MLB · resolved market
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d19cbbecafdf15edd3e084d64817b9d8d2b995d046b2d4e74034fe7170dd757
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Boston Red Soxof Atlanta Braves, Boston Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,785
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,625
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,785 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Boston Red Sox | 73c | 14,827$10,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,042.3 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta Braves | 27c | 11,134$2,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,975.06 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Boston Red Sox | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Atlanta Braves | 29c | 3,323$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.59 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Atlanta Braves | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Atlanta Braves | 37c | 2,703$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Boston Red Sox | 63c | 1,955$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.35 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Atlanta Braves | 37c | 1,520$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.24 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Boston Red Sox | 63c | 1,200$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Atlanta Braves | 37c | 863.71$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.52 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Boston Red Sox | 63c | 750$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.5 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Atlanta Braves | 37c | 717.56$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.94 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Boston Red Sox | 63c | 652.95$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.42 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Atlanta Braves | 38c | 609.28$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.47 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Atlanta Braves | 37c | 574.43$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.67 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Atlanta Braves | 38c | 500$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Atlanta Braves | 37c | 498.21$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.34 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Boston Red Sox | 62c | 490.35$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.52 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Boston Red Sox | 63c | 488$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.56 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Boston Red Sox | 64c | 420$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.12 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Atlanta Braves | 36c | 416.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 293 | 44.7%131 W · 162 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Boston Red Sox | 63c | 307.03$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.6 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Atlanta Braves | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59b4…73e0backed Atlanta Braves | 37c | 224.32$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Atlanta Braves | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Boston Red Sox | 64c | 196.11$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.6 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Atlanta Braves | 29c | 169.27$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.09 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Atlanta Braves | 27c | 153.07$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.87 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Atlanta Braves | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 569 | 46.9%267 W · 302 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Boston Red Sox | 62c | 132$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Boston Red Sox | 73c | 107.8$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Boston Red Sox | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Boston Red Sox | 64c | 96.22$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.64 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Atlanta Braves | 29c | 86.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Atlanta Braves | 27c | 85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 580 | 54.5%316 W · 264 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Boston Red Sox | 63c | 73.18$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cec…7c61backed Atlanta Braves | 37c | 70.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1261…b398backed Atlanta Braves | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Atlanta Braves | 37c | 62.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 704 | 50.1%353 W · 351 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Boston Red Sox | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Atlanta Braves | 39c | 59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Atlanta Braves | 34c | 55.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Atlanta Braves | 40c | 55.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 304 | 52%158 W · 146 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffd6…6939backed Atlanta Braves | 29c | 51.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…bdc1backed Atlanta Braves | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Atlanta Braves | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Atlanta Braves | 36c | 49.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Atlanta Braves | 53c | 41.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb630…e38ebacked Atlanta Braves | 27c | 40.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Boston Red Sox | 71c | 39.44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 546 | 51.3%280 W · 266 L | +29.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb21…3138backed Boston Red Sox | 64c | 39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Atlanta Braves | 27c | 37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Atlanta Braves | 32c | 35.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 469 | 52.5%246 W · 223 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Boston Red Sox | 65c | 31.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Boston Red Sox | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 225 | 54.7%123 W · 102 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48b9…abe2backed Atlanta Braves | 36c | 29.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 348 | 43.4%151 W · 197 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Atlanta Braves | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0c…14cebacked Boston Red Sox | 64c | 22.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 145 | 55.9%81 W · 64 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41d8…7233backed Boston Red Sox | 64c | 22.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Boston Red Sox | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 398 | 50.3%200 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Boston Red Sox | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Boston Red Sox | 63c | 19.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Boston Red Sox | 65c | 18.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)this page
- Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta BravesBoston Red Sox won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 10.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 11.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 5.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.