MLB · resolved market
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc18742635a5e016864e34e8ff0f3e05c8a40baae0312e7662a412ffafd17d024
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Marinersof Seattle Mariners, Houston Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $274,233
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $285,854
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $274,233 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 344 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Houston Astros | 47c | 33,559$15,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,780.49 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 30,405$16,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,290.41 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 20,675$10,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,082.03 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Houston Astros | 48c | 18,595$8,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,983.86 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Houston Astros | 47c | 15,645$7,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,315.26 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Seattle Mariners | 58c | 12,028$6,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,074.27 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked Houston Astros | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Houston Astros | 35c | 9,722$3,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,370.24 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Seattle Mariners | 75c | 5,492$4,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.58 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Seattle Mariners | 51c | 5,080$2,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,489.2 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Houston Astros | 23c | 5,080$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.21 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Houston Astros | 47c | 4,922$2,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,317.87 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Houston Astros | 2c | 4,800$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.01 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Houston Astros | 12c | 4,417$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.96 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Houston Astros | 38c | 3,644$1,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367.11 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad58…7624backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 3,200$1,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,471.94 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…5ff5backed Houston Astros | 47c | 3,041$1,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,429.04 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 3,025$1,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421.75 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Seattle Mariners | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Houston Astros | 2c | 2,892$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.15 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 2,827$1,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.5 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Seattle Mariners | 53c | 2,800$1,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,316 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Houston Astros | 1c | 2,600$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd181…5136backed Seattle Mariners | 67c | 2,390$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.61 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Houston Astros | 36c | 2,381$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.74 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Houston Astros | 29c | 1,964$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.96 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Houston Astros | 42c | 1,856$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.36 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Houston Astros | 18c | 1,771$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.74 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 1,656$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.38 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 1,570$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.28 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 1,535$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.8 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Houston Astros | 28c | 1,420$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.51 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Houston Astros | 47c | 1,380$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.58 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Houston Astros | 10c | 1,367$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.7 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2a…1fcabacked Seattle Mariners | 53c | 1,328$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.05 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Houston Astros | 46c | 1,318$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.28 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 1,315$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.29 | 124 | 57.3%71 W · 53 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcad…df78backed Houston Astros | 23c | 1,300$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70e9…836abacked Houston Astros | 20c | 1,300$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 213 | 23.5%50 W · 163 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Houston Astros | 2c | 1,260$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 1,170$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.57 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Houston Astros | 21c | 1,124$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.33 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…f61ebacked Houston Astros | 47c | 1,110$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.88 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78d7…291dbacked Houston Astros | 6c | 1,094$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.92 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7265…8712backed Houston Astros | 47c | 1,037$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.8 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Houston Astros | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…0d16backed Houston Astros | 6c | 986.81$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.22 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec6a…65e1backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 914.99$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 900$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…fbdcbacked Seattle Mariners | 78c | 893$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 889.5$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.85 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b39…57e8backed Houston Astros | 36c | 825$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 750$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Seattle Mariners | 54c | 734$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.64 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7f…824bbacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 714.45$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.5 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +10.6wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Houston Astros | 6c | 708.67$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.52 | 786 | 49.1%386 W · 400 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f32…f204backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 703$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…858cbacked Seattle Mariners | 51c | 686.27$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.27 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a2…b5b7backed Houston Astros | 47c | 682.87$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 660.38$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.38 | 218 | 56%122 W · 96 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Seattle Mariners | 75c | 652$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc47…15d4backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 640$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Seattle Mariners | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.91 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b98…d5d8backed Houston Astros | 46c | 609.88$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce53…834bbacked Seattle Mariners | 51c | 604.96$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.33 | 90 | 63.3%57 W · 33 L | +9.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Houston Astros | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 576.44$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.2 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd3…5896backed Houston Astros | 48c | 520$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadb7…95b2backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 509.98$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.59 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eec…df90backed Seattle Mariners | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Houston Astros | 8c | 499.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Houston Astros | 50c | 491$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.5 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7585…ea79backed Houston Astros | 49c | 488$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.15 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Houston Astros | 46c | 479.99$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.29 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 425$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.25 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Houston Astros | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Houston Astros | 48c | 412.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Seattle Mariners | 78c | 403.69$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.81 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Houston Astros | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 398 | 50.3%200 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a4dbbacked Seattle Mariners | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 210 | 57.6%121 W · 89 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Houston Astros | 42c | 400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Seattle Mariners | 80c | 394.11$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.91 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f7…3c0cbacked Seattle Mariners | 78c | 384.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.62 | 134 | 59.7%80 W · 54 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Seattle Mariners | 53c | 379$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.13 | 319 | 49.5%158 W · 161 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Seattle Mariners | 61c | 374.11$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.27 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Houston Astros | 48c | 364.58$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d06…11fbbacked Seattle Mariners | 53c | 362$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabd5…3c16backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 350$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Houston Astros | 18c | 345.15$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.14 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…f949backed Houston Astros | 46c | 325.26$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 321.46$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.96 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee38…6851backed Seattle Mariners | 76c | 314.01$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ebb…593dbacked Houston Astros | 46c | 304.94$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6341…227bbacked Houston Astros | 46c | 304.94$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 299.33$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.23 | 206 | 47.1%97 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Houston Astros | 46c | 291.73$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.68 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astrosthis page
- Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: O/U 10.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: O/U 11.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: O/U 12.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: O/U 6.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-3.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-4.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Houston AstrosYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.