TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Racing Club de Lens vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$94,039
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$95,786

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,039 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Over20c60,091$12,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,257.768944.9%40 W · 49 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under75c55,604$41,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,792.121,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under76c5,353$4,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,284.6524349.4%120 W · 123 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Under35c4,000$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,599.952751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over56c2,496$1,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,388.2822745.8%104 W · 123 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over65c2,067$1,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,339.4487344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over65c1,911$1,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,245.2112963.6%82 W · 47 L+12.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+14.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under70c1,832$1,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.0626046.2%120 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Under35c1,800$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,161.983647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde28…8d20backed Over7c1,433$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under32c1,239$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.1326354%142 W · 121 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c76…862dbacked Over65c1,237$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.722250%11 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Over55c1,100$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6052142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+24.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under27c1,037$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.043026.7%8 W · 22 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick15cpaid+107.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over50c703.45$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.981,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9605…a2c4backed Under65c626.84$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.951833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-34.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over58c585.48$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3408654.7%47 W · 39 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71fd…1397backed Over62c500$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-67.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f0c…5292backed Under48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.671747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Under29c380$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.81233.3%4 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-21.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc02a…b43fbacked Over55c360$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1981662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+35.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under34c342.06$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.0723342.5%99 W · 134 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over72c309$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.481741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked Over56c300$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1686549.2%32 W · 33 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over65c297.85$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.69145.1%41 W · 50 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under77c291.56$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.895560%33 W · 22 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x291d…2f8bbacked Under37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.27475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+67.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over63c270.27$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.2730448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdf4…40fabacked Over59c255$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.452050%10 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over56c239.99$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.3924051.7%124 W · 116 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under79c204.18$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.2159348.4%287 W · 306 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2490…aa08backed Under53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.68250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9660…ba56backed Over43c162.44$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffac…d469backed Over63c159.98$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.993240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over65c153.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9910640.6%43 W · 63 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over66c151.21$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002536%9 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-36.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.251346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Under77c144.14$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.562777.8%21 W · 6 L+4.6wins+0.17per pick61cpaid+22.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x14e3…810cbacked Under36c138.89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.893100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+118.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over72c138.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012367.5%83 W · 40 L+11.9wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+21.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under31c132.16$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.1927748.7%135 W · 142 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x338b…97b3backed Over38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under29c124.86$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6516644.6%74 W · 92 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Under30c124$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+234.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under39c121.79$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.297861.5%48 W · 30 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe626…92b5backed Under45c120$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662556%14 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda8a…2dbabacked Over66c113.64$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under31c112.34$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.5238056.6%215 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over64c108.96$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.3946450.4%234 W · 230 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8867…518cbacked Under38c107.35$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.56250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under34c105$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.616448.8%80 W · 84 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02f7…dd8fbacked Over63c102.48$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.121241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93ff…84d1backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501030%3 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.28per pick58cpaid-44.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1af3…fbe3backed Over52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5230%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over59c98.31$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed Over71c98.14$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.683655.6%20 W · 16 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick67cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over63c90$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.43262.5%20 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick70cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3aa7…303dbacked Under80c82.18$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.523354.5%18 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7736…c991backed Over66c81.02$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.471346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick62cpaid-27%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Over62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504443.2%19 W · 25 L-5.4wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-23.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under35c75.01$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.138355.4%46 W · 37 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe897…0b3bbacked Over67c74.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Under66c71.03$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.96759.7%40 W · 27 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over71c67.11$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.659657.3%55 W · 41 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd53c…5194backed Over49c66.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.023531.4%11 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Over65c63.3$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.153354.5%18 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over66c60.61$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010964.2%70 W · 39 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under31c60$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.74955.1%27 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a5a…3427backed Under79c60$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.66100%6 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xff2a…bfefbacked Over52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+19%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa820…2dcebacked Under35c57.14$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.141833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-34.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under76c55$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.28644.2%38 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb719…c1e1backed Over52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3216…0cc7backed Under34c49.99$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.99742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+22.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Under74c49.32$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.012454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under58c45$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0933145%149 W · 182 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Over65c43$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.955354.7%29 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x133b…5856backed Over27c42.92$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.81233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-43.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0614…ff8bbacked Over71c42.25$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x462e…07dabacked Over72c41.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Over65c41.29$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.843764.9%24 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+22.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over60c40.35$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.214930.6%15 W · 34 L-6.6wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-40.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over66c40$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.47353.4%39 W · 34 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Under56c39.94$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.544030%12 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Over55c38.29$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.063135.5%11 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf689…3e3fbacked Under42c38$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.042240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-25.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Over49c36.73$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183727%10 W · 27 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-33.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over68c32$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.763354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44a7…c2e4backed Under32c32$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.76366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+49.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Under80c31.73$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.354254.8%23 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cae…177ebacked Under47c31.43$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed Over65c30.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.796065%39 W · 21 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Under40c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186256.5%35 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f1a…7c47backed Under36c29.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.196850%34 W · 34 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6769…f8b9backed Over67c29.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203148.4%15 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over43c25.5$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8513250.8%67 W · 65 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf05b…3c59backed Over57c24.56$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea97…a471backed Under71c21.03$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.03333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-53.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2463…f5b5backed Over58c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.63644.4%16 W · 20 L-5.3wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-24.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.