MLB · resolved market
Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c0d6adb84ce01c0d2a3ace7cebfa8a49d9027cae6f03d8e8fd1f39a4bcc0dca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $135,331
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $159,899
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,331 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 48c | 44,492$21,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,060.3 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 52c | 29,197$15,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,052.06 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Over | 53c | 23,385$12,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,885.38 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 51c | 8,577$4,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,374.33 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.99 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 47c | 2,712$1,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450.26 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 46c | 2,212$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.19 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Over | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Over | 49c | 1,928$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.53 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 42c | 1,795$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.89 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd181…5136backed Over | 58c | 1,715$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.18 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 53c | 1,571$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.78 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 47c | 1,417$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.02 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 48c | 1,087$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.21 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 52c | 1,070$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.45 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Under | 47c | 1,070$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.9 | 96 | 66.7%64 W · 32 L | +16.4wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 49c | 1,005$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.55 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 47c | 852.56$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.58 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 52c | 837.93$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.21 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Under | 61c | 646.11$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.91 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under | 61c | 642.72$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.1 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd3…5896backed Over | 49c | 509.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.09 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 14c | 502$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.42 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…511fbacked Under | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 243 | 50.6%123 W · 120 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 53c | 394$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.39 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 50c | 323.77$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.88 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Under | 51c | 286$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.52 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3146…d153backed Under | 61c | 245.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.01 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x797f…f08abacked Over | 45c | 244.44$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.44 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 41c | 235.45$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.76 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 59c | 206$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.46 | 570 | 46.8%267 W · 303 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 52c | 186$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.72 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe14…2d1bbacked Under | 54c | 181.73$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.13 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 39cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 70c | 166.33$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.9 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 50c | 164.4$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.2 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 47c | 163.38$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.59 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2003…af6fbacked Over | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 124 | 46%57 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 55c | 150$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.75 | 272 | 48.5%132 W · 140 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x085b…ab9fbacked Over | 30c | 138.47$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.93 | 339 | 34.5%117 W · 222 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 50c | 134.96$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.48 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…5487backed Over | 50c | 131.36$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.46 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 55c | 103.67$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.49 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d3…91aabacked Over | 49c | 101.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.71 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 577 | 47.7%275 W · 302 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 62c | 98.9$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.75 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3803…765ebacked Under | 54c | 96.3$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked Under | 60c | 82.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x389d…995fbacked Under | 60c | 82.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…39dabacked Under | 60c | 82.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 185 | 47.6%88 W · 97 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed Under | 61c | 81.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 130 | 46.9%61 W · 69 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 53c | 80.15$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.14 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c97…82adbacked Over | 49c | 77.55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.55 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 78c | 75$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.55 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed Under | 41c | 62.31$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 830 | 53%440 W · 390 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 50c | 57.24$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe743…ce0fbacked Under | 53c | 56.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c59…0c2cbacked Under | 61c | 49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41d8…7233backed Over | 53c | 47.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Over | 47c | 46.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 328 | 57.9%190 W · 138 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Under | 53c | 46.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d92…0aaabacked Under | 48c | 41.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 49c | 41.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…19a9backed Under | 51c | 39.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Over | 54c | 33.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Over | 52c | 32.76$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 509 | 54%275 W · 234 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e24…b31fbacked Under | 52c | 31.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…9e64backed Under | 53c | 31.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 295 | 53.2%157 W · 138 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Under | 47c | 24.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a1…5a4fbacked Over | 48c | 23.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.46 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06b…c1e1backed Under | 52c | 23.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 67c | 21.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 486 | 53.7%261 W · 225 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe461…c5aebacked Under | 52c | 21.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…c24abacked Under | 60c | 21.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | -23.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8582…40cebacked Over | 53c | 20.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Under | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 353 | 41.1%145 W · 208 L | -16.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Under | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf2…fa7bbacked Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 54cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9c…8824backed Under | 61c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5this page
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-9.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-3.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati RedsCincinnati Reds won
- Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 11.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 12.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 5.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 6.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati RedsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.