MLB · resolved market

Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf194d2e280994744663ba6c1fe408e04bee1eae3cfa56d226c1342459340db75

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: May 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $36,179
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $40,660

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,179 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5268…135dbacked Under	50c	11,936$5,918 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,918.1	11,519	52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L	+213.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over	49c	10,155$4,976 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,179.24	135	34.1%46 W · 89 L	-8.5wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x16e5…6373backed Over	52c	5,666$2,946 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,719.48	86	58.1%50 W · 36 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked Under	51c	3,500$1,785 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,785	752	48.8%367 W · 385 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe3ad…45f9backed Under	52c	2,550$1,326 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,326	117	41.9%49 W · 68 L	-8.9wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-14%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Over	49c	1,667$812 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$855.48	1,922	53.4%1,027 W · 895 L	+28.0wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under	51c	1,275$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$650.25	750	49.7%373 W · 377 L	+7.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over	48c	1,187$572 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$614.48	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Over	48c	1,026$492 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$533.52	323	51.7%167 W · 156 L	+9.0wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x992b…5053backed Over	50c	888$444 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$444	227	53.3%121 W · 106 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under	53c	861.89$456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$455.93	8,403	47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L	+76.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Under	51c	827.45$422 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$422	265	45.7%121 W · 144 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed Under	51c	759.35$387 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$387.27	288	50.3%145 W · 143 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over	48c	729$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$379.08	1,538	48.6%747 W · 791 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under	51c	710.89$364 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$363.83	1,769	51.6%912 W · 857 L	+16.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under	53c	640$339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$339.2	686	52.9%363 W · 323 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3cd3…5896backed Over	48c	520.98$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$270.91	174	46%80 W · 94 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Over	47c	490$230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$259.7	827	41.1%340 W · 487 L	-21.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45d1…83dabacked Under	52c	475.21$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.11	138	51.4%71 W · 67 L	+6.3wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over	49c	414$203 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$211.14	925	54.1%500 W · 425 L	+23.5wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over	48c	350$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$182	123	52.8%65 W · 58 L	+4.7wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Over	47c	335$157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177.55	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+25.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc52…dfcebacked Under	49c	300$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-2.2wins	-0.15per pick	48cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	48c	280.67$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.72	8,192	46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L	+38.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Over	49c	230$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.3	134	52.2%70 W · 64 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under	50c	211.12$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.56	9,819	46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L	+39.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	1,445	50%723 W · 722 L	+26.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over	49c	200$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103	67	46.3%31 W · 36 L	-3.5wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Under	54c	199.13$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.22	825	51.6%426 W · 399 L	+3.8wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Under	52c	192.31$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1,000	52.4%524 W · 476 L	+5.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Under	52c	132.07$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.68	1,014	47.7%484 W · 530 L	-28.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bc0…af1abacked Under	49c	114.29$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	91	47.3%43 W · 48 L	+7.8wins	+0.09per pick	39cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under	53c	105.1$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.8	1,269	47.4%602 W · 667 L	-31.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x87bb…42b0backed Over	48c	104.17$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.17	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+1.7wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Over	49c	103$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.53	726	48.1%349 W · 377 L	-17.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under	50c	100.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.02	3,509	51%1,789 W · 1,720 L	+53.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4193…4853backed Under	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	846	51.5%436 W · 410 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ed2…0ddabacked Over	49c	100$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51	577	47.7%275 W · 302 L	+7.2wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Under	52c	100$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	619	48.6%301 W · 318 L	+5.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Over	48c	100$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52	784	54.5%427 W · 357 L	+19.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over	48c	81.46$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.5	6,999	50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6c97…82adbacked Over	50c	76$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38	68	42.6%29 W · 39 L	-6.0wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Over	47c	75$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.75	722	47.6%344 W · 378 L	-12.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Over	40c	72.15$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.29	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x27cf…979abacked Over	47c	63.82$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.78	120	49.2%59 W · 61 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Over	48c	61.81$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.14	997	44.1%440 W · 557 L	-38.0wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7268…78abbacked Under	49c	61.22$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	200	40%80 W · 120 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3d6…e952backed Over	53c	57.91$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.22	41	51.2%21 W · 20 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e45…39dabacked Over	47c	51.93$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.27	185	47.6%88 W · 97 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x07c0…5dd2backed Over	48c	50$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26	184	58.2%107 W · 77 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fb1…0073backed Over	44c	45.45$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.45	59	39%23 W · 36 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	+67.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Under	50c	40.74$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.24	1,001	57.3%574 W · 427 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under	51c	40.2$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.5	252	49.6%125 W · 127 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over	48c	38.53$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.91	2,407	48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L	-62.3wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb021…4aabbacked Under	53c	37.74$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5b3…4756backed Over	47c	30.1$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.95	130	46.9%61 W · 69 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over	48c	30$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.6	1,845	50.7%936 W · 909 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x938e…9b66backed Under	52c	28.85$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	481	50.7%244 W · 237 L	-19.3wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x33fc…dc88backed Over	50c	27.8$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.9	231	56.7%131 W · 100 L	+8.7wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	49c	24.92$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.71	2,329	49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L	+41.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55d6…1f24backed Under	53c	24.53$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	312	58%181 W · 131 L	+15.0wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x05b7…c24abacked Under	51c	22.17$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.31	280	43.2%121 W · 159 L	-23.2wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0b2a…0a73backed Over	49c	20.41$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.41	254	48.4%123 W · 131 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under	78c	19.69$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.36	6,123	55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L	+346.0wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under	72c	17.31$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.38	8,594	52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L	+508.9wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5this page
Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh PiratesPittsburgh Pirates won
Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 10.5Under won
Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 11.5Under won
Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 12.5Under won
Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 5.5Over won
Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5Over won
Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5Over won
Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5Under won
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-3.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-3.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-4.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh PiratesYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event