TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Spread: Sevilla FC (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
RCD Espanyol de Barcelonaof Sevilla FC, RCD Espanyol de Barcelona
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,253
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,189

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,253 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Sevilla FC19c4,428$850 inLost-$850.2657139.2%224 W · 347 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Sevilla FC17c1,435$238 inLost-$237.9213230.3%40 W · 92 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed RCD Espanyol de Barcelona78c1,013$790 inWon+$222.8615459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed RCD Espanyol de Barcelona80c1,000$800 inWon+$20014244.4%63 W · 79 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed RCD Espanyol de Barcelona79c738.13$583 inWon+$155.0122246.8%104 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Sevilla FC22c593.68$131 inLost-$130.615119.6%10 W · 41 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Sevilla FC22c327$72 inLost-$71.944837.5%18 W · 30 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked RCD Espanyol de Barcelona79c319.98$253 inWon+$67.248251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Sevilla FC21c235.49$49 inLost-$49.456360.3%38 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Sevilla FC17c232.95$40 inLost-$4014028.6%40 W · 100 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Sevilla FC15c133.34$20 inLost-$2041323.2%96 W · 317 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Sevilla FC22c100$22 inLost-$2211336.3%41 W · 72 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked RCD Espanyol de Barcelona78c93.59$73 inWon+$20.5948153.6%258 W · 223 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked RCD Espanyol de Barcelona79c51.51$41 inWon+$10.972,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed RCD Espanyol de Barcelona80c35.89$29 inWon+$7.1840357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed RCD Espanyol de Barcelona78c22.74$18 inWon+$522658.4%132 W · 94 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfab3…1f0abacked RCD Espanyol de Barcelona80c14.63$12 inWon+$2.93475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked RCD Espanyol de Barcelona78c13.24$10 inWon+$2.9537348.3%180 W · 193 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.