Ligue 1 · resolved market
Racing Club de Lens vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x037008951cd54f081f48739333a7916b428cb353d265d48830e3f68e8a71a82e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,824
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,757
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,824 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed Under | 74c | 2,736$2,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.35 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 17c | 2,206$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.4 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 25c | 1,752$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.95 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 14c | 1,626$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.83 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 28c | 1,558$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.9 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Over | 13c | 1,500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 14c | 1,009$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.01 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9897…c033backed Under | 73c | 999.98$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 72c | 347$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.16 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Over | 25c | 219.74$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.94 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5a…7070backed Under | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc56d…c484backed Under | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…1186backed Under | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 18 | 88.9%16 W · 2 L | +4.9wins | +0.27per pick | 62cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 75c | 189.72$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.76 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 29c | 170.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.59 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…c154backed Under | 73c | 137.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.09 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…8f84backed Under | 74c | 134.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.41 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe92a…7d0dbacked Over | 25c | 132$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf474…2775backed Under | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 74c | 130.63$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.11 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 73c | 111.11$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 380 | 56.6%215 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 72c | 105.5$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.54 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…fbe3backed Over | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 73c | 98.35$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.11 | 132 | 50.8%67 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 26c | 92.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 75c | 70.42$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…c24abacked Over | 24c | 65.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 75c | 51.47$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 164 | 48.8%80 W · 84 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 76c | 36.4$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 75c | 36.15$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Racing Club de Lens vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Racing Club de Lens vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)Racing Club de Lens won
- Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-1.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
- Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-2.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.