TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$373,704

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $373,704 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 254 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3690…78dfbacked Under50c240,266$120,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120,113.69837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-33.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over50c74,384$37,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,300.451,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over50c73,110$36,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,655.161,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over50c34,255$17,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,147.684,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over50c21,109$10,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,485.589,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x650c…0a9fbacked Under7c7,282$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over51c7,167$3,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,513.344,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over54c6,995$3,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,225.81,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Under48c5,385$2,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,584.6139842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6da…14c1backed Under48c5,321$2,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,554.08425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4278…0e92backed Over51c3,881$1,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,901.5641652.2%217 W · 199 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over52c3,846$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,846.157963.3%50 W · 29 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under19c3,588$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.732,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked Over52c2,949$1,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,415.5819958.3%116 W · 83 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7595…50ffbacked Over52c2,925$1,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,393.8311156.8%63 W · 48 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under43c2,923$1,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,268.692,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under37c2,768$1,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,025.63,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Over79c2,496$1,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.3217246.5%80 W · 92 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3717…e6dcbacked Over51c2,204$1,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.879874.5%73 W · 25 L+11.6wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+17.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00012850%64 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ea2…9ad4backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012855.5%71 W · 57 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd599…bf55backed Under52c1,951$1,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,014.1413435.8%48 W · 86 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…bd7abacked Over52c1,923$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.084456.8%25 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Over57c1,917$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821.7526337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under48c1,816$872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871.686,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71da…a213backed Over52c1,814$943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$870.72475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+49.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9171…1518backed Over52c1,765$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847.2475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+49.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf244…d9f7backed Over52c1,742$906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.16425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over50c1,463$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726.962,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over50c1,437$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.063,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcb8…2f90backed Under44c1,361$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6008844.3%39 W · 49 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Under48c1,250$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60018749.2%92 W · 95 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Under48c1,242$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60040451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b2c…dac5backed Over77c1,221$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.2442348.5%205 W · 218 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x973b…a912backed Over50c1,055$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.55947.5%28 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Over49c1,055$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.0354443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over57c1,041$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.553,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over51c1,012$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.071,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51053951.6%278 W · 261 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x662d…d041backed Over51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-36.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa57e…5e2abacked Under49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-28.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Under51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015952.8%84 W · 75 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over76c925.94$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22665872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Over50c891$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.577549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x960e…77d6backed Over50c884$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4423953.8%21 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under20c864.61$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.11,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8aa…81ecbacked Over51c850$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.51844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68a9…e73abacked Under49c816.99$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.3321045.2%95 W · 115 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Under3c790$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.521,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1f3…e4a1backed Over50c753$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.52236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.6wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-34.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x092e…c685backed Over66c752.18$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.46850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddc4…0270backed Under50c660$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33027745.8%127 W · 150 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Under49c657.14$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32232151.7%166 W · 155 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over52c641$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.682,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8c6…9211backed Under49c605$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.4514847.3%70 W · 78 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fbc…8a18backed Over50c602$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3014445.5%20 W · 24 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-18.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb8e…aa15backed Over50c602$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3013938.5%15 W · 24 L-5.2wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-30.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Over50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3009845.9%45 W · 53 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf377…0f0ebacked Under4c600$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-68.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over50c551.21$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.0764844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Under26c542.49$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.2619434.5%67 W · 127 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf469…dcaabacked Over50c542.38$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.1922154.8%121 W · 100 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over50c541$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.571449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9376…c075backed Under48c520.83$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25014156%79 W · 62 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f52…c525backed Over50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25014152.5%74 W · 67 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Over50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25018748.1%90 W · 97 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed Over51c499.99$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2458547.1%40 W · 45 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb6f…2653backed Over49c493.88$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.8816249.4%80 W · 82 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91d5…4ab2backed Under17c472.29$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828043.8%35 W · 45 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over77c412.15$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.361,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6292…d254backed Under49c409.95$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.8820846.6%97 W · 111 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4d9…c125backed Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20020247.5%96 W · 106 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20023850.4%120 W · 118 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20039552.2%206 W · 189 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.6221950.2%110 W · 109 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed Under52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20028554.7%156 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6eaa…9baebacked Over51c379.61$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.0113554.1%73 W · 62 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Over52c353.26$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.0451438.7%199 W · 315 L-29.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over52c344$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.1232450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over51c328.03$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.732,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8c…505fbacked Under50c314.75$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1561145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a0d…82c9backed Over50c302$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1516949.3%34 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60c…d2e2backed Over50c301$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.514145.4%64 W · 77 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under54c299.99$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16224955.8%139 W · 110 L+0.7wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9466…1f15backed Over52c288.46$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.4620847.1%98 W · 110 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Over58c287.23$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.7432952.9%174 W · 155 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Under48c280.24$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.3423651.3%121 W · 115 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Under49c280.08$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13625452.8%134 W · 120 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Over51c254.9$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.923446.2%108 W · 126 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xceb4…c08dbacked Over61c250$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.51457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under39c250$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.52,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x66df…7ea5backed Over50c236$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1189555.8%53 W · 42 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Under43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under48c231.92$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.321,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under35c230.93$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.541,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecd2…38d1backed Over49c219.1$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.742864.3%18 W · 10 L+4.5wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+23.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Under22c200.32$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4421637.5%81 W · 135 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f43…c0c2backed Over51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9823435.9%84 W · 150 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ca4…aa92backed Over51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9811157.7%64 W · 47 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x57e5…e51ebacked Over51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9833360.4%201 W · 132 L+17.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.