MLB · resolved market
Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf469cb1768a348a4f4c66a11b7aa8e768facedc7f44a1bdaf4ddb13f76be27b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cincinnati Redsof Washington Nationals, Cincinnati Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $447,493
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $502,946
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $447,493 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 307 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 123,006$51,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,632.76 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 71,924$42,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,488.88 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 70,934$41,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,792.18 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 48,400$19,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,844 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 45,343$26,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,590.55 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 45,000$26,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,900 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 29,910$12,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,240.58 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Washington Nationals | 36c | 24,763$8,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,979.91 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 17,917$7,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,346.7 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 13,157$7,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,523.02 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,199.85 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Cincinnati Reds | 75c | 7,227$5,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,806.74 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Washington Nationals | 42c | 7,143$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 79c | 7,071$5,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,468.9 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Washington Nationals | 24c | 7,043$1,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,721.53 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Washington Nationals | 25c | 6,886$1,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,721.53 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…8697backed Washington Nationals | 21c | 6,647$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394.05 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Cincinnati Reds | 75c | 6,516$4,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,628.9 | 752 | 44%331 W · 421 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Washington Nationals | 0c | 5,479$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad58…7624backed Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 3,688$2,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.95 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Washington Nationals | 41c | 3,148$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295.47 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.97 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 2,857$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Washington Nationals | 21c | 2,711$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.25 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 2,675$1,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.05 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Cincinnati Reds | 76c | 2,316$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.77 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 75c | 1,949$1,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.64 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Cincinnati Reds | 78c | 1,881$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.2 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 1,873$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.93 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.98 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.98 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Washington Nationals | 41c | 1,405$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.09 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe807…307cbacked Washington Nationals | 39c | 1,331$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.3 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 73c | 1,291$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.83 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc6…885fbacked Washington Nationals | 2c | 1,234$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Cincinnati Reds | 75c | 1,206$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.72 | 851 | 35.8%305 W · 546 L | -23.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Washington Nationals | 19c | 1,100$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.66 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb416…4588backed Washington Nationals | 32c | 1,091$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cincinnati Reds | 79c | 1,034$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.6 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 1,005$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.05 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 1,003$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.23 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Washington Nationals | 24c | 992.21$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.36 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 959.96$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.56 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1d…eb2ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 77c | 792.53$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.48 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Washington Nationals | 19c | 728.48$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.34 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Cincinnati Reds | 78c | 668.15$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.23 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…ba42backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 665.8$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.98 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41a2…b163backed Washington Nationals | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Washington Nationals | 37c | 624.58$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.09 | 96 | 66.7%64 W · 32 L | +16.4wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc0…7faabacked Washington Nationals | 39c | 610.26$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Washington Nationals | 21c | 609$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.8 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd3…5896backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 604.95$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.03 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Cincinnati Reds | 66c | 601.75$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.75 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 600$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee3…cab9backed Washington Nationals | 28c | 550$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.5 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 550$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.5 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 510.17$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.17 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Washington Nationals | 41c | 503$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.53 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b88…4802backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 485$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 482$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Washington Nationals | 14c | 469$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.16 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0b…0c98backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 430.95$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -4.4wins | -0.32per pick | 53cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Washington Nationals | 40c | 430.73$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.29 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x087b…713ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 414.63$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5a…07b6backed Cincinnati Reds | 61c | 409$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…add6backed Washington Nationals | 5c | 370.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 358.66$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.38 | 206 | 47.1%97 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Cincinnati Reds | 61c | 325.02$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.76 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6597…b746backed Cincinnati Reds | 62c | 300.44$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.31 | 253 | 51.8%131 W · 122 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 346 | 48.6%168 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Washington Nationals | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d62…eaf3backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 292.68$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 277$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.34 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Cincinnati Reds | 60c | 271.13$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.45 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 250$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 247$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.27 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Cincinnati Reds | 78c | 245$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.25 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3146…d153backed Cincinnati Reds | 60c | 244.74$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.84 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Washington Nationals | 42c | 240$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Washington Nationals | 19c | 230.21$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.74 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Washington Nationals | 41c | 230$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.3 | 415 | 49.2%204 W · 211 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 78c | 225.01$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…013fbacked Washington Nationals | 7c | 214.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Washington Nationals | 34c | 205$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.7 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 200.12$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.05 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Washington Nationals | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f7…3c0cbacked Washington Nationals | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 134 | 59.7%80 W · 54 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Washington Nationals | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Washington Nationals | 5c | 196.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 192.93$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.03 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 190.48$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 389 | 56.8%221 W · 168 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Cincinnati Reds | 70c | 189.67$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.9 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Cincinnati Reds | 76c | 184.86$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.38 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…f32ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 60c | 184.29$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +41%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe14…2d1bbacked Washington Nationals | 22c | 182.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 39cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Washington Nationals | 26c | 172.41$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.28 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7720…f34cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 60c | 171.48$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.59 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…731cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 161 | 59.6%96 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x085b…ab9fbacked Washington Nationals | 30c | 166.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.83 | 339 | 34.5%117 W · 222 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Redsthis page
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-9.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-3.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 11.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 12.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 5.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 6.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati RedsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.