Premier League · resolved market
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-10-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53794a11d4048a1c8424e85465581d6555a0ef710e4628551a248eabd392bad7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $125,874
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $140,855
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,874 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 40c | 27,863$11,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,145.25 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Yes | 76c | 7,965$6,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,918.25 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Yes | 60c | 7,084$4,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,833.8 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 33c | 6,950$2,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,318.55 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 40c | 5,592$2,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,230.68 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 63c | 3,587$2,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,326.68 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 60c | 3,531$2,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.37 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 39c | 3,392$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335.32 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Yes | 61c | 2,808$1,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.25 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 15c | 2,471$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.72 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked Yes | 60c | 2,214$1,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.76 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 14c | 2,184$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.23 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 62c | 2,026$1,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.76 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 37c | 2,007$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.07 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed No | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x332a…33babacked Yes | 60c | 1,777$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.8 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 17c | 1,686$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.02 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked No | 37c | 1,682$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.25 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.34 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 39c | 1,366$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.85 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Yes | 60c | 1,250$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 37c | 1,225$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.22 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed No | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked No | 27c | 1,100$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 60c | 1,083$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.33 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 59c | 1,060$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.44 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 59c | 1,026$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.54 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 16c | 1,013$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.25 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed Yes | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Yes | 64c | 937.5$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.5 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -5.8wins | -0.14per pick | 70cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…a66cbacked No | 23c | 802.83$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.24 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0727…ec27backed Yes | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.65 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 72c | 744.67$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.51 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x60ee…a5acbacked Yes | 65c | 736.58$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 38c | 636.17$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.74 | 481 | 50.9%245 W · 236 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb49…43febacked Yes | 63c | 634$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.58 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 39c | 623.7$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.85 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 63c | 603.17$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.17 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes | 61c | 600$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 118 | 28%33 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…9b0ebacked Yes | 60c | 600$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked No | 39c | 599.99$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.99 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 63c | 595.58$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.64 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed No | 38c | 578.87$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.34 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked No | 39c | 518.59$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.46 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 39c | 509.42$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.35 | 294 | 58.2%171 W · 123 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa740…ee18backed Yes | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 216 | 56.9%123 W · 93 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…17c0backed No | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 60c | 488.03$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.21 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…dd26backed No | 41c | 458.54$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x883f…aad2backed Yes | 60c | 416.67$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 61c | 362.32$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.33 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed No | 40c | 341$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.76 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa7…04bfbacked Yes | 60c | 333.17$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.27 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf32a…b9a4backed Yes | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3b…4253backed No | 5c | 322.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Yes | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd687…c066backed Yes | 62c | 310$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed No | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5a…f4c1backed No | 39c | 237.94$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.81 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd612…0bc1backed Yes | 60c | 215.85$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.85 | 172 | 54.1%93 W · 79 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a54…e581backed Yes | 62c | 192.01$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.01 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 29c | 184.67$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.73 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…aa71backed Yes | 60c | 166$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.4 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 60c | 164$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.6 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb263…6275backed Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9539…e9bbbacked Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 39c | 152$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.28 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked No | 39c | 150$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 61c | 138$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.25 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7442backed Yes | 61c | 131.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.15 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Yes | 61c | 130.35$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.35 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc286…d936backed Yes | 62c | 130$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.9 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked Yes | 60c | 125$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe797…2b36backed No | 38c | 125$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Yes | 63c | 119.05$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.05 | 124 | 46%57 W · 67 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 65c | 102.23$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.23 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e24…cea8backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0583…054dbacked Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x330c…2371backed Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 322 | 22.4%72 W · 250 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 40c | 98.58$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.43 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a42…2a7ebacked Yes | 62c | 96.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb5…050bbacked Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…9fc9backed Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d3…0698backed Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 256 | 37.9%97 W · 159 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x695a…d3d6backed Yes | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +34%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Yes | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3619…6aa9backed Yes | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aston Villa win on 2025-10-05?this page
- Will Aston Villa vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Burnley FC win on 2025-10-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.