MLB · resolved market

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93f5fb49791289c1762531b1751efcee2dbec4dd7261065e77d1d85afd9e9429

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: May 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $151,263
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $156,408

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,263 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x531b…6022backed Under	45c	78,757$35,441 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43,316.5	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+2.0wins	+0.25per pick	50cpaid	+50%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b4e…0232backed Over	55c	55,596$30,578 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30,577.7	31	38.7%12 W · 19 L	-3.7wins	-0.12per pick	51cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Over	55c	40,000$22,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,000	283	50.9%144 W · 139 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under	52c	7,422$3,874 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,547.6	11,357	52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L	+209.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c12…487dbacked Under	56c	3,884$2,175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,708.78	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a4c…1f30backed Over	54c	3,000$1,620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,619.99	89	43.8%39 W · 50 L	-5.5wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed Under	56c	2,720$1,523 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,196.9	35	25.7%9 W · 26 L	-6.8wins	-0.19per pick	45cpaid	-46.4%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Over	54c	2,300$1,231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,231	866	53%459 W · 407 L	+16.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78b0…9f1abacked Over	45c	2,289$1,030 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,030	390	47.4%185 W · 205 L	-11.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under	48c	2,170$1,032 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,137.85	2,407	48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L	-62.3wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over	55c	1,996$1,090 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,090.41	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under	56c	1,820$1,019 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$800.8	1,909	53.5%1,021 W · 888 L	+29.1wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d16…821abacked Under	56c	1,796$1,006 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$790.06	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+1.8wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	73c	1,495$1,091 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$403.58	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed Under	52c	1,165$606 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$559.2	660	50.2%331 W · 329 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under	79c	1,117$885 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$231.78	8,295	47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L	+72.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8cc…015bbacked Under	48c	1,100$528 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$572	64	53.1%34 W · 30 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under	48c	1,060$513 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$546.31	1,769	51.6%912 W · 857 L	+16.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Under	47c	1,040$492 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$547.73	827	41.1%340 W · 487 L	-21.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under	45c	1,005$452 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$552.75	737	48.4%357 W · 380 L	-7.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab4d…3f0bbacked Under	57c	1,000$570 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$430	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-1.6wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over	52c	1,000$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	96	55.2%53 W · 43 L	+4.3wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Over	54c	999.99$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$539.99	172	48.8%84 W · 88 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecee…2120backed Under	46c	999.99$460 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$539.99	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	+2.6wins	+0.12per pick	47cpaid	+28.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under	46c	979.99$451 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$529.19	491	58.9%289 W · 202 L	+30.8wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over	27c	818.67$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.04	1,912	53%1,014 W · 898 L	+42.5wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	49c	698.72$340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$358.89	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Over	55c	637$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350.35	272	49.3%134 W · 138 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ae…7aa6backed Over	52c	576.92$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	70	48.6%34 W · 36 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Under	56c	540$302 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$237.6	299	50.5%151 W · 148 L	-7.0wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Over	51c	505.2$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257.65	604	51%308 W · 296 L	-2.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Under	57c	350.88$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.88	120	49.2%59 W · 61 L	-4.3wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under	53c	285.69$152 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.17	1,284	49.5%635 W · 649 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf6f1…b386backed Under	57c	263.16$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.16	41	41.5%17 W · 24 L	-1.9wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2c6…d14dbacked Over	54c	248.98$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.45	84	41.7%35 W · 49 L	-4.4wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Under	57c	210$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.3	6,303	48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L	+181.4wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9b4…3824backed Over	47c	209.57$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.5	107	46.7%50 W · 57 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Over	6c	203.31$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.16	89	43.8%39 W · 50 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7ab…2059backed Under	56c	199.5$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.78	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.48per pick	53cpaid	+91.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Under	56c	192.86$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.86	1,000	52.4%524 W · 476 L	+5.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb0b…62cdbacked Over	46c	173.91$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	795	43%342 W · 453 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under	53c	172.57$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.11	753	44.1%332 W · 421 L	-10.1wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over	42c	160.78$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.72	9,728	46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L	+32.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8884…f29bbacked Under	59c	140.68$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.68	32	65.6%21 W · 11 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	63cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Over	44c	117.5$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.7	997	44.1%440 W · 557 L	-38.0wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Over	55c	100.44$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.24	1,205	58.8%708 W · 497 L	+31.1wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under	47c	100$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53	373	57.4%214 W · 159 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91ad…a5cabacked Under	56c	100$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44	51	39.2%20 W · 31 L	-5.1wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over	55c	99.99$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	707	44.7%316 W · 391 L	-22.5wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under	45c	99.98$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.99	1,836	50.8%932 W · 904 L	-3.9wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked Under	59c	90.72$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.38	1,149	48.9%562 W · 587 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Under	44c	75.66$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.37	232	48.7%113 W · 119 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Under	48c	73$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.96	722	47.6%344 W · 378 L	-12.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under	48c	70$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.4	1,753	50.8%890 W · 863 L	+29.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Under	46c	65$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.1	176	45.5%80 W · 96 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5f59…bd2dbacked Over	45c	56.96$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.63	35	42.9%15 W · 20 L	-3.4wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6c97…82adbacked Over	55c	52.73$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	68	42.6%29 W · 39 L	-6.0wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Under	57c	52.63$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.63	267	47.9%128 W · 139 L	-6.8wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Under	46c	50.85$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.46	1,001	57.3%574 W · 427 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Under	74c	50$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13	570	46.8%267 W · 303 L	+14.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bf7…6f57backed Over	54c	50$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	112	50%56 W · 56 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Under	55c	49.09$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.09	63	46%29 W · 34 L	-4.4wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under	64c	47.3$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.95	2,293	48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L	-24.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…71cebacked Under	56c	44.64$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.64	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb021…4aabbacked Under	46c	43.48$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.48	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf574…de82backed Under	48c	42.8$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.26	40	50%20 W · 20 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfef5…4e98backed Under	79c	41.97$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.79	37	67.6%25 W · 12 L	+3.3wins	+0.09per pick	59cpaid	+16%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Under	49c	40.82$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.82	625	54.2%339 W · 286 L	+18.2wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4dea…5e23backed Under	45c	38$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.9	425	50.1%213 W · 212 L	+8.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under	77c	34.36$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.91	4,381	44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L	+77.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8499…950dbacked Under	45c	33.33$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.33	99	45.5%45 W · 54 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6202…8872backed Under	47c	30$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.05	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a51…51eebacked Over	56c	29.63$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.59	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-3.4wins	-0.37per pick	71cpaid	-50.9%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under	53c	27$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.69	5,786	43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L	-192.2wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x590a…c459backed Under	56c	26.52$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.67	114	51.8%59 W · 55 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9d5c…fb95backed Under	46c	26$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.04	43	32.6%14 W · 29 L	-5.9wins	-0.14per pick	46cpaid	-29%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc3bc…ec35backed Over	55c	25$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.64	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.55per pick	55cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under	48c	23.06$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.99	2,947	51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L	-34.0wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05b7…c24abacked Under	48c	22.2$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.54	280	43.2%121 W · 159 L	-23.2wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe00b…256fbacked Over	55c	21.49$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.82	108	50.9%55 W · 53 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe275…a114backed Under	56c	20.53$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.03	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.1wins	+0.36per pick	64cpaid	+57.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Over	55c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	222	48.6%108 W · 114 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Under	56c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.8	619	48.6%301 W · 318 L	+5.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5this page
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red SoxPhiladelphia Phillies won
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5Under won
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 2.5Over won
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 3.5Over won
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 4.5Under won
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 5.5Under won
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 6.5Under won
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5Under won
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red SoxNo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event