Premier League · resolved market
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-10-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8e3df902c59d8c65465a7076c0bb7c92d8ec7a664ffbea3bf05ef812310b3ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,698
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,073
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,698 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 17c | 4,050$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.5 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 15c | 3,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.99 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 13c | 2,348$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.18 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yes | 15c | 1,324$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.12 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 12c | 1,127$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.39 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked Yes | 15c | 938$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.34 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe333…b1e4backed Yes | 12c | 871.1$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 14c | 847.68$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.67 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 246 | 30.5%75 W · 171 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb5…8b87backed Yes | 16c | 609.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 16c | 599.66$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.95 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed Yes | 4c | 500$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 7c | 425.94$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.43 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe797…2b36backed Yes | 14c | 375$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9f…de68backed Yes | 6c | 336.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c44…85febacked Yes | 10c | 291.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Yes | 14c | 248.14$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.64 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 118 | 28%33 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc9…7361backed Yes | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -85.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c3…2b90backed Yes | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…09d1backed Yes | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes | 16c | 132.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 204 | 25%51 W · 153 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 116 | 28.4%33 W · 83 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 157 | 26.8%42 W · 115 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5efc…9b2abacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01dc…475cbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc26d…63f2backed Yes | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Yes | 13c | 80.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 15c | 67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b58…f7cbbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bf…c574backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Burnley FC win on 2025-10-05?this page
- Will Aston Villa vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Aston Villa win on 2025-10-05?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.