NBA · resolved market
Spread: Rockets (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x427bd581311c5783faacf977ff6f2c88f226353885307351dfdd589d47596f9a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Rockets, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $194,031
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $194,031 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Rockets | 51c | 72,392$37,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,011.75 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Lakers | 49c | 21,795$10,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,115.45 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Rockets | 51c | 20,471$10,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,431.24 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c4…a4f2backed Rockets | 53c | 18,000$9,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,619.89 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0936…6c02backed Lakers | 49c | 16,549$8,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,439.98 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Lakers | 49c | 11,612$5,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,922.24 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Lakers | 47c | 8,511$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,510.64 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe3…2e27backed Lakers | 49c | 8,163$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,163.27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Lakers | 49c | 8,102$3,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,132.04 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Rockets | 51c | 7,551$3,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,853.92 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Lakers | 60c | 6,509$3,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,613.9 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Lakers | 47c | 5,851$2,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,095.95 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Rockets | 46c | 5,699$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,649.53 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc920…7914backed Lakers | 48c | 5,208$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,708.33 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Lakers | 49c | 5,084$2,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,592.99 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Lakers | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500.07 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6eb…5402backed Lakers | 49c | 4,998$2,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,549.02 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab65…4a03backed Lakers | 49c | 4,365$2,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,226.29 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f2…b422backed Rockets | 52c | 4,052$2,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,107 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Lakers | 49c | 3,730$1,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,902.21 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Lakers | 46c | 3,222$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740.15 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Rockets | 51c | 3,005$1,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,536.96 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Rockets | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Lakers | 49c | 2,587$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.23 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Lakers | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d61…303dbacked Lakers | 49c | 2,371$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.43 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3d…1b93backed Lakers | 49c | 2,147$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Lakers | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Lakers | 48c | 1,986$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.48 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Rockets | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Rockets | 52c | 1,616$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.81 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rockets | 17c | 1,463$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.74 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Lakers | 49c | 1,229$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.74 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97d3…8acebacked Lakers | 48c | 1,110$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.34 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Rockets | 5c | 999.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 379 | 30.6%116 W · 263 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Lakers | 49c | 989$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.39 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Rockets | 29c | 869.81$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.78 | 194 | 34.5%67 W · 127 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Rockets | 53c | 800$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Rockets | 54c | 788.02$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.53 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lakers | 48c | 676.88$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.01 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Rockets | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 364 | 50.8%185 W · 179 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Lakers | 50c | 526.26$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.13 | 221 | 54.8%121 W · 100 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36f2…dab4backed Lakers | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Rockets | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Rockets | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 165 | 55.8%92 W · 73 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Rockets | 49c | 362.71$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.52 | 421 | 53%223 W · 198 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Lakers | 47c | 353.93$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.6 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Lakers | 50c | 338$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169 | 218 | 43.6%95 W · 123 L | -15.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd62f…4857backed Rockets | 51c | 329.41$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Lakers | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Rockets | 51c | 252$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.52 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Rockets | 54c | 250$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.79 | 619 | 57.5%356 W · 263 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Rockets | 52c | 244.26$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.01 | 234 | 46.2%108 W · 126 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Lakers | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Rockets | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 175 | 51.4%90 W · 85 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Lakers | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 333 | 60.4%201 W · 132 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…0272backed Lakers | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 182 | 33%60 W · 122 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Rockets | 36c | 197.37$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.68 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Lakers | 48c | 190.82$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.23 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Lakers | 48c | 190.81$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.22 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Lakers | 47c | 187.8$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.92 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ce…6509backed Rockets | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Lakers | 47c | 184.49$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.78 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaf…051bbacked Rockets | 45c | 177.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.41 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a43…3898backed Rockets | 29c | 170.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Rockets | 54c | 160.89$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.88 | 220 | 48.6%107 W · 113 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Lakers | 48c | 160.78$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.61 | 293 | 44.4%130 W · 163 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Lakers | 49c | 142.04$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.04 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Lakers | 70c | 139.97$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Rockets | 53c | 137.32$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.78 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Rockets | 54c | 131.48$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Rockets | 46c | 129.93$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.06 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Rockets | 49c | 128.51$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.38 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Lakers | 49c | 121.74$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.74 | 970 | 49.5%480 W · 490 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Rockets | 46c | 120.96$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.18 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Rockets | 52c | 115.17$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.89 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed Lakers | 47c | 106.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Rockets | 25c | 104.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6969…5febbacked Rockets | 52c | 102.73$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f2…0a1dbacked Lakers | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Lakers | 49c | 95$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.45 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef99…ef8dbacked Lakers | 49c | 90.62$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.22 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Rockets | 51c | 87.66$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.82 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2841…3c5abacked Rockets | 46c | 81.73$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.71 | 213 | 49.3%105 W · 108 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…67f5backed Lakers | 65c | 80$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.63 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Rockets | 52c | 69.72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Rockets | 38c | 66.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.07 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Lakers | 47c | 64.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.11 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Rockets | 52c | 59.62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d9…bad0backed Rockets | 54c | 55.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 68 | 64.7%44 W · 24 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Lakers | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +11.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdaec…eaafbacked Lakers | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Rockets | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 533 | 39.6%211 W · 322 L | -39.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Lakers | 50c | 49.39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.49 | 296 | 45.6%135 W · 161 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1349…dc1fbacked Rockets | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f5…0688backed Lakers | 65c | 45.37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac2a…9657backed Rockets | 46c | 43.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x843e…e477backed Rockets | 35c | 43.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3a…250dbacked Lakers | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd815…1cdebacked Lakers | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rockets (-1.5)this page
- Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Amen Thompson: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Lakers vs. RocketsLakers won
- Lakers vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Lakers vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 221.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5Over won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Luka Dončić: Points O/U 31.5Yes won
- Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Lakers won
- Tari Eason: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.