MLB · resolved market
Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9aa0b7a98d91edd06fb13adf6c5a3c401b31d0fc6ab15febab512d885e70eeb9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Boston Red Soxof Boston Red Sox, Atlanta Braves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $457,187
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $455,990
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $457,187 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 409 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 201,893$106,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106,791.03 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Boston Red Sox | 49c | 41,174$20,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,982.4 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Boston Red Sox | 47c | 35,555$16,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,844.11 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Boston Red Sox | 47c | 30,000$14,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,900 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Boston Red Sox | 44c | 21,591$9,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,090.91 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Atlanta Braves | 56c | 20,000$11,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,199.98 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 18,888$8,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,010.64 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Atlanta Braves | 56c | 13,063$7,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,315.28 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Boston Red Sox | 44c | 13,000$5,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,280 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbf…d37fbacked Atlanta Braves | 53c | 12,898$6,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,835.94 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Boston Red Sox | 48c | 10,417$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,416.67 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Boston Red Sox | 49c | 10,300$5,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,253 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Boston Red Sox | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,199.9 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 9,500$4,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,057.62 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Boston Red Sox | 48c | 9,000$4,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,680 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Boston Red Sox | 43c | 8,799$3,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,015.25 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Boston Red Sox | 39c | 8,565$3,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,244.01 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Boston Red Sox | 46c | 8,358$3,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,480.95 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Boston Red Sox | 47c | 7,500$3,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,975 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…0009backed Atlanta Braves | 14c | 7,318$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.55 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Boston Red Sox | 44c | 7,278$3,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,039.41 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7585…ea79backed Boston Red Sox | 45c | 6,567$2,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,611.85 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Boston Red Sox | 46c | 5,500$2,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,970 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 4,832$2,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,561.15 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 4,624$2,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,444.42 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…d9f7backed Atlanta Braves | 1c | 3,954$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.54 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 3,700$1,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960.98 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Boston Red Sox | 47c | 3,367$1,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,767.84 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Boston Red Sox | 49c | 3,333$1,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,711.86 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Boston Red Sox | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Atlanta Braves | 56c | 3,000$1,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,665 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Atlanta Braves | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619.99 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -5.1wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Boston Red Sox | 44c | 2,727$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,527.27 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Boston Red Sox | 45c | 2,713$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,483.69 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 2,625$1,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,452.97 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Boston Red Sox | 62c | 2,531$1,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.41 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Atlanta Braves | 52c | 2,308$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 705 | 46.8%330 W · 375 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Boston Red Sox | 45c | 2,251$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.03 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 2,250$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.98 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Atlanta Braves | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbba9…f183backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 1,935$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 1,912$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.21 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x497a…650fbacked Atlanta Braves | 42c | 1,878$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.46 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…ba42backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 1,789$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d57…18ddbacked Atlanta Braves | 59c | 1,659$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.17 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 1,575$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.79 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Atlanta Braves | 57c | 1,491$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87d3…5f27backed Atlanta Braves | 52c | 1,422$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Boston Red Sox | 46c | 1,411$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.47 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 1,377$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.24 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Boston Red Sox | 46c | 1,375$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.5 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 1,364$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Boston Red Sox | 46c | 1,320$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.16 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Boston Red Sox | 39c | 1,251$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.25 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Boston Red Sox | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Atlanta Braves | 54c | 1,100$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cc…015bbacked Atlanta Braves | 56c | 1,100$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Boston Red Sox | 47c | 1,092$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.76 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f2…49b3backed Atlanta Braves | 57c | 1,052$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Boston Red Sox | 48c | 998$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.96 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Boston Red Sox | 34c | 986$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.76 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Boston Red Sox | 34c | 977.05$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.29 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Boston Red Sox | 38c | 968.25$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.59 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 953.73$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.55 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Atlanta Braves | 71c | 935.26$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.54 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Boston Red Sox | 40c | 912$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.41 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Atlanta Braves | 51c | 900$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Atlanta Braves | 57c | 899.99$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.99 | 267 | 59.2%158 W · 109 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9905…add3backed Atlanta Braves | 57c | 883.42$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb416…4588backed Atlanta Braves | 59c | 847.61$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Atlanta Braves | 2c | 771.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 108 | 5.6%6 W · 102 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | +339.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Atlanta Braves | 10c | 756.36$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.82 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 722.32$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.83 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Atlanta Braves | 79c | 710.14$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.51 | 752 | 44%331 W · 421 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Boston Red Sox | 70c | 700$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.87 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Boston Red Sox | 31c | 687.53$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.23 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 677.36$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341 | 340 | 45%153 W · 187 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Atlanta Braves | 52c | 676.92$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 293 | 44.7%131 W · 162 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 667$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.51 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 667$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.51 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Atlanta Braves | 71c | 663.29$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.77 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Atlanta Braves | 4c | 645.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Atlanta Braves | 65c | 618.99$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…c5e1backed Atlanta Braves | 58c | 605$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.9 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Boston Red Sox | 72c | 600.73$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.25 | 1,911 | 53.1%1,014 W · 897 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Boston Red Sox | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b6…09e2backed Atlanta Braves | 70c | 599.99$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1332…2b23backed Atlanta Braves | 10c | 583.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 114 | 31.6%36 W · 78 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Atlanta Braves | 33c | 577.82$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.85 | 851 | 35.8%305 W · 546 L | -23.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Boston Red Sox | 17c | 573.41$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.93 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10e…beedbacked Boston Red Sox | 61c | 572.34$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.76 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Atlanta Braves | 54c | 564.81$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Boston Red Sox | 46c | 560.67$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.41 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Boston Red Sox | 46c | 552.9$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.57 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 552$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.56 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 550$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.5 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a2…3c41backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 542.73$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.5 | 158 | 57%90 W · 68 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…858cbacked Atlanta Braves | 60c | 500.16$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Boston Red Sox | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Atlanta Braves | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 119 | 14.3%17 W · 102 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +289.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Bravesthis page
- Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 10.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 11.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 5.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.