MLB · resolved market
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5916776556b087a2793ee1c262ebd6a248e5de8380bb727400f4dd53dcfba827
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colorado Rockiesof Colorado Rockies, Arizona Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,066
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,680
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,066 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 70c | 3,187$2,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,234.73 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Colorado Rockies | 50c | 2,506$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245.59 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 2,133$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.5 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Colorado Rockies | 32c | 1,908$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.18 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Colorado Rockies | 28c | 1,645$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.3 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 30c | 1,141$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.39 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…6daabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Colorado Rockies | 34c | 999.99$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.99 | 172 | 52.9%91 W · 81 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 70c | 631.18$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.83 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Colorado Rockies | 69c | 532.83$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.76 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 358.41$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.34 | 499 | 42.9%214 W · 285 L | -31.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 119 | 14.3%17 W · 102 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +289.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x085b…ab9fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 27c | 184.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 339 | 34.5%117 W · 222 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 32c | 139.02$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.78 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Colorado Rockies | 70c | 106.37$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.93 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 71c | 76.19$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.74 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Colorado Rockies | 30c | 69.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.42 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…a9f2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 56c | 67$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 468 | 54.5%255 W · 213 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 56c | 67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.56 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 70c | 60.97$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.68 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 61c | 54.67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.09 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Colorado Rockies | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Colorado Rockies | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 70c | 39.2$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Colorado Rockies | 62c | 32.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Colorado Rockies | 40c | 27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)this page
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado RockiesColorado Rockies won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 14.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 8.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-3.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-3.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado RockiesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.