MLB · resolved market

Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb72268dff45aab4378ac9605e8df142d398e2fbdb35d46027e315e1b879a3752

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: May 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $22,113
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $22,145

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,113 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Under	46c	9,542$4,390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,390.49	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Over	55c	4,341$2,388 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,953.46	142	52.1%74 W · 68 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over	54c	2,884$1,558 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,326.82	2,293	48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L	-24.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over	54c	2,516$1,358 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,158.51	11,519	52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L	+213.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78b0…9f1abacked Under	45c	2,167$975 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$975	390	47.4%185 W · 205 L	-11.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecee…2120backed Under	47c	1,540$724 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$723.74	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	+2.6wins	+0.12per pick	47cpaid	+28.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed Under	53c	1,142$605 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$605.26	662	50.2%332 W · 330 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Over	53c	1,065$564 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500.55	686	52.9%363 W · 323 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over	54c	1,009$545 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$464.07	737	48.4%357 W · 380 L	-7.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over	54c	928$501 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$426.88	750	49.7%373 W · 377 L	+7.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Under	47c	902.15$421 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420.97	827	41.1%340 W · 487 L	-21.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under	52c	882.59$459 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$458.67	8,403	47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L	+76.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over	49c	750$368 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$382.5	1,874	52%975 W · 899 L	+51.6wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under	46c	719.04$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$329.58	2,407	48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L	-62.3wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over	51c	689.97$352 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$338.09	2,243	57.6%1,293 W · 950 L	+37.1wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over	54c	651.03$352 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$299.47	6,999	50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xed45…3de8backed Under	46c	600$276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$276	14	50%7 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over	54c	440$238 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$202.4	1,769	51.6%912 W · 857 L	+16.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53cd…11b3backed Over	37c	400$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$252	111	34.2%38 W · 73 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under	72c	267$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.14	8,594	52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L	+508.9wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over	53c	250$133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.5	785	50.2%394 W · 391 L	+2.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Over	51c	196.06$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.07	970	50.7%492 W · 478 L	+13.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over	54c	190$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.4	1,445	50%723 W · 722 L	+26.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Under	68c	159.83$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.02	5,149	54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L	+231.2wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	45c	149.6$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.32	2,329	49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L	+41.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Over	55c	140.85$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.38	1,014	47.7%484 W · 530 L	-28.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2573…2726backed Over	55c	109.1$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.1	230	51.7%119 W · 111 L	-8.9wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32f7…f399backed Over	55c	109.09$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.09	37	62.2%23 W · 14 L	+1.8wins	+0.05per pick	57cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x133e…5058backed Over	55c	88.33$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.75	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+1.0wins	+0.09per pick	55cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Under	47c	83$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.01	825	51.6%426 W · 399 L	+3.8wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Under	47c	74.99$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.25	722	47.6%344 W · 378 L	-12.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under	46c	74.02$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.05	373	57.4%214 W · 159 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c97…82adbacked Over	55c	69.09$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.09	68	42.6%29 W · 39 L	-6.0wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under	63c	65.89$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.82	6,123	55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L	+346.0wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3704…5487backed Under	55c	65.82$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.2	153	49.7%76 W · 77 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over	52c	65.54$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.46	1,845	50.7%936 W · 909 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Under	77c	60$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.1	172	52.9%91 W · 81 L	+9.2wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Over	49c	59.18$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.18	639	43.3%277 W · 362 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x47e3…e736backed Under	47c	55$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.85	47	42.6%20 W · 27 L	-4.7wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over	41c	50$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.5	1,947	53.1%1,033 W · 914 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Under	46c	49.99$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	1,498	45.3%678 W · 820 L	-8.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf574…de82backed Under	47c	45$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.93	40	50%20 W · 20 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Under	46c	41.91$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.28	1,001	57.3%574 W · 427 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed Under	48c	40.54$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.46	288	50.3%145 W · 143 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Under	44c	40$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.6	232	48.7%113 W · 119 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over	56c	40$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.6	1,569	51.1%801 W · 768 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6762…a9a5backed Over	33c	39.99$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.79	268	53.4%143 W · 125 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Over	53c	37.74$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.74	625	54.2%339 W · 286 L	+18.2wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x55d6…1f24backed Over	53c	37.74$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.74	312	58%181 W · 131 L	+15.0wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over	54c	37.04$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.04	1,279	51.2%655 W · 624 L	-19.1wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under	47c	33.54$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.76	272	48.5%132 W · 140 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6e5b…bb9abacked Under	55c	32.73$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	143	58.7%84 W · 59 L	+7.7wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x938e…9b66backed Under	46c	32.61$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	481	50.7%244 W · 237 L	-19.3wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under	46c	29.59$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.61	2,947	51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L	-34.0wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa04d…1488backed Over	43c	27.91$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.91	447	37.4%167 W · 280 L	-24.1wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d5c…fb95backed Under	46c	26$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.96	43	32.6%14 W · 29 L	-5.9wins	-0.14per pick	46cpaid	-29%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over	40c	25.77$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.49	9,819	46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L	+39.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x34d8…b9d4backed Under	48c	25$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-2.0wins	-0.28per pick	43cpaid	-69.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x41d8…7233backed Under	55c	23.89$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.14	85	60%51 W · 34 L	+7.1wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x05b7…c24abacked Over	52c	22.21$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.66	280	43.2%121 W · 159 L	-23.2wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7268…78abbacked Over	68c	21.05$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.82	200	40%80 W · 120 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe461…c5aebacked Over	55c	20.47$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.21	25	64%16 W · 9 L	+2.4wins	+0.10per pick	54cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7701…6ea2backed Over	53c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.4	170	51.8%88 W · 82 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5this page
Detroit Tigers vs. New York MetsNew York Mets won
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets: O/U 10.5Over won
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets: O/U 11.5Over won
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets: O/U 4.5Over won
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets: O/U 5.5Over won
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5Over won
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5Over won
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5Over won
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)New York Mets won
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)New York Mets won
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-3.5)New York Mets won
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)New York Mets won
Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)New York Mets won
Spread: New York Mets (-3.5)New York Mets won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. New York MetsYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event