Ligue 1 · resolved market
Lille OSC vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40ed75eaa25f406521a6a529ad4b3a66ff00dbec098f347296167a2c878b43c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,330
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,969
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,330 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb585…53edbacked Under | 69c | 3,639$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.03 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 2,085$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.23 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 15c | 1,334$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -10.4wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 18c | 999.47$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…b78abacked Under | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 57c | 309.47$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.8 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over | 50c | 300.2$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 19c | 299.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 50c | 290$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ff…84d1backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 58cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 25c | 197.61$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.77 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 47c | 96$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…c154backed Under | 65c | 77.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.38 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 39c | 77.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 36c | 76.28$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.37 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 70c | 73.69$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 380 | 56.6%215 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4e…2564backed Under | 49c | 59.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Over | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc709…0a40backed Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e66…9c1ebacked Under | 71c | 36.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd3…dc9bbacked Over | 52c | 36.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Under | 50c | 34.8$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x929a…4dc9backed Under | 49c | 32.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd53c…5194backed Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…3e9fbacked Under | 72c | 28.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 71c | 18.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.24 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lille OSC vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 3.5this page
- Lille OSC vs. Le Havre AC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Lille OSC vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Lille OSC vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Lille OSC vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Le Havre AC (-2.5)Lille OSC won
- Spread: Lille OSC (-1.5)Le Havre AC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.