TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,728,063
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,626,627

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,728,063 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,311 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2c33…0563backed No63c613,832$385,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228,741.2274752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3496…8fc4backed Yes43c467,426$200,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200,992.9817034.7%59 W · 111 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1c5…cbd0backed Yes34c316,557$106,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106,854.632548%12 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No57c230,670$130,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100,216.531,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No52c145,883$76,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69,521.521,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No55c94,799$52,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,292.262,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes33c76,976$25,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,735.5242345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Yes4c68,962$2,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,947.936939.6%146 W · 223 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked No67c64,623$43,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,186.454161%25 W · 16 L+0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed No67c64,538$43,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,334.899247.8%44 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes41c56,725$23,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,248.928,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes33c56,136$18,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,525.011,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes30c51,371$15,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,310.412,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcfb…efc0backed Yes34c47,000$15,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,9807129.6%21 W · 50 L-6.6wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-37.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No66c44,807$29,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,234.2529952.5%157 W · 142 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed Yes33c44,067$14,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,386.486429.7%19 W · 45 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+46.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe2…2c95backed Yes54c43,045$23,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,448.512045%9 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+49.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No58c42,600$24,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,759.033,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked Yes17c37,187$6,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,136.1123540.4%95 W · 140 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d16…f032backed Yes36c30,069$10,812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,812.395639.3%22 W · 34 L-0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No70c28,538$19,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,545.0765651.7%339 W · 317 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed Yes36c27,778$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00017840.4%72 W · 106 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed No67c24,999$16,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,199.6820044.5%89 W · 111 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x55a1…db28backed Yes37c24,806$9,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,177.172748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes10c24,693$2,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,434.593,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No67c24,077$16,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,945.3874447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No67c24,000$16,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,92021958%127 W · 92 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+27.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No61c17,720$10,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,846.8731945.5%145 W · 174 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x684d…f4d8backed Yes34c17,289$5,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,878.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked No39c15,384$5,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,404.4166846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6550…8451backed No55c15,347$8,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,865.5421738.7%84 W · 133 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4761…5ae8backed Yes38c15,248$5,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,760.263040%12 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9183…c1fdbacked Yes0c15,015$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes4c14,446$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.474034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0769…3690backed Yes35c14,426$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0002360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+47.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3169…ac5abacked Yes33c13,636$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,5002227.3%6 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-41.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes33c12,964$4,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,278.131,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa3c…3111backed Yes68c10,294$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,0004341.9%18 W · 25 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc3ed…9f79backed Yes34c10,294$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5006939.1%27 W · 42 L-6.7wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e72…4da3backed Yes68c10,264$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,0002339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-32%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes33c10,000$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,30017842.7%76 W · 102 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd604…bc8abacked Yes64c10,000$6,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,4001533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-46.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Yes50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00010734.6%37 W · 70 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf57e…bbd6backed Yes39c10,000$3,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9007349.3%36 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8523…1c9fbacked Yes33c10,000$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,300650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Yes33c10,000$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,299.987035.7%25 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x05d5…db37backed Yes36c9,400$3,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,384.023458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes46c9,183$4,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,258.354,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes10c8,882$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.0865835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No66c8,780$5,795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,985.131945.1%144 W · 175 L+1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c7c…0ec9backed No57c8,636$4,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,713.553528.6%10 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-36.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No61c8,476$5,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,326.151,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8be4…b795backed Yes34c8,194$2,786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7866633.3%22 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No70c8,020$5,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,381.4333337.8%126 W · 207 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-40.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bb9…74bfbacked Yes80c7,533$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0001643.8%7 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.20per pick64cpaid-32%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa2fc…b1b4backed Yes59c7,218$4,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,266.2336634.4%126 W · 240 L-24.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-38.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes33c6,682$2,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,191.642,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b4e…5c01backed No67c6,647$4,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,193.53275%24 W · 8 L+4.1wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+23.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes50c6,452$3,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,241.6142541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No67c6,270$4,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,069.159752.1%311 W · 286 L-2.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes40c5,784$2,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,300.5279231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb821…5cddbacked No67c5,459$3,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,801.619463.8%60 W · 34 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No78c5,362$4,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,196.1742043.1%181 W · 239 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed No35c5,048$1,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,258.5917513.7%24 W · 151 L-19.8wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-69.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked No67c5,000$3,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6501250%6 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd16…0be8backed Yes33c5,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,649.993740.5%15 W · 22 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed No49c5,000$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,549.948254.9%45 W · 37 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d1d…eb2ebacked Yes33c4,931$1,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,603.2514542.8%62 W · 83 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-22.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb442…bed7backed Yes33c4,712$1,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5553441.2%14 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+26.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c32…3f1cbacked No59c4,517$2,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,857.1924939%97 W · 152 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No59c4,439$2,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,810.512,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes7c4,391$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.932,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfeee…20fbbacked Yes50c4,335$2,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,163.612445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed Yes28c4,305$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20020547.3%97 W · 108 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfea8…47aabacked No66c4,095$2,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,392.294548.9%22 W · 23 L+5.5wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+21.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes68c4,041$2,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,761.1221141.7%88 W · 123 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Yes61c3,940$2,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,396.0318543.8%81 W · 104 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No67c3,916$2,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,297.6364850.6%328 W · 320 L-13.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a24…3845backed Yes3c3,683$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.99547.4%4 W · 50 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick3cpaid+123.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb55…51ddbacked Yes71c3,585$2,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,559.91163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick69cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0850…cb8cbacked Yes33c3,576$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1807439.2%29 W · 45 L-0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3520…1fa0backed Yes34c3,529$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20012334.1%42 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid+13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ea…2f71backed Yes21c3,340$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.9210753.3%57 W · 50 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed No67c3,162$2,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,043.5822752.4%119 W · 108 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Yes47c3,148$1,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,494.347640.8%31 W · 45 L-8.3wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-20.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes27c3,122$829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829.321,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x180a…54a6backed Yes33c3,069$1,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,012.882040%8 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick26cpaid+69.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed No67c3,000$2,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99023255.2%128 W · 104 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x309c…09b5backed Yes68c2,944$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001625%4 W · 12 L-4.5wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-51.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5d68…9ff7backed Yes34c2,941$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005749.1%28 W · 29 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x45d1…83dabacked Yes34c2,941$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00014637.7%55 W · 91 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfad3…edc9backed Yes34c2,940$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.63429.4%10 W · 24 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56e2…4a79backed Yes71c2,933$2,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,080.676352.4%33 W · 30 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick57cpaid+12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5161…bf33backed Yes59c2,821$1,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6605827.6%16 W · 42 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-50%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Yes2c2,750$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60952.1%2 W · 93 L+0.3wins0.00per pick2cpaid+11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd32f…4f71backed Yes74c2,704$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002250%11 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No79c2,666$2,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.8622959.4%136 W · 93 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed No57c2,601$1,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,130.1263255.7%352 W · 280 L-0.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Yes33c2,549$841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.016953.6%37 W · 32 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.