Serie A · resolved market
AS Roma vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa3e383e29d6536902cc87c2dce50359b3246dcef1d2e0805b2b37575a893028
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,624
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,146
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,624 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 2,240$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.27 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 160 | 32.5%52 W · 108 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 50c | 450.36$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.45 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed No | 49c | 329.76$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.18 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…5102backed Yes | 33c | 319.94$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73e2…264cbacked Yes | 51c | 290.06$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.93 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 50c | 232.24$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.19 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked No | 51c | 211.98$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.87 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d86…54bdbacked Yes | 49c | 203.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3946…b565backed No | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…95e3backed Yes | 50c | 198$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…b6f1backed No | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x684c…93dfbacked Yes | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 41c | 148.33$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.76 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 49c | 133.98$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.33 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 35c | 128.55$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.07 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 50c | 127.92$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.96 | 328 | 54.3%178 W · 150 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4892…27bcbacked Yes | 51c | 108.39$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3548…0ebbbacked Yes | 50c | 106$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24a3…7c66backed Yes | 51c | 101.96$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c97…82adbacked No | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Yes | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…2719backed Yes | 50c | 88$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed No | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 40c | 79.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 345 | 53.9%186 W · 159 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf573…698fbacked Yes | 50c | 76.92$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf39…0e83backed Yes | 50c | 76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 50c | 67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yes | 49c | 65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.89 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf680…2c59backed Yes | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 75c | 64.1$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.14 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Yes | 49c | 62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd83c…6b83backed Yes | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 49c | 56.67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…cec1backed Yes | 39c | 51.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe97…b39ebacked Yes | 51c | 50.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -9.4wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…f2b7backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c0…7e02backed Yes | 50c | 40.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb9…b4c0backed Yes | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…bb76backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 51c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Yes | 50c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 50c | 33.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 274 | 53.3%146 W · 128 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57c3…44b8backed No | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 66cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e20…b34dbacked No | 51c | 33.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Yes | 49c | 33.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 55c | 31.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 38c | 30.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…75c5backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 49cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked No | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f48…f8c8backed Yes | 39c | 28.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa64c…34f2backed Yes | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 51c | 24.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -6.3wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 51c | 21.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 319 | 58.3%186 W · 133 L | +26.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72b8…6253backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ab…ecebbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AS Roma vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- AS Roma vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 1.5Over won
- AS Roma vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5Over won
- AS Roma vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 3.5Over won
- AS Roma vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-1.5)AS Roma won
- Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)AS Roma won
- Spread: AS Roma (-2.5)AS Roma won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.