TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$40,449
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$40,629

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,449 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16bb…8492backed Over54c19,549$10,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,992.6886548.7%421 W · 444 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under45c12,819$5,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,733.992,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under45c5,237$2,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,358.3511,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over55c2,546$1,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,154.814,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Under46c2,500$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1507550.7%38 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over62c2,188$1,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.0910,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over44c2,107$927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,180.219,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Under46c1,496$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.582,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed Under46c1,200$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5526855.9%38 W · 30 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over62c1,085$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.311,91253%1,014 W · 898 L+42.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed Under46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4605143.1%22 W · 29 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under44c999.99$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4446,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under46c999.99$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46044451.1%227 W · 217 L+1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under44c834.29$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.891,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Over54c814.33$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.5928154.4%153 W · 128 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over38c705.24$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.251,21547.6%578 W · 637 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over38c705.24$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.251,10648.7%539 W · 567 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Under53c688.6$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.872744.4%12 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+25.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Over52c662.66$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.081,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under53c662.16$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.6912352.8%65 W · 58 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under46c537.12$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.452,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4ca…5d8dbacked Over52c468.8$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.74683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick48cpaid+72.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under47c333.08$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.548,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Over54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13859150.3%297 W · 294 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Over54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13813452.2%70 W · 64 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3146…d153backed Under52c285.86$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15017749.7%88 W · 89 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over67c276.97$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.42,24357.6%1,293 W · 950 L+37.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Over59c254.05$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.1657046.8%267 W · 303 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over47c238.95$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.774,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd52c…6c59backed Under47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029331.7%93 W · 200 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb267…5f55backed Under43c206.81$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.933951.3%20 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Over55c187.52$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.913,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6717…d6ebbacked Over58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4137256.5%210 W · 162 L+1.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Over33c162.14$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.246,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Over62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2965248.3%315 W · 337 L+1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Under47c152.55$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.71,01447.7%484 W · 530 L-28.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under46c149$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.541,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under46c146.5$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.392,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3704…5487backed Over45c136.74$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.515349.7%76 W · 77 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed Over44c132$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.927558.7%44 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x32f7…f399backed Under47c127.65$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603762.2%23 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under46c120$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.21,43550%717 W · 718 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e5b…bb9abacked Over47c114.89$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.8914358.7%84 W · 59 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x05b7…c24abacked Under47c111.08$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7828043.2%121 W · 159 L-23.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Under47c107$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2972648.1%349 W · 377 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7790…427abacked Under47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2573…2726backed Over58c103.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.4523051.7%119 W · 111 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under42c103.16$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.331,28449.5%635 W · 649 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Over60c100.3$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.9367742.2%286 W · 391 L-36.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c42…e05cbacked Under47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456746.3%31 W · 36 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Over54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4678454.5%427 W · 357 L+19.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5b3…4756backed Under51c98.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013046.9%61 W · 69 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e45…39dabacked Under51c98.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018547.6%88 W · 97 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27cf…979abacked Under51c98.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012049.2%59 W · 61 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x389d…995fbacked Under51c97.61$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013144.3%58 W · 73 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under76c87.1$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.258,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9244…643cbacked Over62c84.58$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.147057.1%40 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-6.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked Under33c79.97$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.391,14948.9%562 W · 587 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Under46c77$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4272247.6%344 W · 378 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bba…49babacked Under30c76.3$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.893053.3%16 W · 14 L+5.5wins+0.18per pick35cpaid+931.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under46c70$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.21,75350.8%890 W · 863 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under42c69.7$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.271,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa23c…ae92backed Over53c66.04$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.0416251.9%84 W · 78 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under54c55.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3061450.8%312 W · 302 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Under43c53.29$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9267444.1%297 W · 377 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x41d8…7233backed Over47c52.61$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.688560%51 W · 34 L+7.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Under58c51.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,19753.9%645 W · 552 L+42.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5f5…bb11backed Over58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2155953.1%297 W · 262 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07c0…5dd2backed Over53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.518458.2%107 W · 77 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c59…0c2cbacked Under50c49$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick57cpaid-30.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee11…19a9backed Under47c43.47$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4311553%61 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb021…4aabbacked Under47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Under48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2062554.2%339 W · 286 L+18.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa05a…4635backed Under49c40.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.683053%440 W · 390 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Over57c38.6$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.654651.3%280 W · 266 L+29.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6d2…d883backed Over47c35.46$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.69425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-47.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x59de…19babacked Under47c32.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.44728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-49.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbd3…c608backed Over45c31$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.05333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over36c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1448653.7%261 W · 225 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2827…64f6backed Under47c28.6$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4420764.7%134 W · 73 L+21.2wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+21.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under46c26.1$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0125249.6%125 W · 127 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe840…013fbacked Under46c25.64$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under43c25.18$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8399624.6%245 W · 751 L-70.1wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-24.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x48b9…abe2backed Under48c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1234843.4%151 W · 197 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe461…c5aebacked Under43c23.94$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.292564%16 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+18.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd22f…d0eebacked Over59c23.73$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.739146.2%42 W · 49 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Over61c22.19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6526854.1%145 W · 123 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4978…ea9abacked Under64c20.3$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.99633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-45.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb1ee…0f22backed Over54c19$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.745052%26 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over62c18$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.842,54545.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L-73.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.