TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Lille OSC vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$45,653
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$48,184

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,653 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Under62c10,508$6,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,002.091,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Over54c9,343$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under33c5,447$1,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,651.331,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f59…21cbbacked Over24c5,110$1,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,215333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under49c4,084$2,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,082.819458.5%55 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under46c3,500$1,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8905151%26 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid+0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8dd…21a8backed Over22c3,000$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.7730%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over51c1,698$866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866.0321143.1%91 W · 120 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under19c1,386$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,124.5426046.2%120 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd53f…570cbacked Over50c1,092$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd8c…f75abacked Under48c1,042$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.672766.7%18 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+16.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over70c1,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7008046.3%37 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefdd…017fbacked Over52c972.01$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76e4…febcbacked Over52c961.54$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+64.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x210a…1080backed Over47c911$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.11233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-42.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Over22c800$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1763737.8%14 W · 23 L-6.2wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-31.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under48c670$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.4850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over79c660$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.87755.8%43 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Under42c635.64$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.026334.9%22 W · 41 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under74c611$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.8615649.4%77 W · 79 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over52c600$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31230448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Under46c584$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.363948.7%19 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over55c505.64$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-39.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2706654.5%36 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2706051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8d9…d7f5backed Over40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002123.8%5 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under50c489.88$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.947953.2%42 W · 37 L+6.7wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under46c460$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.46357.1%36 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under46c454.08$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.6624349.4%120 W · 123 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under53c450.05$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.5259348.4%287 W · 306 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over44c443.18$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1951225%3 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-49.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7065…5292backed Under49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.16728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-37.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001020%2 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x91ca…2ab7backed Over28c399.99$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under76c360$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.44050%20 W · 20 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+110.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under48c360$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.28143.2%35 W · 46 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under47c356.97$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.1916644.6%74 W · 92 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under74c323$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.984351.2%22 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under41c302.73$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.6733145%149 W · 182 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ca…117abacked Over39c300$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1171540%6 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93ff…84d1backed Over80c250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001030%3 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.28per pick58cpaid-44.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under12c245.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.3518847.9%90 W · 98 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Over53c244.06$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.353363.6%21 W · 12 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under48c235.91$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.6726354%142 W · 121 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Over53c234.85$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.718643%37 W · 49 L-7.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over58c227.66$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1338654.7%47 W · 39 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9958…b9acbacked Over54c220$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick65cpaid-55.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked Under46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1084252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over65c200$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1309145.1%41 W · 50 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008247.6%39 W · 43 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under46c188.23$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.645552.7%29 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under30c150.6$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.428644.2%38 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed Over71c150$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-34%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c148.68$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.852550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under50c146$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736642.4%28 W · 38 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03ca…0d05backed Over75c133.4$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd53c…5194backed Over36c119.97$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.793531.4%11 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9183…59f0backed Over53c113.21$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602934.5%10 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-39.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2c6…d14dbacked Over53c102$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.06450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under48c101.97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.0338056.6%215 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4122340.8%91 W · 132 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1bf7…ea54backed Over62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6240%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x97b2…1c44backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Under48c99.99$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5212039.2%47 W · 73 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+13.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x26f2…1761backed Over53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Under43c92.02$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.023542.9%15 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb06c…6961backed Over58c86.51$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.979058.9%53 W · 37 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d78…7b8dbacked Under80c80$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under50c77.76$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.884067.5%27 W · 13 L+9.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+99.5%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x49ab…a1bfbacked Over42c72.26$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under47c71$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.6346450.4%234 W · 230 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Under48c62.98$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.755151%26 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2b7…37d5backed Over56c62.68$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352321.7%5 W · 18 L-5.1wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-49.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Over53c59.5$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.284951%25 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e7d…fa81backed Under43c58.39$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.25250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over52c57.7$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010248%49 W · 53 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under48c55$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.67648.7%37 W · 39 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under46c54.78$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4314352.4%75 W · 68 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Over55c54.73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2912…6817backed Over64c53.23$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-46.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b5c…e3c2backed Under39c51.01$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+27.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Under69c50.73$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.912634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-37.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c4d…46e5backed Over69c50.72$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3530%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over36c50.72$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.259050%45 W · 45 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2717756.5%100 W · 77 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Under48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261850%9 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0045…9007backed Over66c49.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.992347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3169…6dccbacked Under51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.021450%7 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+30.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over78c48$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.267869.2%54 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under76c46$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.265356.6%30 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5012…4d3ebacked Under59c45.89$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.94944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9605…a2c4backed Over60c45.54$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.261833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-34.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Under47c43.71$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.173441.2%14 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6762…a9a5backed Under46c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.81850%9 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33b3…e861backed Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+52.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2831…e84dbacked Over60c40$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91d9…6c60backed Over50c39.34$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.67812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.38per pick50cpaid-78.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under40c39.2$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5214544.8%65 W · 80 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Over52c39$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.285354.7%29 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.