Ligue 1 · resolved market
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6dc81bde065f424330a3bd82ad34693f9f4d8f1df3a99778654d28d69fd6886e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paris Saint-Germain FCof Paris Saint-Germain FC, Racing Club de Lens
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,778
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,951
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,778 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Racing Club de Lens | 71c | 8,376$5,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,976.37 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e13…2126backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 26c | 6,008$1,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,461.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4c…7bfdbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 25c | 4,290$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 27c | 3,347$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,452.89 | 227 | 45.8%104 W · 123 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Racing Club de Lens | 74c | 1,261$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.31 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Racing Club de Lens | 74c | 1,182$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.01 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Racing Club de Lens | 74c | 1,097$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.52 | 183 | 51.4%94 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 28c | 999$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.28 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.43per pick | 44cpaid | +116.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 18c | 777$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.7 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Racing Club de Lens | 74c | 600$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 304 | 48%146 W · 158 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 19c | 587.65$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…7453backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 26c | 464.35$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Racing Club de Lens | 74c | 417.86$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.86 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…5d3abacked Racing Club de Lens | 75c | 401.33$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 64cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Racing Club de Lens | 74c | 330.11$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.77 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 78c | 321.09$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.3 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Racing Club de Lens | 74c | 312.63$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.2 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…3914backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 27c | 292.59$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.59 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Racing Club de Lens | 74c | 220.66$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.51 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…0a4cbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 27c | 218$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.14 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 31c | 198.05$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.57 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Racing Club de Lens | 72c | 155.43$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.91 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5362…d242backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 33c | 147.61$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.9 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Racing Club de Lens | 74c | 144.42$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.49 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6af…b5efbacked Racing Club de Lens | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 27c | 137.04$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.04 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 32cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Racing Club de Lens | 73c | 133.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.81 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…6a2cbacked Racing Club de Lens | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked Racing Club de Lens | 75c | 117.68$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.26 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Racing Club de Lens | 67c | 114.18$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 123 | 67.5%83 W · 40 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Racing Club de Lens | 67c | 114.18$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed Racing Club de Lens | 76c | 113.3$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4009…f2b4backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 26c | 103.85$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.85 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +145.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1c…5a9cbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +188%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…dd8fbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 28c | 95.07$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.45 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.91 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Racing Club de Lens | 76c | 85$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.46 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…b8c3backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Racing Club de Lens | 18c | 75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 263 | 46.4%122 W · 141 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Racing Club de Lens | 74c | 69$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.06 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Racing Club de Lens | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4b…c865backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 26c | 65.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.38 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Racing Club de Lens | 74c | 61.58$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.76 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Racing Club de Lens | 69c | 59.92$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.07 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 21c | 58.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.84 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 27c | 56.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.46 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79c0…7e02backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 27c | 55.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.07 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Racing Club de Lens | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 25c | 40.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.06 | 132 | 50.8%67 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Racing Club de Lens | 76c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae4…e4a2backed Racing Club de Lens | 76c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…19e5backed Racing Club de Lens | 76c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 54c | 33.15$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Racing Club de Lens | 72c | 32.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 126 | 47.6%60 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Racing Club de Lens | 76c | 32.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Racing Club de Lens | 73c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bfc…8eb3backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 37c | 29.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17b6…af55backed Racing Club de Lens | 75c | 20.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Racing Club de Lens | 71c | 17.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd25a…7f71backed Racing Club de Lens | 76c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)this page
- Racing Club de Lens vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)Racing Club de Lens won
- Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-1.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
- Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-2.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.