$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.6 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…49efbacked Yes | 61c | 812$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.7 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 39c | 799.98$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.99 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 60c | 798$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5a…f4c1backed No | 40c | 794.07$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.99 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 21c | 770$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.72 | 255 | 45.5%116 W · 139 L | -18.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70f5…aceebacked Yes | 61c | 748.6$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.76 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes | 59c | 737.55$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.4 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa968…aa45backed Yes | 61c | 700$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…09d1backed Yes | 61c | 695.08$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.08 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x511a…9745backed Yes | 62c | 645.16$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.16 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06c1…19c5backed Yes | 63c | 634.62$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yes | 62c | 610$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.9 | 240 | 62.5%150 W · 90 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 38c | 600$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 409 | 53.3%218 W · 191 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 39c | 600$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 143 | 42.7%61 W · 82 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 41c | 539.02$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 294 | 58.2%171 W · 123 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 277 | 52%144 W · 133 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…17c0backed No | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b59…6445backed Yes | 61c | 492.66$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.66 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb5…8b87backed Yes | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…3d95backed Yes | 60c | 484$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.6 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…fba7backed Yes | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.87 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…f830backed Yes | 80c | 458$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-05?this page
- Will Brentford vs. Manchester City end in a draw?No won
- Will Brentford win on 2025-10-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.