MLB · resolved market
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d22e2ba249114b52e254cf416e5c5cc94f4d1575a5e3a5c1dba235c475857ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pittsburgh Piratesof Pittsburgh Pirates, Colorado Rockies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,119
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,965
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,119 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1467…4372backed Colorado Rockies | 44c | 11,285$4,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,940.75 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 7,940$4,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,493.67 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Colorado Rockies | 44c | 3,770$1,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,658.74 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 2,915$1,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.4 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Colorado Rockies | 44c | 2,727$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 2,416$1,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.8 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.98 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e3…e736backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 1,802$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.72 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 1,315$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.45 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 1,302$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.85 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 1,005$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.2 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cf…e4a2backed Colorado Rockies | 44c | 874.77$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.9 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 840$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.6 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Colorado Rockies | 44c | 665$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.6 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 600$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Colorado Rockies | 43c | 561.96$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.64 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Colorado Rockies | 44c | 522.73$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 293 | 44.7%131 W · 162 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Colorado Rockies | 74c | 500$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 26c | 449.22$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.42 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Colorado Rockies | 44c | 447.23$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.78 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfddc…931abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 333$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.52 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 292$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.48 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x559b…c895backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 288.77$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3146…d153backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Colorado Rockies | 44c | 264.89$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.55 | 701 | 54.2%380 W · 321 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 250$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…9e64backed Colorado Rockies | 44c | 173.55$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.36 | 295 | 53.2%157 W · 138 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Colorado Rockies | 44c | 123.13$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.18 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 120$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 208 | 51.9%108 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…7fafbacked Colorado Rockies | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 478 | 49%234 W · 244 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 108$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.44 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f7…f399backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…5487backed Colorado Rockies | 57c | 94.74$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 130 | 46.9%61 W · 69 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x389d…995fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…39dabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 89.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.27 | 185 | 47.6%88 W · 97 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bba…49babacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 88.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.68 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +5.5wins | +0.18per pick | 35cpaid | +931.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Colorado Rockies | 44c | 75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 272 | 48.5%132 W · 140 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…a0a5backed Colorado Rockies | 44c | 72.73$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda09…16debacked Colorado Rockies | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd6…bf96backed Colorado Rockies | 44c | 69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 26c | 50.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.58 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Colorado Rockies | 43c | 49.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ff…ec82backed Colorado Rockies | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 215 | 54.9%118 W · 97 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41d8…7233backed Colorado Rockies | 57c | 42.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 241 | 52.7%127 W · 114 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 36.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…19a9backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 35.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Colorado Rockies | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Colorado Rockies | 57c | 31.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 26.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 292 | 55.8%163 W · 129 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8582…40cebacked Colorado Rockies | 57c | 22.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Colorado Rockies | 56c | 19.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe461…c5aebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 19.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)this page
- Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh PiratesPittsburgh Pirates won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 10.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 11.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 12.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 5.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-3.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-3.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-4.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh PiratesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.