TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,355,659
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,216,831

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,355,659 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,685 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd1c5…cbd0backed No62c1,050,562$651,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399,213.582548%12 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes39c920,464$358,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358,129.862,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3496…8fc4backed Yes38c519,210$198,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198,092.3417034.7%59 W · 111 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed No61c422,218$257,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164,664.972552%13 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+140%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No62c351,119$216,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135,021.0474752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe133…c4fbbacked No62c335,510$208,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127,493.71250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes39c327,208$127,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127,485.822,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b5a…00f2backed Yes39c313,119$121,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121,116.47839.7%31 W · 47 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89dd…f662backed No61c299,999$183,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116,999.692774.1%20 W · 7 L+7.8wins+0.29per pick45cpaid+98.4%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes38c285,641$108,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108,030.851,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked No62c247,092$153,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93,895.1433538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes31c245,519$76,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76,422.744,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Yes38c244,535$92,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92,923.4116331.9%52 W · 111 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xefdd…017fbacked Yes38c216,906$82,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82,424.392218.2%4 W · 18 L-5.0wins-0.23per pick41cpaid-60.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4761…5ae8backed No62c199,000$123,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75,619.913040%12 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc41d…74fdbacked No61c194,604$119,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75,395.6714139%55 W · 86 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No61c157,486$96,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61,419.5610740.2%43 W · 64 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5966…f804backed No63c156,825$98,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58,025.382669.2%18 W · 8 L+3.5wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+26.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Yes38c150,000$57,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57,0003237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes34c137,305$46,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,948.332,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes29c121,238$34,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,727.21,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No63c110,318$69,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,057.8856541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Yes31c80,087$24,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,50019644.9%88 W · 108 L+9.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes33c80,004$26,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,603.078,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bdd…c4cbbacked No61c68,483$41,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,708.51988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.5wins+0.39per pick50cpaid+75.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8fe2…2c95backed Yes25c62,715$15,943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,942.732045%9 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+49.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes38c60,000$22,958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,958.362,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Yes38c60,000$22,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,50023942.3%101 W · 138 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes38c58,975$22,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,125.551,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c7…d2c1backed Yes0c58,030$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.0320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes38c55,000$20,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,90074447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xffe9…a70ebacked Yes38c55,000$20,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,9003339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed No62c50,000$31,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,0007949.4%39 W · 40 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe653…c4a7backed No61c41,490$25,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,181.069451.1%48 W · 46 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c1c…7980backed No62c40,000$24,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,199.996149.2%30 W · 31 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed No63c39,750$25,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,707.4413533.3%45 W · 90 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56b4…a84bbacked No61c38,140$23,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,874.472040%8 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No66c34,882$23,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,694.3142541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes35c32,889$11,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,3923,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1997…2e36backed No61c30,000$18,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,699.871127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.26per pick54cpaid-58.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed Yes34c29,412$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00017840.4%72 W · 106 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed No61c26,906$16,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,400.1677152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No62c26,500$16,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,07021333.3%71 W · 142 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7650…fac1backed Yes38c26,316$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,000.084153.7%22 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed No62c25,000$15,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,499.9320044.5%89 W · 111 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes35c24,723$8,679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,679.4738734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab24…5cdbbacked Yes20c24,405$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-64.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xabca…b76cbacked Yes0c24,393$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.25728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-31.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47de…007dbacked No62c23,418$14,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,899.01540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No64c20,647$13,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,377.2665651.7%339 W · 317 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed Yes37c20,000$7,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,399.9817949.2%88 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6550…8451backed No73c18,976$13,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,086.621738.7%84 W · 133 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed No66c18,815$12,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,369.8436939.6%146 W · 223 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed No63c18,420$11,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,815.3440239.8%160 W · 242 L-13.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes38c18,014$6,802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,801.579231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Yes39c17,777$6,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,933.0319038.9%74 W · 116 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No61c17,323$10,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,840.671,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab82…abe5backed Yes30c17,000$5,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0701225%3 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-53%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No66c16,922$11,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,752.713,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No61c16,000$9,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,24021958%127 W · 92 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+27.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8791…d182backed No63c15,292$9,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,657.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d6e…19b1backed No63c15,133$9,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,599.37250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Yes31c15,000$4,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,65011443%49 W · 65 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3561…d87cbacked Yes39c12,821$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0002532%8 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick38cpaid+35.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No70c12,278$8,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,652.8331945.5%145 W · 174 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe998…b7f0backed No63c12,217$7,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,520.294955.1%27 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x400d…28afbacked No60c12,110$7,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,844.11650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a4c…1f30backed No62c12,000$7,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,5603754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Yes38c12,000$4,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,56029646.3%137 W · 159 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked No69c12,000$8,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,719.9714715.6%23 W · 124 L-0.3wins0.00per pick16cpaid+19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14b9…f378backed Yes39c11,789$4,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,588.866929%20 W · 49 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked No61c11,456$6,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,496.2447144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7672…660dbacked No66c11,198$7,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,820.121643.8%7 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick31cpaid+27.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Yes38c10,808$4,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,083.8384751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes38c10,402$3,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,93536349.3%179 W · 184 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed Yes39c10,185$3,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,972.317452.3%91 W · 83 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Yes38c10,000$3,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8004235.7%15 W · 27 L-5.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-24.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed No69c10,000$6,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,10021937%81 W · 138 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfaa2…e80abacked Yes38c10,000$3,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,80013959.7%83 W · 56 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x313b…7959backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104348.8%21 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x64ee…d3d6backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107910.1%8 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick14cpaid-30.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1bf…f74bbacked Yes38c10,000$3,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8006334.9%22 W · 41 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed Yes37c10,000$3,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,699.9914829.7%44 W · 104 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf70…5e92backed Yes42c10,000$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,199.971353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed No63c10,000$6,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,699.967038.6%27 W · 43 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7253…505abacked Yes40c9,458$3,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,756.8190%0 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed No62c9,342$5,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,549.9153448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes21c9,150$1,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,907.7842043.1%181 W · 239 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Yes40c8,750$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5001442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0df…5974backed Yes37c8,069$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00021442.5%91 W · 123 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Yes37c8,010$2,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,994.9413259.1%78 W · 54 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes40c8,000$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,199.9888852.7%468 W · 420 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes38c7,935$2,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,984.72,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x896e…53f2backed Yes39c7,692$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00017443.1%75 W · 99 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54c1…021cbacked Yes38c7,534$2,863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,862.951450%7 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Yes37c7,525$2,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,784.29247.8%44 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes40c7,309$2,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,909.351,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf77e…b594backed Yes1c7,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90953.2%3 W · 92 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick1cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Yes39c7,000$2,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,694.994360.5%26 W · 17 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+23.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf6d…9f2abacked No61c6,968$4,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,689.596536.9%24 W · 41 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.