Ligue 1 · resolved market
Spread: Lille OSC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b3fe1fcc44b178f9d63e7e7c545487471d0f333c0fde22349269bfac2841c7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Le Havre ACof Lille OSC, Le Havre AC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,543
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,010
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,543 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Le Havre AC | 77c | 8,919$6,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,062.17 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Lille OSC | 15c | 7,999$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.86 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Le Havre AC | 57c | 4,772$2,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050.48 | 243 | 49.4%120 W · 123 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Lille OSC | 43c | 4,640$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995.36 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Le Havre AC | 58c | 3,454$2,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450.64 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Lille OSC | 43c | 3,221$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Lille OSC | 45c | 2,111$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Lille OSC | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -4.6wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Lille OSC | 16c | 641.53$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.32 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Le Havre AC | 56c | 535.7$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 106 | 40.6%43 W · 63 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Le Havre AC | 55c | 500.62$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.87 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Le Havre AC | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Lille OSC | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lille OSC | 42c | 422.02$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.13 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Le Havre AC | 62c | 270$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.83 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c22…0c2cbacked Lille OSC | 24c | 208.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Le Havre AC | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 120 | 39.2%47 W · 73 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Le Havre AC | 41c | 175$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.25 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x753e…5c11backed Lille OSC | 61c | 164.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c38…291fbacked Lille OSC | 33c | 141.15$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.58 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -74%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked Lille OSC | 42c | 130.95$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Le Havre AC | 57c | 118.36$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.89 | 183 | 51.4%94 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Lille OSC | 55c | 115.96$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.89 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Le Havre AC | 55c | 108.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.9 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Lille OSC | 33c | 108.19$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.59 | 178 | 17.4%31 W · 147 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Lille OSC | 50c | 104$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Le Havre AC | 58c | 100.52$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Lille OSC | 53c | 100.22$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.45 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Le Havre AC | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.1 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc23f…6c8abacked Lille OSC | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Le Havre AC | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.15 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Lille OSC | 42c | 91.09$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.02 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Lille OSC | 39c | 84.64$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.43 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Lille OSC | 43c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Le Havre AC | 55c | 70.75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.83 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccfa…6ee7backed Lille OSC | 42c | 70$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Lille OSC | 44c | 66.9$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…82f2backed Lille OSC | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Lille OSC | 35c | 65.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.23per pick | 28cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2ece…0163backed Lille OSC | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70df…bca8backed Lille OSC | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Le Havre AC | 56c | 56.82$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Lille OSC | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Lille OSC | 50c | 54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +9.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Lille OSC | 42c | 48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…6c60backed Lille OSC | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.38per pick | 50cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Lille OSC | 43c | 38.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Le Havre AC | 58c | 34.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Lille OSC | 44c | 30.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked Le Havre AC | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Le Havre AC | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Le Havre AC | 60c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Le Havre AC | 45c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 266 | 60.5%161 W · 105 L | +25.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Le Havre AC | 56c | 21.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lille OSC (-1.5)this page
- Lille OSC vs. Le Havre AC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Lille OSC vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Lille OSC vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Lille OSC vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Lille OSC vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Le Havre AC (-2.5)Lille OSC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.