NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 221.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc68a78ff958bb1c9cd62046228144ec7ba6dda0c10a950acf0bf913931b08c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,224
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,224 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xada5…c2a4backed Over | 59c | 36,700$21,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,005.11 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 46c | 14,062$6,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,514.23 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6798backed Under | 47c | 9,917$4,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,661.11 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 47c | 9,902$4,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,636.01 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 15c | 9,290$1,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,423.19 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under | 15c | 8,560$1,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284.27 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd57d…80d0backed Over | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Under | 17c | 2,892$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.58 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Under | 46c | 2,779$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.28 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 42c | 2,120$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.62 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Over | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.15 | 423 | 48.5%205 W · 218 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 54c | 1,747$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.62 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Under | 46c | 1,100$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.99 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Over | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 52c | 875.07$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.56 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 52c | 692.69$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.49 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9385…2484backed Under | 47c | 679.3$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.27 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 47c | 667.42$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.79 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Over | 52c | 590.47$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.42 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under | 48c | 583.33$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 219 | 50.2%110 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Under | 33c | 550.34$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.17 | 194 | 34.5%67 W · 127 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1349…dc1fbacked Over | 54c | 425.93$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.93 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Under | 15c | 353.76$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.06 | 208 | 37.5%78 W · 130 L | +38.2wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 47c | 297.87$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Under | 48c | 292$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.16 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 18c | 274.77$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.34 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 45c | 243.56$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.54 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64f7…32aabacked Over | 67c | 223.88$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.88 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 53c | 169.02$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.55 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 46c | 150.15$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.07 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 48c | 146$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.08 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Over | 64c | 138.93$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.59 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0b…4db0backed Over | 54c | 131.72$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.59 | 184 | 59.2%109 W · 75 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Over | 60c | 128.86$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.54 | 831 | 58.1%483 W · 348 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 21c | 113.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd754…7857backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Under | 48c | 98.04$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.06 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a4…5e83backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01b3…52debacked Over | 60c | 90.14$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.66 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Over | 47c | 87.07$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.55 | 421 | 53%223 W · 198 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Under | 29c | 76.39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 111 | 28.8%32 W · 79 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Under | 48c | 73$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 340 | 47.1%160 W · 180 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Under | 48c | 73$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6e…6a74backed Over | 53c | 65.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Under | 50c | 64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c75…aad5backed Over | 70c | 62.01$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 50c | 58.14$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Over | 54c | 56.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.03 | 137 | 49.6%68 W · 69 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7492…6568backed Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 319 | 55.2%176 W · 143 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1a…8984backed Under | 40c | 45.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbfb…e01fbacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…9564backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x353f…bdd4backed Over | 54c | 37.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 46c | 36.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e24…b31fbacked Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 143 | 57.3%82 W · 61 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 48c | 35.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 47c | 34.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 32.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 53c | 30.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbd…7d08backed Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c4…d765backed Over | 53c | 28.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 50c | 26.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 407 | 50.6%206 W · 201 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71b1…ac2cbacked Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 243 | 34.2%83 W · 160 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceb4…c08dbacked Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaf…051bbacked Over | 64c | 16.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 221.5this page
- Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Amen Thompson: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Lakers vs. RocketsLakers won
- Lakers vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Lakers vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5Over won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Luka Dončić: Points O/U 31.5Yes won
- Spread: Rockets (-1.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Lakers won
- Tari Eason: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.