TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Parma Calcio 1913of AS Roma, Parma Calcio 1913
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$79,514
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$81,679

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,514 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked AS Roma44c55,096$24,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,5005438.9%21 W · 33 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Parma Calcio 191356c10,134$5,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,493.255752.6%30 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Parma Calcio 191356c8,760$4,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,862.781,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Parma Calcio 191356c5,111$2,863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,247.998544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Parma Calcio 191355c3,200$1,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4406165.6%40 W · 21 L+7.9wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+30.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Parma Calcio 191358c2,552$1,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,074.476852.9%36 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Parma Calcio 191363c2,500$1,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924.996950.7%35 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Parma Calcio 191355c2,400$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0804971.4%35 W · 14 L+9.6wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+45.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Parma Calcio 191356c2,232$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982.086659.1%39 W · 27 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Parma Calcio 191355c1,909$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.059652.1%50 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Parma Calcio 191357c1,587$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.415151%26 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Parma Calcio 191356c1,453$809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.0841954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Parma Calcio 191355c1,400$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6306365.1%41 W · 22 L+7.3wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+27.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed AS Roma40c1,318$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.4768750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Parma Calcio 191355c1,200$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5405862.1%36 W · 22 L+6.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+23.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Parma Calcio 191356c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44018951.3%97 W · 92 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed AS Roma47c915.27$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.7134239.2%134 W · 208 L+0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Parma Calcio 191362c804.46$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.71258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Parma Calcio 191355c800$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3604170.7%29 W · 12 L+7.4wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+41.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Parma Calcio 191356c788.97$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.152240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Parma Calcio 191355c736$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.22378.3%18 W · 5 L+5.7wins+0.25per pick53cpaid+50.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Parma Calcio 191355c700$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3158360.2%50 W · 33 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Parma Calcio 191355c650$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.56861.8%42 W · 26 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+20.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Parma Calcio 191355c600$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2707358.9%43 W · 30 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Parma Calcio 191355c600$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2706369.8%44 W · 19 L+11.2wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+37.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Parma Calcio 191355c600$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2706170.5%43 W · 18 L+11.0wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+37.5%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Parma Calcio 191349c510.2$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.24242.9%18 W · 24 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Parma Calcio 191362c504.68$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.784242.9%18 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Parma Calcio 191355c480$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2166465.6%42 W · 22 L+8.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Parma Calcio 191355c480$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2166070%42 W · 18 L+10.2wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+36.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed AS Roma44c409.09$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18012035.8%43 W · 77 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Parma Calcio 191356c406.23$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.743046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Parma Calcio 191355c400$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1806666.7%44 W · 22 L+9.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+34.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Parma Calcio 191355c400$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1805666.1%37 W · 19 L+7.5wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+32.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed AS Roma43c371.52$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.582,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Parma Calcio 191355c320$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1445367.9%36 W · 17 L+8.3wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+36.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Parma Calcio 191342c300$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17520452%106 W · 98 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Parma Calcio 191355c280$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1266167.2%41 W · 20 L+9.0wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+34.5%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Parma Calcio 191355c280$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1265867.2%39 W · 19 L+8.4wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+32.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Parma Calcio 191349c270.94$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.3441144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3946…b565backed Parma Calcio 191345c260$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.61566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca00…2256backed AS Roma44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002030%6 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-47.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce7f…de96backed AS Roma41c222$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.02757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed AS Roma37c202$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.747646.1%35 W · 41 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Parma Calcio 191357c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863748.6%18 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Parma Calcio 191342c200$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11714845.3%67 W · 81 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Parma Calcio 191354c192.99$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.4991043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Parma Calcio 191356c180$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.4665254.1%353 W · 299 L+19.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x061e…6a2cbacked Parma Calcio 191357c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.44475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+34.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed AS Roma37c175.41$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.919952.8%105 W · 94 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Parma Calcio 191355c160$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725168.6%35 W · 16 L+8.1wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+34.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Parma Calcio 191355c160$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724866.7%32 W · 16 L+6.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+33.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Parma Calcio 191355c120$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544669.6%32 W · 14 L+8.0wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+36.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Parma Calcio 191355c120$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544472.7%32 W · 12 L+8.9wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+44.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed AS Roma38c116$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.086070%42 W · 18 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed AS Roma23c103.89$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.892941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe0cb…937cbacked Parma Calcio 191377c103.89$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.893100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Parma Calcio 191356c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4412357.7%71 W · 52 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Parma Calcio 191370c96.97$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5721054.3%114 W · 96 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…be0abacked Parma Calcio 191359c85.23$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.231233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid+6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Parma Calcio 191360c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.334047.5%19 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0f9…92e3backed Parma Calcio 191358c80$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.62365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+31.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed Parma Calcio 191355c80$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365269.2%36 W · 16 L+8.1wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+35%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2d63…aa21backed Parma Calcio 191358c77.59$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.591040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7291…78e2backed AS Roma38c77.12$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.311050%5 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed AS Roma39c72.15$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4815946.5%74 W · 85 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Parma Calcio 191355c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2715459.1%91 W · 63 L+11.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked AS Roma47c54.74$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.737964.6%51 W · 28 L+10.0wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+19.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed AS Roma35c52.91$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.524942.9%21 W · 28 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked AS Roma41c52.89$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8936456.3%205 W · 159 L+19.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf787…7b27backed AS Roma38c50.21$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.08650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cb…4b77backed Parma Calcio 191359c47$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.322955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x933f…df4bbacked Parma Calcio 191359c42.39$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc35c…5994backed AS Roma43c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-32.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b7e…9b98backed Parma Calcio 191358c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.84100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc99c…62aebacked Parma Calcio 191362c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.261250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x395c…0be0backed AS Roma45c31.47$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.16520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-40.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Parma Calcio 191361c23.2$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1521748.8%106 W · 111 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc37e…9e64backed Parma Calcio 191358c20.69$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.693171%22 W · 9 L+4.0wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+24.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Parma Calcio 191355c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925556.5%144 W · 111 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Parma Calcio 191355c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$918459.2%109 W · 75 L+12.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Parma Calcio 191363c16$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.924665.2%30 W · 16 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+19.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.