NBA · resolved market
Spread: Rockets (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4be1827fce62408826c965b8966ae272a5117b48bb0c75fb1146ab62c67db745
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Rockets, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $477,529
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $477,529 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 254 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Lakers | 51c | 159,504$82,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77,423.78 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b1…968abacked Rockets | 48c | 51,160$24,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,556.74 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Lakers | 50c | 44,231$22,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,076.36 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Rockets | 48c | 44,161$21,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,197.28 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Rockets | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe3…2e27backed Rockets | 50c | 19,000$9,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,500 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Lakers | 53c | 18,455$9,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,673.84 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec1…057cbacked Rockets | 49c | 18,374$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05c4…a4f2backed Rockets | 49c | 18,000$8,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,899.99 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02ac…346fbacked Rockets | 50c | 17,160$8,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,580 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.29per pick | 51cpaid | -61%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe632…4428backed Rockets | 50c | 16,971$8,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,485.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Lakers | 51c | 16,804$8,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,203.86 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0936…6c02backed Lakers | 53c | 16,513$8,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,761.21 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rockets | 48c | 12,380$5,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,887.8 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Rockets | 50c | 11,400$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,700 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa45d…b413backed Lakers | 50c | 9,171$4,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,585.48 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Rockets | 47c | 8,234$3,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,869.98 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7088…8b9bbacked Rockets | 50c | 8,100$4,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,050 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Rockets | 49c | 6,940$3,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400.58 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Rockets | 48c | 6,250$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 259 | 45.6%118 W · 141 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Lakers | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Rockets | 50c | 5,657$2,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,828.4 | 187 | 49.2%92 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed Rockets | 48c | 5,208$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40c2…862abacked Lakers | 51c | 5,183$2,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,539.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Rockets | 47c | 5,131$2,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,436.81 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x326e…6e94backed Rockets | 49c | 5,102$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22f3…90d1backed Rockets | 49c | 4,898$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7916backed Lakers | 51c | 4,804$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,353.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bee…a369backed Lakers | 52c | 4,578$2,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,197.29 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Rockets | 51c | 4,490$2,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,290.3 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…7976backed Lakers | 52c | 4,050$2,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,943.94 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Lakers | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Rockets | 45c | 3,335$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,487.86 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Lakers | 51c | 3,266$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,585.45 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0865…3dffbacked Lakers | 55c | 2,994$1,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344.47 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Lakers | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.18 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6e…84b4backed Rockets | 50c | 2,857$1,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,428.57 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Rockets | 25c | 2,564$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.3 | 263 | 37.3%98 W · 165 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Lakers | 52c | 2,307$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.37 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Lakers | 56c | 2,000$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.73 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Rockets | 48c | 1,627$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.12 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Rockets | 46c | 1,590$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.8 | 205 | 37.1%76 W · 129 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb4…48bebacked Lakers | 59c | 1,460$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.61 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Rockets | 50c | 1,428$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Rockets | 47c | 1,408$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.28 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef99…ef8dbacked Rockets | 50c | 1,399$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.41 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…d0a5backed Lakers | 54c | 1,323$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.53 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91f7…4767backed Lakers | 53c | 1,312$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.6 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Rockets | 52c | 1,277$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.06 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rockets | 23c | 1,248$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.15 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Rockets | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Lakers | 67c | 1,194$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.24 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Rockets | 47c | 1,091$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.89 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3351…4e2dbacked Lakers | 51c | 1,068$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.86 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lakers | 43c | 1,020$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.31 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6292…d254backed Lakers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b97…0d79backed Rockets | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Lakers | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Rockets | 47c | 920.04$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.14 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Rockets | 34c | 821$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.58 | 236 | 30.1%71 W · 165 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36f2…dab4backed Rockets | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Lakers | 51c | 775.44$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.96 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Lakers | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.74 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Rockets | 47c | 712$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.79 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9385…2484backed Rockets | 47c | 668.43$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.16 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Rockets | 46c | 662.2$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.14 | 194 | 34.5%67 W · 127 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Rockets | 26c | 568.13$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b55…cde3backed Lakers | 50c | 560$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2d…a88dbacked Lakers | 51c | 448$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.52 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -7.7wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2b…4090backed Rockets | 46c | 431.47$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +6.1wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca0…68e2backed Rockets | 46c | 428.71$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Lakers | 52c | 415.54$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.46 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Rockets | 47c | 402$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.94 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea93…fe90backed Lakers | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Lakers | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 323 | 47.1%152 W · 171 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb5…6e63backed Lakers | 69c | 351.46$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.95 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a50…3107backed Lakers | 50c | 350$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…46a1backed Rockets | 51c | 350$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9325…adafbacked Rockets | 48c | 343.58$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.92 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Rockets | 47c | 340$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.8 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Lakers | 53c | 339.62$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.62 | 219 | 50.2%110 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…e941backed Rockets | 49c | 338.69$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.61 | 428 | 45.1%193 W · 235 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Rockets | 50c | 334.99$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.8 | 421 | 53%223 W · 198 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Rockets | 51c | 333.33$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Lakers | 50c | 325.66$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.23 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Rockets | 47c | 319.98$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.39 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Lakers | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Rockets | 47c | 297.87$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Rockets | 37c | 283.58$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.78 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Lakers | 44c | 274.22$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.92 | 263 | 53.6%141 W · 122 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Rockets | 50c | 274$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 195 | 48.7%95 W · 100 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Rockets | 47c | 265.96$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Rockets | 33c | 262.99$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.58 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Lakers | 51c | 254.9$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.9 | 234 | 46.2%108 W · 126 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rockets | 46c | 241.65$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.18 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f2…0a1dbacked Rockets | 49c | 240$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.6 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaf…051bbacked Rockets | 36c | 235.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.14 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcbd…6649backed Rockets | 51c | 230$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Rockets | 47c | 224$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.28 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Rockets | 47c | 224$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.28 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rockets (-2.5)this page
- Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Amen Thompson: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Lakers vs. RocketsLakers won
- Lakers vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Lakers vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 221.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5Over won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Luka Dončić: Points O/U 31.5Yes won
- Spread: Rockets (-1.5)Lakers won
- Tari Eason: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.