MLB · resolved market

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdbd1a7bd82b5f8405fe1f5dcf957d5127ecbdc6329949a0b264bc084d848d7ee

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: May 16, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $489,111
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $488,770

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $489,111 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x531b…6022backed Under	54c	387,664$207,802 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$179,861.71	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+2.0wins	+0.25per pick	50cpaid	+50%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Over	47c	150,000$70,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70,000	52	48.1%25 W · 27 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over	46c	105,507$48,733 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48,733.21	2,293	48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L	-24.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Under	52c	63,657$33,121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30,536.56	411	49.1%202 W · 209 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Over	48c	51,149$24,552 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24,551.52	273	51.3%140 W · 133 L	+7.0wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over	46c	32,594$15,077 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,076.6	1,572	48.3%759 W · 813 L	-6.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over	46c	32,227$14,954 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,953.51	11,356	52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L	+209.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over	47c	15,000$7,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,050	1,151	49.2%566 W · 585 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over	46c	12,000$5,520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,520	1,292	50.2%648 W · 644 L	+18.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over	48c	10,991$5,251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,251.36	1,284	49.5%635 W · 649 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over	53c	6,546$3,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,500	78	43.6%34 W · 44 L	-6.1wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	47c	6,000$2,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,800	5,400	50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L	+17.9wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Under	53c	5,000$2,650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,349.95	220	47.7%105 W · 115 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over	43c	4,537$1,934 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,933.58	9,728	46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L	+32.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over	46c	4,100$1,891 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,891.22	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Over	47c	3,901$1,820 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,820.27	550	52.4%288 W · 262 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Over	47c	3,673$1,714 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,713.9	3,453	51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L	+58.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over	47c	3,104$1,459 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,458.85	306	47.4%145 W · 161 L	-10.7wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	47c	2,940$1,376 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,564.2	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	45c	2,210$1,003 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,002.98	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Over	46c	2,174$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	491	58.9%289 W · 202 L	+30.8wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over	47c	2,000$930 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$930	2,407	48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L	-62.3wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	47c	1,939$919 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$919.18	8,295	47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L	+72.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Under	55c	1,827$999 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$828.05	262	45.8%120 W · 142 L	-17.7wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over	47c	1,820$860 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$860.12	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Over	48c	1,777$853 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$852.95	60	48.3%29 W · 31 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Over	47c	1,500$705 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$704.99	98	43.9%43 W · 55 L	-5.7wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-15%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Over	48c	1,359$649 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$648.89	281	54.4%153 W · 128 L	+9.9wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed Over	47c	1,165$548 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$547.59	288	50.3%145 W · 143 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Under	53c	1,111$589 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$522.17	1,352	50.8%687 W · 665 L	+13.3wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over	46c	1,016$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$469.53	4,477	48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L	-47.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe65b…271bbacked Under	50c	1,000$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500	125	49.6%62 W · 63 L	-5.7wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over	46c	1,000$460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460	1,836	50.8%932 W · 904 L	-3.9wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Over	46c	1,000$460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460	444	51.1%227 W · 217 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x97fd…3313backed Over	46c	1,000$460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Over	46c	889.73$409 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$409.28	383	53.5%205 W · 178 L	+7.3wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa04e…376abacked Over	47c	854.6$402 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$401.66	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over	47c	847$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400.24	1,569	51.1%801 W · 768 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over	46c	600$276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$276	859	52.6%452 W · 407 L	+7.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Over	46c	599.99$276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$276	70	48.6%34 W · 36 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	47c	578.25$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$308.46	8,086	46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L	+29.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over	46c	511.93$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235.68	252	49.6%125 W · 127 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7851…d471backed Over	48c	500$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	166	44.6%74 W · 92 L	-6.1wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over	51c	490.2$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	1,215	47.6%578 W · 637 L	-19.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86ee…511fbacked Under	53c	471.7$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$221.7	243	50.6%123 W · 120 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a96…998dbacked Under	44c	454.55$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$254.55	55	40%22 W · 33 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c93…8967backed Under	52c	365.65$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175.51	58	39.7%23 W · 35 L	-4.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over	47c	351$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.97	750	49.7%373 W · 377 L	+7.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over	47c	338.13$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.08	1,769	51.6%912 W · 857 L	+16.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Over	46c	326.08$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	399	48.1%192 W · 207 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb3a5…cd84backed Over	62c	322.58$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	100	46%46 W · 54 L	-3.9wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Under	53c	300$159 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141	267	59.2%158 W · 109 L	+17.0wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa6a7…e5d4backed Over	48c	240$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114	328	57.9%190 W · 138 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Under	41c	214.72$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.58	2,243	57.6%1,293 W · 950 L	+37.1wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Over	47c	200$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94	494	50%247 W · 247 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Over	46c	160$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.6	268	45.9%123 W · 145 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Over	55c	157.93$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.39	827	41.1%340 W · 487 L	-21.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Over	46c	118.8$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.65	300	48%144 W · 156 L	-7.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f43…f730backed Over	43c	116.28$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	42	47.6%20 W · 22 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Over	46c	113.5$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.21	997	44.1%440 W · 557 L	-38.0wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf58…2bf4backed Over	47c	108.7$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.09	401	48.1%193 W · 208 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e0…d084backed Under	54c	92.59$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.59	203	50.2%102 W · 101 L	-5.0wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x606f…71cebacked Under	56c	89.38$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.38	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf6a1…5a4fbacked Over	48c	86.86$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.4	42	52.4%22 W · 20 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c74…14d6backed Over	42c	83.33$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+3.0wins	+0.16per pick	47cpaid	+32.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under	40c	83.17$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.9	6,116	55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L	+344.6wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6c97…82adbacked Over	48c	79.17$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	68	42.6%29 W · 39 L	-6.0wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Over	46c	77$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.42	722	47.6%344 W · 378 L	-12.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed Under	53c	68.11$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.01	59	52.5%31 W · 28 L	+2.5wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Over	46c	66.61$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.64	509	54%275 W · 234 L	+15.0wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe743…ce0fbacked Over	47c	63.81$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.99	69	40.6%28 W · 41 L	-5.3wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-15%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under	54c	63.63$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.27	1,911	53.1%1,014 W · 897 L	+43.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde25…c0a5backed Over	48c	62.22$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.18	469	46.3%217 W · 252 L	-25.7wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over	57c	60$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.2	5,126	54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L	+231.6wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f97…6aafbacked Over	48c	59.04$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.34	111	49.5%55 W · 56 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Over	46c	57.32$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.62	186	49.5%92 W · 94 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ba…5038backed Over	45c	55.56$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	-1.7wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8000…3dd3backed Over	47c	53.19$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.6wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc37e…9e64backed Over	47c	52.13$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.5	295	53.2%157 W · 138 L	+7.9wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ad…dffebacked Over	48c	52.08$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	39	46.2%18 W · 21 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e75…0143backed Under	49c	51.02$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.02	82	40.2%33 W · 49 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eb4…9cb8backed Over	46c	51$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.69	60	51.7%31 W · 29 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d09…7dfbbacked Under	54c	49.91$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.04	330	32.7%108 W · 222 L	-22.8wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Over	58c	47.62$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.57	1,367	54.3%742 W · 625 L	+16.5wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0011…4cbabacked Under	53c	47.17$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.17	309	63.1%195 W · 114 L	-9.1wins	-0.03per pick	66cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over	51c	45.02$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.96	8,470	52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L	+510.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d91…5c20backed Over	47c	42.55$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x623a…5144backed Over	47c	42.55$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	42	35.7%15 W · 27 L	-7.2wins	-0.17per pick	53cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x590a…c459backed Over	47c	42.13$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.8	114	51.8%59 W · 55 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ec7…ed98backed Over	47c	42$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.74	48	50%24 W · 24 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa05a…4635backed Over	47c	41.72$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.73	830	53%440 W · 390 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Over	47c	39.85$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.73	1,001	57.3%574 W · 427 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x902f…fb2dbacked Under	53c	37.21$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.49	70	55.7%39 W · 31 L	+4.2wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde56…c2f9backed Over	48c	34.4$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.51	304	52%158 W · 146 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x32ad…71acbacked Under	51c	34.11$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.71	73	42.5%31 W · 42 L	-8.5wins	-0.12per pick	54cpaid	-23%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xca20…7b68backed Under	49c	31.5$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.02	371	43.9%163 W · 208 L	-21.4wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a0c…14cebacked Over	47c	31.42$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.77	145	55.9%81 W · 64 L	+7.1wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x29c4…c3b0backed Over	47c	31.32$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.72	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over	47c	30$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.95	2,947	51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L	-34.0wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41d8…7233backed Over	47c	28.87$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.49	85	60%51 W · 34 L	+7.1wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5this page
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado RockiesColorado Rockies won
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5Under won
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5Under won
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5Under won
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 14.5Under won
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 8.5Under won
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5Under won
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Colorado Rockies won
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)Colorado Rockies won
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-3.5)Colorado Rockies won
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)Colorado Rockies won
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-3.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado RockiesYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event