La Liga · resolved market
SD Huesca vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1bf11ac60af8e616a10792d57ee478e444b6b7661dc916beb45ac4c3abcb790
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,170
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,932
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,170 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 5,642$3,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,072.95 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 47c | 5,319$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,819 | 200 | 54%108 W · 92 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 46c | 3,503$1,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,899.29 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 51c | 2,467$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.84 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 59c | 1,705$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.2 | 120 | 20%24 W · 96 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 46c | 556.35$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.35 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 62c | 529.76$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.2 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 54c | 500.87$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.57 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 18c | 500$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…f183backed Over | 51c | 493.22$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.22 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…b6f1backed Over | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec2…26d7backed Over | 46c | 324.46$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.21 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5b…e39ebacked Over | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2080…6d80backed Under | 77c | 272.78$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.42 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 229 | 39.3%90 W · 139 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x780f…5f16backed Under | 56c | 210.47$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.19 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Under | 55c | 202.73$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.5 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 354 | 42.7%151 W · 203 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Over | 27c | 162.04$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.89 | 59 | 18.6%11 W · 48 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 54c | 136.34$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.62 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 54c | 123.48$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.63 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 54c | 116.77$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.06 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 55c | 116$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 22c | 114.27$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.13 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 56c | 66.22$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.08 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 38c | 65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.25 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Under | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 116 | 64.7%75 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 32c | 56.25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 387 | 48.1%186 W · 201 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 53c | 46.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 227 | 60.4%137 W · 90 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f46…1db8backed Under | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 40c | 36.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.74 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf18…af99backed Under | 56c | 35.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 270 | 55.2%149 W · 121 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf0…72cebacked Over | 45c | 33.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79c0…7e02backed Over | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 53cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 54c | 31.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 454 | 50%227 W · 227 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe953…7be7backed Under | 56c | 27.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Under | 56c | 25.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd840…1ec6backed Under | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Over | 46c | 22.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 53c | 22.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 357 | 59.4%212 W · 145 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x442a…e8f8backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SD Huesca vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 2.5this page
- SD Huesca vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SD Huesca vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 0.5Over won
- SD Huesca vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 1.5Over won
- SD Huesca vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 3.5Under won
- SD Huesca vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol B (-1.5)SD Huesca won
- Spread: SD Huesca (-1.5)Real Sociedad de Fútbol B won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.