TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Racing Club de Lens vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$88,107
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$95,289

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,107 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd202…8973backed Over50c30,029$15,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,014.320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under50c25,945$12,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,971.335257.7%30 W · 22 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over44c5,735$2,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,523.472528%7 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-45%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over21c4,745$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988.241,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over50c3,983$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0004143.9%18 W · 23 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under74c3,366$2,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$871.3222745.8%104 W · 123 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over31c3,136$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.551,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under57c2,978$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,277.941764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d0e…1461backed Under70c2,666$1,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813.043100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+63.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Under55c2,463$1,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,108.51080%8 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+36.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under52c2,087$1,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,003.4826354%142 W · 121 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Under51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9803647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Over31c1,987$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.86540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Over49c1,939$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9501127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+29%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Under56c1,443$808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.113672.2%26 W · 10 L+4.8wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+25.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x04e3…69d1backed Under80c1,407$1,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.56540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-26.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde28…8d20backed Over4c1,116$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.081861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under56c1,062$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.210145.5%46 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5103036.7%11 W · 19 L-4.7wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-31.6%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xbed3…2811backed Under70c960.13$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.044100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe398…4ce5backed Under61c896.32$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.321478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick70cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under52c718.02$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.530448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over21c701.94$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.8626046.2%120 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over45c660.05$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.2929637.5%111 W · 185 L+15.9wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+46.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x03de…4bfdbacked Over47c599.99$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2801233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-29.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5192…df62backed Over32c566.16$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.17450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under56c559.42$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.14875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+42.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under56c505$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.3524349.4%120 W · 123 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over43c378.73$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.9359348.4%287 W · 306 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over51c368$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.681741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under53c349.78$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.8418351.4%94 W · 89 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Over42c300$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1263135.5%11 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed Over46c292.52$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.561855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under50c279.3$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.6545233.6%152 W · 300 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x99eb…0464backed Under69c250$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.5650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Over44c225$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.14245.2%19 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under52c218$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.5846450.4%234 W · 230 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under49c207$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.571250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbdd…c26abacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003438.2%13 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009145.1%41 W · 50 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Under53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.688247.6%39 W · 43 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf474…2775backed Under57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.441573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under52c172.43$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.9816448.8%80 W · 84 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8164…df78backed Under58c170.98$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.98475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+46.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under55c111.11$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5038056.6%215 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over43c111.06$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.327748.7%135 W · 142 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dfb…0b3dbacked Over45c108.89$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under52c108.03$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.3926041.9%109 W · 151 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Over25c105.24$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.24030%12 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456448.4%31 W · 33 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1af3…fbe3backed Over29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2930%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ad5…b130backed Over50c98$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xccb7…0477backed Over45c96.91$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6140%0 W · 4 L-2.4wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over38c93.88$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.672030%6 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over44c90.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407429.7%22 W · 52 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-3.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe626…92b5backed Under56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.292556%14 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f2e…6da4backed Under57c88$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.84944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf58…2bf4backed Under50c86.41$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.21714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.9wins-0.42per pick56cpaid-71.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfc4b…c865backed Over44c86.36$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+25.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over45c85$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2524051.7%124 W · 116 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Under49c79.59$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.593444.1%15 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Over45c75.56$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3430%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Over44c75.55$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2416644.6%74 W · 92 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under53c72.03$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.858150.6%41 W · 40 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Over42c71.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.891338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-29.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf22b…8f84backed Under50c70$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+49.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a7d…695fbacked Under57c69.89$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.89475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+39%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Under56c69.44$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.552100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e16…4698backed Under57c68.42$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.42475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+35.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e75…0143backed Over32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202548%12 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under53c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.24955.1%27 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Under50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305151%26 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over50c59$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.51735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0e3…99a1backed Over44c56.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under54c56.71$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.013268.8%22 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick68cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05b7…c24abacked Under56c56.6$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.994062.5%25 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked Under57c52.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.636159%36 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x383a…7764backed Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Over30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153946.2%18 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e30…02a0backed Under54c46.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Over44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204555.6%25 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdfb5…8740backed Over44c45.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Over41c42.8$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.558944.9%40 W · 49 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7736…c991backed Over44c42.02$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.491346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick62cpaid-27%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6aa1…a420backed Over44c40.91$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick34cpaid+2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdff8…4a23backed Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3110…c3f5backed Over51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203056.7%17 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc37e…9e64backed Under50c38.48$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.241266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+23.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Over41c36.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154443.2%19 W · 25 L-5.4wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-23.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Under50c36.29$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.153748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Over45c35.56$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166648.5%32 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb85…f401backed Over44c34.09$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-27.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d76…517cbacked Under57c31.53$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Under50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156256.5%35 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b1f…7b4bbacked Under57c29.86$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.842100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7a6…aed7backed Under65c29.05$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.251090%9 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick71cpaid+27.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under75c28.3$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.213250.8%67 W · 65 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over48c27.22$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.079050%45 W · 45 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eb4…9cb8backed Over47c27$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.58425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Under54c23.61$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.873764.9%24 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+22.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.