MLB · resolved market
Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3798cc95e3c719798fd6fbd93277a19a9ff7a709fa55ce1a86a65a241deb0ba9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,449
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,629
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,449 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Over | 54c | 19,549$10,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,992.68 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 45c | 12,819$5,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,733.99 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 45c | 5,237$2,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,358.35 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 55c | 2,546$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.81 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked Under | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 62c | 2,188$1,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.09 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 44c | 2,107$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.21 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Under | 46c | 1,496$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.58 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Under | 46c | 1,200$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 62c | 1,085$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.31 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Under | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 44c | 999.99$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 46c | 999.99$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 44c | 834.29$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.89 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Over | 54c | 814.33$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.59 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 38c | 705.24$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.25 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 38c | 705.24$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.25 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Under | 53c | 688.6$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.87 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 52c | 662.66$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.08 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under | 53c | 662.16$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.69 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 46c | 537.12$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.45 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ca…5d8dbacked Over | 52c | 468.8$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.74 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 47c | 333.08$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.54 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Over | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Over | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3146…d153backed Under | 52c | 285.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 67c | 276.97$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.4 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 59c | 254.05$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.16 | 570 | 46.8%267 W · 303 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 47c | 238.95$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.77 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 293 | 31.7%93 W · 200 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb267…5f55backed Under | 43c | 206.81$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.93 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 55c | 187.52$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.91 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 372 | 56.5%210 W · 162 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 33c | 162.14$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.24 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Over | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 47c | 152.55$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.7 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 46c | 149$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.54 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 46c | 146.5$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.39 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…5487backed Over | 45c | 136.74$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.5 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Over | 44c | 132$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.92 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f7…f399backed Under | 47c | 127.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 46c | 120$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Over | 47c | 114.89$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.89 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…c24abacked Under | 47c | 111.08$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.78 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | -23.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Under | 47c | 107$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.29 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7790…427abacked Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2573…2726backed Over | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 230 | 51.7%119 W · 111 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 42c | 103.16$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.33 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 60c | 100.3$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.93 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c42…e05cbacked Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed Under | 51c | 98.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 130 | 46.9%61 W · 69 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…39dabacked Under | 51c | 98.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 185 | 47.6%88 W · 97 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked Under | 51c | 98.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x389d…995fbacked Under | 51c | 97.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 76c | 87.1$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.25 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9244…643cbacked Over | 62c | 84.58$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.14 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Under | 33c | 79.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 46c | 77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.42 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bba…49babacked Under | 30c | 76.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +5.5wins | +0.18per pick | 35cpaid | +931.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 46c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 42c | 69.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.27 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa23c…ae92backed Over | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 43c | 53.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 674 | 44.1%297 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41d8…7233backed Over | 47c | 52.61$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.68 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Under | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Over | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07c0…5dd2backed Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 184 | 58.2%107 W · 77 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c59…0c2cbacked Under | 50c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…19a9backed Under | 47c | 43.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb021…4aabbacked Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed Under | 49c | 40.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 830 | 53%440 W · 390 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 57c | 38.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 546 | 51.3%280 W · 266 L | +29.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d2…d883backed Over | 47c | 35.46$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59de…19babacked Under | 47c | 32.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd3…c608backed Over | 45c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 486 | 53.7%261 W · 225 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Under | 47c | 28.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 207 | 64.7%134 W · 73 L | +21.2wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 46c | 26.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…013fbacked Under | 46c | 25.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 43c | 25.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48b9…abe2backed Under | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 348 | 43.4%151 W · 197 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe461…c5aebacked Under | 43c | 23.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked Over | 59c | 23.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Over | 61c | 22.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 268 | 54.1%145 W · 123 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4978…ea9abacked Under | 64c | 20.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ee…0f22backed Over | 54c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 62c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5this page
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-9.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-3.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati RedsCincinnati Reds won
- Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 11.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 12.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 5.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 6.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati RedsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.