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Serie A · resolved market

Parma Calcio 1913 vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$92,864
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$123,982

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,864 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under48c10,699$5,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,089.52,57545.6%1,174 W · 1,401 L+12.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x073f…ed92backed Over48c10,207$4,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,310.381346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over49c6,000$2,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,059.996839.7%27 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fbc…095ebacked Over55c5,454$2,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,455.27560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+18.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under45c5,321$2,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,403.8237039.2%145 W · 225 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Over51c5,261$2,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,578.14944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over48c4,167$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,166.673450%17 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under51c4,119$2,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,100.613441.2%14 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f19…6aabbacked Under52c4,000$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,079.99250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under52c3,309$1,717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,716.9599444.7%444 W · 550 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2fb…b9f0backed Over67c2,241$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.04757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under52c2,097$1,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,081.4936456.3%205 W · 159 L+19.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under51c1,724$879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.2532850.6%166 W · 162 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Over67c1,706$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.515655.4%31 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under28c1,562$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.08387.9%3 W · 35 L-5.0wins-0.13per pick21cpaid-56.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Under54c1,351$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.146852.9%36 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under53c1,200$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6362250%11 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under52c1,200$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.9943854.8%240 W · 198 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Over49c986.21$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.9710940.4%44 W · 65 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under51c948.45$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.7171150.1%356 W · 355 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Over48c800$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4164242.9%18 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under32c794.69$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.3941240.8%168 W · 244 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over58c776.74$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.7415459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under48c713.44$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.8241644%183 W · 233 L+1.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over49c606.12$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.124339.5%17 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Under52c568.91$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.831936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid+12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8374…f183backed Over57c516.04$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.55955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5634…d81abacked Over48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2603243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over73c498.8$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.8414351%73 W · 70 L-10.8wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over49c410$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.111348.7%55 W · 58 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24a3…7c66backed Over55c357.32$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.151145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Over48c338.18$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.851346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over49c320$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16214748.3%71 W · 76 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under52c313.07$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.7921548.4%104 W · 111 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6021…4c5cbacked Over49c250.24$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.551833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-29%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac7…c99abacked Over55c238.15$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.48250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a5c…0fc2backed Over48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.33862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+38.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0c3…dde1backed Over48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.33812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.31per pick44cpaid-74%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3fd9…1ef0backed Over47c203.5$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.852560%15 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0af5…154cbacked Over45c201.17$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.17366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb6f…2653backed Under51c196.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.06728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-43.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7066…50e5backed Over52c192.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.682065%13 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Under54c191.48$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.410451%53 W · 51 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Under53c185$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.0511349.6%56 W · 57 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3234…8b1abacked Under50c183.96$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.981747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid+36.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Over54c182.2$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.216232.1%52 W · 110 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x218d…83f8backed Under52c159.62$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eab…78efbacked Over55c141.61$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.86540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under51c141$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.3366753.5%357 W · 310 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…860fbacked Over47c127.7$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.71540%6 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-26.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xff89…9c06backed Over40c122.1$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.262839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over47c118.72$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.0615946.5%74 W · 85 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under38c115.49$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.552,01339.4%794 W · 1,219 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under48c114$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.615455.6%30 W · 24 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under51c108.69$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.4343355%238 W · 195 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bcd…1a94backed Over48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.177950.6%40 W · 39 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Over73c103.64$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.988232.9%27 W · 55 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504047.5%19 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5213146.6%61 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeecc…6930backed Over55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.82240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d63…2e49backed Over55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452450%12 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+54.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.516352.1%85 W · 78 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5424953.8%134 W · 115 L+20.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa203…11bcbacked Under41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc252…0aebbacked Over71c97.77$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.361668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x041e…bc83backed Under52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x059d…10e3backed Under53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under45c85.73$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5391043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68d1…f166backed Over62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.651723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-29.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under40c78.85$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6921748.8%106 W · 111 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0435…a10ebacked Under32c78.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e8c…79bdbacked Under55c76.55$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.857450%37 W · 37 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over67c74.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8128951.6%149 W · 140 L+15.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under52c68.23$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4812351.2%63 W · 60 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe626…92b5backed Under53c66.04$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352544%11 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under47c61.79$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.983435.3%12 W · 22 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-23.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Under52c58$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.167252.8%38 W · 34 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over52c57.8$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.86448.4%31 W · 33 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f2c…9d16backed Over52c50.1$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.13345.5%15 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under58c49.7$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8314936.2%54 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x70b2…92d6backed Over41c48.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9580%4 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick42cpaid+93%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8293…aaeebacked Over43c47.86$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.28520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-53.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under47c46.92$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9910759.8%64 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5117958.7%105 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb7f…0abbbacked Over64c43$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.451450%7 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3110…c3f5backed Over47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.556637.9%25 W · 41 L-9.4wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-30.2%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x4359…1260backed Over38c39.58$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.584158.5%24 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b0b…12ffbacked Over46c38.9$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.953237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Under48c36.13$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4310262.7%64 W · 38 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under46c34.33$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7911860.2%71 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf689…3e3fbacked Under53c32.58$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.272646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Under45c32.19$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.347556%42 W · 33 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Under52c32$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.644665.2%30 W · 16 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+19.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Under46c30.77$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1513157.3%75 W · 56 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79c0…7e02backed Over49c30.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.611553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over58c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.63740.5%15 W · 22 L-5.5wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-35.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Under45c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.55552.7%29 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa4b…a9aabacked Over47c29.85$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…be0abacked Under56c29.41$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.461233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid+6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62a8…4a14backed Over72c27.6$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.