Premier League · resolved market
Will Brentford win on 2025-10-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca82e3dc15bfa5fc5e11ad6945e53143e1c30da21f3631b9090a9b8d17fe1354
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,317
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,748
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,317 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 17c | 7,244$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.39 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 19c | 5,000$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 20c | 4,050$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.57 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Yes | 18c | 3,252$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.35 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 10c | 2,981$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.59 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 17c | 2,764$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.85 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…c9a1backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Yes | 18c | 1,580$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.41 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,425$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.01 | 420 | 43.8%184 W · 236 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 1c | 1,333$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 270 | 24.8%67 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 17c | 1,169$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.67 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe333…b1e4backed Yes | 6c | 1,065$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Yes | 18c | 833.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.03 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 18c | 777.14$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.14 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Yes | 18c | 600$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked No | 80c | 600$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 80c | 600$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 19c | 600$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 246 | 30.5%75 W · 171 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 19c | 528.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 172 | 34.9%60 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x251d…a711backed Yes | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes | 18c | 485.55$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.75 | 118 | 28%33 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 18c | 368$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.24 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 18c | 361.11$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.95 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed No | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93c5…35f7backed Yes | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa007…3bb9backed Yes | 6c | 283.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 18c | 268.45$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.32 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5a…1427backed Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ee…5b0bbacked Yes | 18c | 261.11$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 17c | 246.5$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.02 | 262 | 29.8%78 W · 184 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8999…b190backed Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb5…8b87backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x230a…2704backed Yes | 8c | 175$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Yes | 19c | 167.68$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.86 | 63 | 27%17 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes | 19c | 155.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 360 | 36.1%130 W · 230 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked No | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Yes | 19c | 142$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc286…d936backed Yes | 18c | 110$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9f…f4afbacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 116 | 28.4%33 W · 83 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5300…a7cfbacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3185…937abacked Yes | 18c | 98.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 19c | 90$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 18c | 89.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 157 | 26.8%42 W · 115 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2361…e16ebacked Yes | 19c | 80$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb1…b027backed Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.21per pick | 45cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd724…b805backed Yes | 18c | 65.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26f7…7301backed Yes | 19c | 63.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4e…ab3cbacked Yes | 19c | 63.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 17c | 59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1046…ffd0backed Yes | 19c | 57.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7e…d8a2backed Yes | 19c | 56.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe04c…d77bbacked Yes | 19c | 53.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf4…00fbbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b58…f7cbbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…17c0backed No | 80c | 28.85$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brentford win on 2025-10-05?this page
- Will Brentford vs. Manchester City end in a draw?No won
- Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-05?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.