Serie A · resolved market
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. AS Roma: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c03421a154043bd37cb700e845f727f38b86ffd98098f46a4dbb3e3cd9f12e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,885
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,336
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,885 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 26c | 2,113$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,562.74 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Over | 26c | 2,113$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,563.43 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 30c | 2,062$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,442.15 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7083…1937backed Under | 1c | 1,940$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 32c | 1,884$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.39 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 66c | 1,508$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 73c | 1,395$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.33 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 68c | 1,050$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.31 | 326 | 50.6%165 W · 161 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 17c | 717.63$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.32 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x750b…609fbacked Under | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 74c | 375.57$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.92 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe2…6829backed Under | 71c | 361.06$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.53 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 77c | 313.55$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.09 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…0a4cbacked Over | 15c | 233.61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.57 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +48%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eab…78efbacked Over | 28c | 221.61$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Over | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.89 | 120 | 35.8%43 W · 77 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 78c | 155.93$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.78 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 77c | 150.79$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.79 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 204 | 52%106 W · 98 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 5cpaid | +206%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf57c…66febacked Over | 25c | 97.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.6 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +78%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8b…9ac5backed Under | 74c | 91.76$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee5b…dac8backed Over | 27c | 90$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 35c | 82.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.51 | 142 | 31%44 W · 98 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 79c | 79.1$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.49 | 148 | 45.3%67 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 29c | 77.22$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.93 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…c154backed Under | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 71cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 73c | 68.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.18 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Under | 46c | 65.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26e8…1c01backed Under | 75c | 56.85$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 76cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.15 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | -10.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 26c | 49.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.23 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | +11.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed Under | 30c | 49.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb70…52c0backed Under | 75c | 46.74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 25c | 46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -5.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 75c | 39.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a6…aed7backed Under | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…4e86backed Under | 77c | 23.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 71c | 22.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 72c | 20.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 274 | 53.3%146 W · 128 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…31ebbacked Under | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 67c | 19.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Under | 72c | 14.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 52 | 15.4%8 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. AS Roma: O/U 3.5this page
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. AS Roma: O/U 1.5Over won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5Over won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. AS Roma: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)Parma Calcio 1913 won
- Spread: AS Roma (-2.5)Parma Calcio 1913 won
- Spread: Parma Calcio 1913 (-1.5)AS Roma won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.