MLB · resolved market

Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6330dbccd872a4e0360f58132d528134a7a05a913b2c76ac62a2bddee70aa5c

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: May 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $39,333
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $42,548

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,333 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5268…135dbacked Under	51c	5,807$2,987 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,986.55	11,357	52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L	+209.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Over	46c	5,242$2,420 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,822.06	272	54.4%148 W · 124 L	+12.0wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Under	23c	4,484$1,031 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,031.23	1,522	34.7%528 W · 994 L	+27.1wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over	76c	3,740$2,832 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$908.08	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0979…fc8abacked Under	3c	2,250$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	102	15.7%16 W · 86 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under	55c	1,789$978 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$977.85	2,407	48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L	-62.3wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under	49c	1,584$775 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$774.78	2,293	48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L	-24.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b5a…7070backed Over	70c	1,573$1,104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$469	31	71%22 W · 9 L	+2.5wins	+0.08per pick	63cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xedd1…45a9backed Under	9c	1,550$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.5	46	19.6%9 W · 37 L	+4.9wins	+0.11per pick	9cpaid	+122.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over	51c	1,500$765 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$735	672	50.1%337 W · 335 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f70…ce77backed Under	11c	1,450$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.5	43	20.9%9 W · 34 L	+4.5wins	+0.10per pick	11cpaid	+89.7%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5c14…68f3backed Under	7c	1,278$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.12	29	6.9%2 W · 27 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over	50c	1,156$581 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$575.69	3,792	45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L	-5.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Over	69c	999.99$690 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$310	116	38.8%45 W · 71 L	-6.1wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x16e5…6373backed Over	56c	870$487 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$382.8	86	58.1%50 W · 36 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Over	44c	800$352 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$448	866	53%459 W · 407 L	+16.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under	37c	754.75$281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280.71	8,295	47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L	+72.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcff0…fa1abacked Under	14c	750$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.5	45	22.2%10 W · 35 L	+4.9wins	+0.11per pick	11cpaid	+117.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbde7…cf8abacked Under	15c	725$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.5	160	19.4%31 W · 129 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under	53c	674.66$358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$357.57	3,453	51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L	+58.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under	54c	480.52$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.03	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a96…998dbacked Over	43c	465.12$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$265.12	55	40%22 W · 33 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Under	40c	446.8$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.72	2,243	57.6%1,293 W · 950 L	+37.1wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Under	28c	443$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.02	6,303	48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L	+181.4wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7da4…f0a4backed Under	8c	416$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.94	86	30.2%26 W · 60 L	+11.3wins	+0.13per pick	17cpaid	+83.1%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3c41…6275backed Under	7c	399.61$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.99	63	14.3%9 W · 54 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	+58.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over	49c	337.53$166 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$171.99	1,769	51.6%912 W · 857 L	+16.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Over	52c	320$166 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153.6	224	48.7%109 W · 115 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under	44c	314.44$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.07	677	42.2%286 W · 391 L	-36.7wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-18%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x845a…37acbacked Under	15c	300$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	65	32.3%21 W · 44 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	+24.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under	33c	227.33$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.72	1,215	47.6%578 W · 637 L	-19.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Under	30c	226.67$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68	89	43.8%39 W · 50 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under	33c	226.42$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.72	1,106	48.7%539 W · 567 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over	51c	206.09$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.99	9,728	46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L	+32.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over	62c	199.05$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.78	825	51.6%426 W · 399 L	+3.8wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed Over	66c	198.36$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.72	880	53.8%473 W · 407 L	+41.0wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked Under	28c	194.42$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.2	1,149	48.9%562 W · 587 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bfa…8b61backed Over	52c	192.31$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.31	183	56.8%104 W · 79 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Under	30c	192.12$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.97	1,733	49%849 W · 884 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd52c…6c59backed Under	28c	178.57$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	293	31.7%93 W · 200 L	-11.7wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over	64c	155.54$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.65	753	44.1%332 W · 421 L	-10.1wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over	51c	121$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.29	750	49.7%373 W · 377 L	+7.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over	68c	120$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39	5,127	54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L	+232.0wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under	44c	112$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.76	1,843	43.6%804 W · 1,039 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Over	48c	103.99$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.07	1,137	46.3%526 W · 611 L	+36.1wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under	44c	101.17$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.51	2,545	45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L	-73.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4193…4853backed Under	48c	100$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	846	51.5%436 W · 410 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb0f4…6fa9backed Over	55c	100$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45	1,777	58.4%1,037 W · 740 L	+91.8wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under	55c	100$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	373	57.4%214 W · 159 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98af…b216backed Under	13c	91$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.62	93	15.1%14 W · 79 L	-9.5wins	-0.10per pick	25cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Over	65c	86.6$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.31	997	44.1%440 W · 557 L	-38.0wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb0b…62cdbacked Under	47c	85.11$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	795	43%342 W · 453 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6c97…82adbacked Over	47c	80.28$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.28	68	42.6%29 W · 39 L	-6.0wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Under	30c	80$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	99	39.4%39 W · 60 L	-5.3wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ebc…01c6backed Under	45c	78.73$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.43	92	43.5%40 W · 52 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under	53c	78.49$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.6	1,284	49.5%635 W · 649 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa516…235cbacked Under	30c	59.98$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.69	54	42.6%23 W · 31 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3043…c086backed Under	54c	59.26$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	13	76.9%10 W · 3 L	+2.7wins	+0.21per pick	56cpaid	+37.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over	51c	58.82$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.82	1,279	51.2%655 W · 624 L	-19.1wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a61…e6d8backed Over	58c	56.74$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.74	91	50.5%46 W · 45 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8499…950dbacked Under	54c	55.56$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	99	45.5%45 W · 54 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e1c…35c6backed Under	57c	50.88$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	30	53.3%16 W · 14 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Under	52c	50.77$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.4	1,001	57.3%574 W · 427 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7242…ac6fbacked Under	54c	43.86$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.68	131	52.7%69 W · 62 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under	40c	43.66$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.38	1,269	47.4%602 W · 667 L	-31.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over	54c	43.11$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.91	2,583	61.4%1,587 W · 996 L	+70.9wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41d8…7233backed Under	51c	39.51$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.24	85	60%51 W · 34 L	+7.1wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe16…60bebacked Under	39c	38.46$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	97	61.9%60 W · 37 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf574…de82backed Under	53c	38$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.14	40	50%20 W · 20 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3bfc…8eb3backed Under	59c	33.8$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	49	26.5%13 W · 36 L	-10.5wins	-0.21per pick	48cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	34-0.14 edge/pick
0x6664…5b75backed Under	49c	27.18$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.32	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…3107backed Over	54c	25.94$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.94	125	72%90 W · 35 L	+7.1wins	+0.06per pick	66cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under	44c	24.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.96	5,786	43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L	-192.2wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under	56c	24$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.44	2,947	51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L	-34.0wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1ee…0f22backed Under	52c	23$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.96	50	52%26 W · 24 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf15a…c34cbacked Under	51c	22.86$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.63	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe461…c5aebacked Under	50c	22.51$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.26	25	64%16 W · 9 L	+2.4wins	+0.10per pick	54cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Over	71c	20$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.8	499	42.9%214 W · 285 L	-31.5wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x93dd…2f33backed Over	55c	19.91$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.91	44	47.7%21 W · 23 L	-3.0wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Over	55c	18.37$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.25	422	41%173 W · 249 L	-15.9wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over	69c	17.05$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.27	2,995	50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L	-36.0wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Over	65c	15.7$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.48	558	47.7%266 W · 292 L	-11.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5this page
Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White SoxChicago White Sox won
Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 10.5Under won
Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 11.5Under won
Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 5.5Over won
Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 6.5Over won
Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5Under won
Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5Under won
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)Chicago White Sox won
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-3.5)Chicago White Sox won
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)Chicago White Sox won
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-3.5)Chicago White Sox won
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-4.5)Chicago White Sox won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White SoxYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event