TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Sevilla FC vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$46,678
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$58,460

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,678 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Under68c3,704$2,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,515.743,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8454…331abacked Under65c3,071$1,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,983.172944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Over36c2,812$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,812.396858.8%40 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over30c2,531$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,783.7756439.2%221 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over32c2,471$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,670.6217530.9%54 W · 121 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under63c1,557$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.1124145.2%109 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc68b…f6eebacked Over37c1,500$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+41.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under78c1,362$1,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,063.21,65143.9%724 W · 927 L-21.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012020%24 W · 96 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over20c994.7$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.717128.1%48 W · 123 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under74c969.42$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.0482844.8%371 W · 457 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over32c923.84$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.848041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x78bf…6df9backed Under60c823.43$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.06955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over35c818.83$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.22,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over36c600$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38412445.2%56 W · 68 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7eb3…8e52backed Over34c588.24$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.244544.4%20 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+39.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under73c582.5$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.4292345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a91…c6b1backed Under54c528.92$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.627656.6%43 W · 33 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under60c504.18$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.5140357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Over35c500$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32510068%68 W · 32 L+13.4wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+30%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under32c426.81$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.0583640%334 W · 502 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over27c407.35$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.944,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under65c390.19$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.7468050.4%343 W · 337 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x750b…609fbacked Under10c379$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick8cpaid+28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Over37c300$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18913230.3%40 W · 92 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6945…729cbacked Over51c297.6$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.463740.5%15 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick33cpaid-11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under47c292.81$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.9416348.5%79 W · 84 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x399f…e8d8backed Over36c278.36$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.36714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick37cpaid-60.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over41c269.79$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.948251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15022939.3%90 W · 139 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over38c247.62$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.545250.2%227 W · 225 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Over41c245.83$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.044837.5%18 W · 30 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x329c…2485backed Over40c233.77$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.261060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+42.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf8d9…d7f5backed Over15c230$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.53831.6%12 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+29.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Under57c214.05$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.8310843.5%47 W · 61 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x373b…1107backed Over41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1183345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked Over40c189.22$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.532161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked Under62c168.51$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.4814250.7%72 W · 70 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under64c163.74$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.1622246.8%104 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x125c…f50abacked Over12c158.33$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.335543.6%24 W · 31 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Under8c138.9$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.56442.3%1 W · 43 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-50.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under67c135$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.920252%105 W · 97 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under65c133.18$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.0174457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf26f…8f93backed Under14c120$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.89611.5%11 W · 85 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc59c…6b58backed Over38c118.42$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.421060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+33%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over31c113.42$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.268958.4%52 W · 37 L+9.9wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+26.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under36c111.23$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3221139.8%84 W · 127 L-15.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-27.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Over43c107.5$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2892254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under19c103.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.845841%188 W · 270 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under29c100.78$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5822553.8%121 W · 104 L+18.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+27.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6517044.1%75 W · 95 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Over32c99.98$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.9916836.3%61 W · 107 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Over34c99$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.344362.8%27 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Over12c98$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.2410127.7%28 W · 73 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-35.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Over26c96.15$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.1524757.5%142 W · 105 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0aa8…ea63backed Under60c91.31$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over29c84.74$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.5437348.3%180 W · 193 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Over37c83.79$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.791030%3 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a76…b30fbacked Over36c83.33$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.3315344.4%68 W · 85 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over22c80$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.438748.1%186 W · 201 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Under69c80$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.824048.3%116 W · 124 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over43c79.85$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.6923455.1%129 W · 105 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd814…09d0backed Under76c79$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-48.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe941…a496backed Under75c77.65$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.854866.7%32 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Over31c76.23$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.610634%36 W · 70 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa556…e483backed Over37c69.97$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.28850%4 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+23.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x70b2…92d6backed Over28c69.5$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.041145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick29cpaid+52.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa820…2dcebacked Over31c64.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.525945.8%27 W · 32 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over39c64.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.149228.9%142 W · 350 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fad…fdc0backed Over18c61.45$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.555119.6%10 W · 41 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over43c60.94$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.461,16951.8%606 W · 563 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over36c55.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.5616040%64 W · 96 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Under71c52.52$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3119953.3%106 W · 93 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Over38c50$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317346.6%34 W · 39 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79c0…7e02backed Over41c48.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.78785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick53cpaid+68.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Over38c48.09$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8218747.1%88 W · 99 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under63c47.62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020857.7%120 W · 88 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48c2…2effbacked Over36c47.22$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.221450%7 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa38e…8917backed Over22c46.78$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.34376.7%33 W · 10 L+9.8wins+0.23per pick54cpaid+46.5%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x05b7…c24abacked Over40c43.38$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.038846.6%41 W · 47 L-11.0wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-25.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed Over46c42.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.117061.2%104 W · 66 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f46…1db8backed Under61c40.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253050%15 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b0b…12ffbacked Over42c40.31$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.388342.2%35 W · 48 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over26c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.649057.1%280 W · 210 L+26.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a70…e339backed Under76c39.61$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over31c38.99$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0328138.8%109 W · 172 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under66c38.66$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.510844.4%48 W · 60 L-9.1wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb549…c2b6backed Over29c35.53$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.251136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-29.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c26…c2d0backed Under62c32.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.841573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+33%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over35c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.510554.3%57 W · 48 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x409a…df2fbacked Under56c26.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154463.6%28 W · 16 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+17.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x133b…5856backed Over39c26.66$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.263748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xee0a…36d8backed Under79c25.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick62cpaid+3.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x86e6…e722backed Under55c24.97$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.743342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0199…4e86backed Under77c23.38$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184459.1%26 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under59c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8810251%52 W · 50 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x000c…7a67backed Under63c19.05$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Under70c18.88$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.293151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcfe…4b94backed Under69c15.1$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.442075%15 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under71c14.2$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0814140.4%57 W · 84 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.