MLB · resolved market
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7a51408f57edc83f34ed1ebf74a20c9b7cf6768d3f873774c36afc7ae6be52b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Metsof Detroit Tigers, New York Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $609,339
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $724,887
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $609,339 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 416 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Detroit Tigers | 42c | 45,552$19,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,293.55 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8df7…36c4backed New York Mets | 58c | 29,335$17,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,320.56 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ea…7f3bbacked New York Mets | 26c | 26,943$7,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,817.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Detroit Tigers | 65c | 26,177$17,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,053.41 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed Detroit Tigers | 44c | 24,485$10,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,726.37 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Detroit Tigers | 46c | 22,574$10,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,402.84 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…8697backed New York Mets | 26c | 22,216$5,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,407.57 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Detroit Tigers | 39c | 20,513$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed New York Mets | 59c | 19,492$11,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,991.53 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed New York Mets | 61c | 11,991$7,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,676.47 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Detroit Tigers | 41c | 11,074$4,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,540.18 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed New York Mets | 58c | 10,100$5,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,239 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked New York Mets | 48c | 10,025$4,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,261.9 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…ddd7backed New York Mets | 58c | 9,214$5,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,869.75 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Detroit Tigers | 34c | 9,112$3,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,083.69 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed New York Mets | 66c | 9,073$5,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,116.41 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5234…4c4fbacked New York Mets | 61c | 8,082$4,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,151.84 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Detroit Tigers | 40c | 7,500$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed New York Mets | 58c | 6,582$3,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,788.03 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Detroit Tigers | 41c | 6,098$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed New York Mets | 28c | 6,000$1,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,339.94 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed New York Mets | 61c | 5,945$3,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,337.91 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed New York Mets | 60c | 5,329$3,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,157.61 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed New York Mets | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Detroit Tigers | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed New York Mets | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,049.98 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Detroit Tigers | 49c | 4,914$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.68 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Detroit Tigers | 40c | 4,904$1,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,961.55 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed New York Mets | 47c | 4,512$2,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,413.66 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Detroit Tigers | 40c | 3,750$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Detroit Tigers | 41c | 3,500$1,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419.22 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Detroit Tigers | 51c | 3,300$1,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,670.21 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Detroit Tigers | 56c | 3,298$1,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,854.13 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Detroit Tigers | 62c | 3,185$1,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,965.77 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed New York Mets | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed New York Mets | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed New York Mets | 47c | 2,945$1,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.25 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Detroit Tigers | 41c | 2,927$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed New York Mets | 48c | 2,877$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.05 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked New York Mets | 60c | 2,800$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed New York Mets | 49c | 2,596$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,314.88 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Detroit Tigers | 41c | 2,583$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.03 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed New York Mets | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked New York Mets | 55c | 2,500$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked New York Mets | 58c | 2,500$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked New York Mets | 61c | 2,351$1,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.84 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Detroit Tigers | 1c | 2,249$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed New York Mets | 36c | 2,219$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,422.7 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed New York Mets | 43c | 2,165$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.65 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked New York Mets | 60c | 2,160$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.6 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed New York Mets | 68c | 2,120$1,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.62 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7265…8712backed New York Mets | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04cf…9f77backed New York Mets | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New York Mets | 59c | 1,900$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.37 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked New York Mets | 77c | 1,896$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.37 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf3…f840backed Detroit Tigers | 3c | 1,755$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked New York Mets | 60c | 1,744$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.61 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Detroit Tigers | 53c | 1,726$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.06 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1da3…2f94backed New York Mets | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.92 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f7e…a53ebacked Detroit Tigers | 2c | 1,660$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed New York Mets | 58c | 1,640$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.75 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Detroit Tigers | 61c | 1,623$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.33 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New York Mets | 53c | 1,592$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.25 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Detroit Tigers | 54c | 1,534$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.23 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed New York Mets | 54c | 1,527$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.21 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Detroit Tigers | 39c | 1,518$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.02 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked New York Mets | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed New York Mets | 67c | 1,489$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.17 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a90…1dddbacked Detroit Tigers | 39c | 1,434$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.17 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Detroit Tigers | 45c | 1,399$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.86 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a92…a425backed Detroit Tigers | 4c | 1,339$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed New York Mets | 57c | 1,322$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.58 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Detroit Tigers | 65c | 1,213$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.24 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb7…1548backed Detroit Tigers | 2c | 1,140$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed New York Mets | 23c | 1,100$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Detroit Tigers | 70c | 1,084$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.72 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked New York Mets | 47c | 1,042$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.71 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed New York Mets | 56c | 1,009$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.01 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed New York Mets | 61c | 1,005$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.95 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2f…0ddabacked New York Mets | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63fa…7ea4backed New York Mets | 61c | 983.61$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.61 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Detroit Tigers | 40c | 875$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70e9…836abacked New York Mets | 36c | 866.67$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.63 | 213 | 23.5%50 W · 163 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb233…3e51backed Detroit Tigers | 3c | 832.62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Detroit Tigers | 47c | 811.44$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.38 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed New York Mets | 69c | 805.45$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.61 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1d…eb2ebacked New York Mets | 68c | 800.44$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.65 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Detroit Tigers | 40c | 797.08$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.6 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Detroit Tigers | 9c | 750$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.95 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Detroit Tigers | 44c | 734$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.27 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked New York Mets | 52c | 700$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 275 | 52.4%144 W · 131 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Detroit Tigers | 46c | 686.35$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.49 | 206 | 47.1%97 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5a…07b6backed New York Mets | 55c | 651.65$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.24 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed New York Mets | 54c | 617$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.53 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed New York Mets | 61c | 606.94$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.71 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb416…4588backed Detroit Tigers | 42c | 600$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed New York Mets | 37c | 558.48$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.85 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Detroit Tigers | 41c | 549.89$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.46 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Detroit Tigers | 8c | 538.06$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.04 | 172 | 52.9%91 W · 81 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1465…e0dbbacked Detroit Tigers | 39c | 519.48$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.6 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Detroit Tigers vs. New York Metsthis page
- Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets: O/U 10.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets: O/U 11.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets: O/U 4.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets: O/U 5.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-3.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-3.5)New York Mets won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. New York MetsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.