Ligue 1 · resolved market
Racing Club de Lens vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f11ceb74be94d59b76111e395447d4f6e7296c8492bc5ca9d4a5a000c9f2a34
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,210
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,545
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,210 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 9c | 9,157$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +107.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 77c | 6,262$4,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,471.49 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Under | 17c | 5,470$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.92 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…d4bfbacked Over | 80c | 3,723$2,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.61 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 13c | 2,858$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.76 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 20c | 2,459$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.56 | 227 | 45.8%104 W · 123 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Over | 75c | 2,400$1,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.99 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over | 30c | 2,385$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680.34 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Under | 17c | 1,967$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.38 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 13c | 1,318$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.34 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc35b…6eb2backed Over | 76c | 1,299$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Under | 15c | 1,169$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.3 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Under | 12c | 999.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 30cpaid | +57%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 14c | 892.2$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.55 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9605…a2c4backed Under | 22c | 730.32$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.19 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 63c | 634.92$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.92 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 29c | 576.95$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.3 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 25c | 500$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 243 | 49.4%120 W · 123 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Over | 51c | 400$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.43per pick | 44cpaid | +116.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…f183backed Over | 66c | 378.79$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.79 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 46c | 378.47$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.68 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 14c | 320.34$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.85 | 183 | 51.4%94 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf94c…8a42backed Under | 12c | 309.75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd19…3fb8backed Under | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8aa…20f6backed Over | 74c | 290$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…fa81backed Under | 38c | 263.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 60c | 230$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Under | 12c | 221.4$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.12 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 14c | 210.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 164 | 48.8%80 W · 84 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 13c | 208.96$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.18 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc952…1d90backed Over | 48c | 206.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc936…c08abacked Under | 45c | 135.56$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…2ff9backed Over | 62c | 103.67$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.39 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3e…4d47backed Under | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b76…c036backed Under | 15c | 99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…bb1dbacked Over | 61c | 80.18$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 61c | 74.01$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.69 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd53c…5194backed Over | 20c | 69.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.69 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20fe…884cbacked Over | 73c | 54.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae0…8f73backed Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Over | 43c | 49.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.74 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Under | 21c | 46.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 24c | 44.14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 62c | 42.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 263 | 46.4%122 W · 141 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…5c13backed Over | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed35…84fbbacked Over | 67c | 38.26$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Under | 40c | 38.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 78c | 36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Under | 41c | 28.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1b…106cbacked Over | 68c | 24.28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 80c | 22.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…4e2dbacked Under | 67c | 20.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a1…5782backed Over | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 59c | 19.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 73c | 19.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9244…643cbacked Over | 76c | 13.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.39 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Racing Club de Lens vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Racing Club de Lens vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)Racing Club de Lens won
- Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-1.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
- Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-2.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.