MLB · resolved market
Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 10.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5158b25f62c8bf59381d4f4a6ea750b318d6473fe8e4a6febb8020e8b9aa15b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,114
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,516
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,114 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 62c | 12,288$7,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,621.98 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 38c | 12,163$4,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,531.69 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433c…81eabacked Under | 52c | 964.85$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.85 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Under | 41c | 892.43$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.53 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 59c | 759.36$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.94 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 49c | 601.7$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.7 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 78c | 512.82$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 25c | 490.48$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.65 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 43c | 321.33$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.58 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 63c | 278.1$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.2 | 570 | 46.8%267 W · 303 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 46c | 240$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.4 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9244…643cbacked Under | 51c | 191.78$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.81 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 28c | 165$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.64 | 499 | 42.9%214 W · 285 L | -31.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a09…4a73backed Over | 59c | 163.9$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…01c6backed Over | 39c | 155.03$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 92 | 43.5%40 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Over | 31c | 150$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.88 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Over | 44c | 138.84$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.15 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 49c | 128.63$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.39 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Under | 53c | 124.6$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.56 | 208 | 52.9%110 W · 98 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 76c | 121.37$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.13 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 59c | 106$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.3 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…4e86backed Over | 57c | 84.75$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.31 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 18c | 76.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.91 | 310 | 38.4%119 W · 191 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 37c | 72.1$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.42 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e6…ef53backed Under | 43c | 72.09$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 73c | 68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 46c | 66$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9d…c024backed Under | 62c | 61.32$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Over | 38c | 61.32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 198 | 55.1%109 W · 89 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 68c | 58$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.54 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Over | 59c | 51.73$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.52 | 580 | 54.5%316 W · 264 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 46c | 51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.48 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 49c | 43.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.35 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Under | 51c | 37.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.26 | 268 | 54.1%145 W · 123 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcfe…4b94backed Under | 70c | 32.46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40aa…b99bbacked Over | 73c | 32.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.51 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700b…8d0bbacked Over | 53c | 28.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f7…5ae3backed Over | 73c | 27.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91f5…cd2fbacked Over | 73c | 24.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.43per pick | 63cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…d900backed Over | 73c | 23.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 47c | 21.94$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2003…af6fbacked Over | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 124 | 46%57 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…cefbbacked Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 509 | 62.9%320 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 61c | 17.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x080f…d201backed Over | 73c | 17.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Over | 72c | 16.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…3107backed Under | 79c | 12.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.66 | 125 | 72%90 W · 35 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 10.5this page
- Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh PiratesPittsburgh Pirates won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 11.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 12.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 5.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-3.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-3.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-4.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh PiratesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.