MLB · resolved market
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0abefd82f115aa4ca4d52c1c6c07a9c548c7850f5ccebc907de1499e76eb1c1f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philadelphia Philliesof Philadelphia Phillies, Boston Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $961,300
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,001,051
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $961,300 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 536 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 312,683$149,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163,671.38 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Boston Red Sox | 52c | 200,000$104,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103,999.9 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ea…7f3bbacked Boston Red Sox | 53c | 107,546$56,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,806.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 100,000$52,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,796.24 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 47,541$22,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,108.99 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 43,463$21,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,386.15 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 35,307$16,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,359.77 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Boston Red Sox | 56c | 33,065$18,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,414.19 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5234…4c4fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 23,729$10,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,061.3 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…82c9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 20,833$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,833.33 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6111…4742backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,200 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 15,357$7,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,678.74 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 15,264$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,264 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 14,634$7,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,317 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…e838backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 13,682$6,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,114.68 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0a…a9bebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 12,000$5,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,640 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 12,000$6,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,120 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Boston Red Sox | 8c | 10,565$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.18 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 124 | 57.3%71 W · 53 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Boston Red Sox | 52c | 8,300$4,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,348.99 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 8,000$3,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,080 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Boston Red Sox | 53c | 7,698$4,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,080.11 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 6,570$3,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,087.93 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Boston Red Sox | 12c | 5,574$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.35 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 5,497$2,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,913.62 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 5,192$2,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,753.29 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Boston Red Sox | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…285dbacked Boston Red Sox | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 4,664$2,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,451.86 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Boston Red Sox | 39c | 4,597$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,784.9 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 4,500$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,979.98 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Boston Red Sox | 44c | 3,904$1,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,717.89 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 3,860$2,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,006.99 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Boston Red Sox | 0c | 3,835$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Boston Red Sox | 48c | 3,640$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.73 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 3,623$1,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,753.76 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 3,545$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 3,332$1,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,667.45 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Philadelphia Phillies | 69c | 3,312$2,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.36 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 3,097$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,609.7 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 3,007$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,543.69 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82c1…c2c6backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 2,820$1,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.57 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Boston Red Sox | 51c | 2,697$1,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,366.2 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Boston Red Sox | 45c | 2,605$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.97 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd33…4aaabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 2,600$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…1fcabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 2,491$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.35 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 2,487$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.84 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 2,487$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.84 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Boston Red Sox | 52c | 2,462$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,273.5 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 67c | 2,187$1,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.54 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 2,186$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.1 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9976…59acbacked Boston Red Sox | 62c | 2,121$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.96 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 705 | 46.8%330 W · 375 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd181…5136backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 2,068$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.45 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 2,011$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.94 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Boston Red Sox | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbf…d37fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 42c | 1,951$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.38 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 1,941$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.74 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 1,898$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.9 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Boston Red Sox | 48c | 1,856$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Boston Red Sox | 11c | 1,842$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.64 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d57…18ddbacked Boston Red Sox | 55c | 1,839$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.79 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 1,811$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.28 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Boston Red Sox | 53c | 1,702$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.18 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Boston Red Sox | 49c | 1,699$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.04 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Boston Red Sox | 48c | 1,659$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.39 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 1,633$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.83 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Boston Red Sox | 49c | 1,632$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.62 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8c…35b0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 1,591$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.91 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Boston Red Sox | 22c | 1,588$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd501…b86ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 1,579$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.56 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.99 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 1,489$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.17 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Boston Red Sox | 1c | 1,486$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 1,473$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.61 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Boston Red Sox | 22c | 1,413$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.85 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Boston Red Sox | 39c | 1,394$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.07 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb2…eb78backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 1,358$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.83 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +162%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…5874backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 1,347$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 1,307$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.35 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Boston Red Sox | 46c | 1,298$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.67 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 1,278$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.52 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8829…cfcfbacked Boston Red Sox | 6c | 1,270$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 1,258$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.69 | 446 | 48.7%217 W · 229 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 1,242$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.35 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 1,225$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8644…ad01backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 1,200$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Boston Red Sox | 50c | 1,194$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.32 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 1,133$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.89 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.11 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Boston Red Sox | 63c | 1,078$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.1 | 218 | 41.3%90 W · 128 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Soxthis page
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 2.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 3.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 4.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 5.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 6.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red SoxNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.