NBA · resolved market

Spread: Rockets (-16.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78df407df50f8e5d298206608e70c539087d8ff49bc8ccb580fe1d74e39e1271

Rebuilt 18 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Wizardsof Rockets, Wizards
Resolved: Mar 3, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $48,783
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $50,180

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,783 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x163e…dc5bbacked Wizards	60c	10,000$6,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,999.98	207	58%120 W · 87 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Rockets	44c	5,201$2,288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,287.67	249	42.2%105 W · 144 L	-9.6wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Wizards	56c	4,999$2,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,199.74	382	51%195 W · 187 L	+8.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Rockets	40c	3,801$1,538 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,538.15	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x686f…ccb1backed Rockets	65c	2,700$1,755 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,755	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+80.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Rockets	46c	1,657$762 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$762.22	583	47%274 W · 309 L	-12.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Wizards	56c	1,586$886 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$700.85	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Rockets	41c	1,287$527 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$526.89	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe137…a117backed Rockets	44c	1,181$519 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$519.45	24	25%6 W · 18 L	-3.8wins	-0.16per pick	41cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Rockets	48c	1,122$538 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$538.01	454	52%236 W · 218 L	+11.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Rockets	49c	1,075$528 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$528.1	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Rockets	46c	1,069$492 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$491.52	171	44.4%76 W · 95 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Rockets	44c	988.61$433 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$432.92	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Rockets	47c	945.19$442 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$441.54	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Wizards	47c	604.33$281 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$323.23	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Wizards	55c	600.98$331 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$270.44	231	47.6%110 W · 121 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Rockets	38c	531.12$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.07	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Wizards	47c	524.66$246 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$278.41	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe30f…f98abacked Rockets	44c	454.33$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.9	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Wizards	64c	410.94$262 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$149.38	1,096	40.9%448 W · 648 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd72f…2806backed Rockets	46c	407.81$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.64	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Wizards	56c	356.14$199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156.7	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Wizards	57c	347.4$199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148.31	911	48.1%438 W · 473 L	-11.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Rockets	44c	340.9$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.8	765	52.9%405 W · 360 L	-2.9wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wizards	56c	332.61$186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.35	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Wizards	54c	322$174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148.12	1,715	44.5%764 W · 951 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe0c4…fe0abacked Rockets	46c	320$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.2	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Rockets	44c	320$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.8	456	46.7%213 W · 243 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbe86…6763backed Wizards	57c	314.7$179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.32	102	43.1%44 W · 58 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e94…4186backed Wizards	55c	300$165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…94e9backed Wizards	56c	299.99$169 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130.93	227	46.3%105 W · 122 L	-8.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Wizards	59c	211.86$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.86	395	52.2%206 W · 189 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Rockets	64c	204.49$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.17	1,522	49.6%755 W · 767 L	+27.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca38…720fbacked Wizards	56c	199.31$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.7	87	57.5%50 W · 37 L	+5.1wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Rockets	43c	199.17$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.34	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Wizards	51c	196.28$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.28	170	51.8%88 W · 82 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Rockets	46c	184.84$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.24	1,633	41.2%672 W · 961 L	+26.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2886…9bb2backed Rockets	40c	180$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	109	45%49 W · 60 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8c…686fbacked Rockets	32c	174.99$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.5	244	9.4%23 W · 221 L	-27.5wins	-0.11per pick	21cpaid	-72.3%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x044a…1acebacked Wizards	60c	166.67$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.67	39	59%23 W · 16 L	+1.8wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Rockets	44c	160$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.4	565	47.8%270 W · 295 L	+9.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Rockets	40c	159.37$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.75	918	46.2%424 W · 494 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Wizards	58c	151.05$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.44	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Rockets	65c	150.2$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.47	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Rockets	43c	139.53$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Wizards	41c	134.36$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.26	1,444	58.1%839 W · 605 L	+13.5wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Rockets	53c	130.43$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.89	903	57%515 W · 388 L	+40.0wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Wizards	47c	128.71$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.71	167	25.7%43 W · 124 L	-12.4wins	-0.07per pick	33cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Wizards	45c	127.06$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.34	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Rockets	44c	113.64$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	930	36.5%339 W · 591 L	-20.2wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Rockets	44c	107.39$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.25	625	41.9%262 W · 363 L	-32.7wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-11%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0dcc…031ebacked Rockets	47c	106.38$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.62	233	49.4%115 W · 118 L	+5.0wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b68…b1ffbacked Rockets	39c	104.57$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.08	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Wizards	58c	103.39$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.42	402	43.8%176 W · 226 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe02f…3d4cbacked Wizards	51c	102.27$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.27	95	45.3%43 W · 52 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-15%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Rockets	47c	100.44$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.24	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1ca…eb95backed Wizards	53c	100$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47	14	71.4%10 W · 4 L	+1.6wins	+0.11per pick	60cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Wizards	60c	96.59$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.5	655	42.9%281 W · 374 L	+17.2wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Rockets	30c	94.82$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.29	111	28.8%32 W · 79 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Rockets	63c	91.59$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.7	520	52.3%272 W · 248 L	+31.4wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+19%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed Wizards	56c	89.29$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.29	127	43.3%55 W · 72 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Rockets	51c	88$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.88	522	42.7%223 W · 299 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Wizards	56c	85.38$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.71	288	42.7%123 W · 165 L	+6.6wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Wizards	41c	82.7$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.2	256	55.5%142 W · 114 L	+10.7wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a25…bb6bbacked Rockets	44c	80$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.2	340	47.1%160 W · 180 L	-10.3wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Rockets	44c	80$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.2	572	50%286 W · 286 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Rockets	57c	79.82$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.47	1,170	50.3%588 W · 582 L	+46.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd150…baddbacked Wizards	61c	78.25$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.52	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.26per pick	41cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Rockets	45c	78.2$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.19	890	50.4%449 W · 441 L	+4.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Wizards	42c	74.04$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.92	301	51.8%156 W · 145 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Rockets	59c	71.23$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.67	766	53.5%410 W · 356 L	+65.5wins	+0.09per pick	45cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Rockets	49c	70$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.12	308	40.9%126 W · 182 L	-5.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5558…f9c4backed Wizards	57c	59.99$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.79	375	49.6%186 W · 189 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93e3…e590backed Rockets	52c	52.33$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.21	64	37.5%24 W · 40 L	-4.3wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Rockets	47c	50.07$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.61	880	57.5%506 W · 374 L	+34.6wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x263c…3ef9backed Wizards	40c	50$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.15	32	31.3%10 W · 22 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Rockets	46c	50$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	661	43.4%287 W · 374 L	-32.6wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ede…6c27backed Rockets	44c	49.99$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	451	51.4%232 W · 219 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x691f…5e69backed Rockets	45c	46$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.7	63	55.6%35 W · 28 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Rockets	41c	45.6$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.54	877	44.7%392 W · 485 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Wizards	42c	45.56$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.49	311	51.1%159 W · 152 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Rockets	51c	44.94$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.88	2,468	50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L	+38.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b9e…0db0backed Wizards	57c	43.86$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.86	72	45.8%33 W · 39 L	-4.0wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed Rockets	53c	43.73$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.15	156	63.5%99 W · 57 L	+10.9wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x02f4…4effbacked Rockets	39c	40.61$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.84	119	49.6%59 W · 60 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9952…ceb2backed Rockets	40c	39.25$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.6	71	59.2%42 W · 29 L	+5.2wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Rockets	42c	37$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.54	464	47.8%222 W · 242 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddbd…e738backed Rockets	44c	36.34$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.99	74	43.2%32 W · 42 L	-4.5wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9572…ea8ebacked Wizards	56c	36.22$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.96	79	60.8%48 W · 31 L	+8.2wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Rockets	44c	34$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.96	620	49%304 W · 316 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Wizards	46c	31.2$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.87	100	28%28 W · 72 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Wizards	69c	30$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.3	224	56.3%126 W · 98 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3108…8a52backed Wizards	63c	28.58$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.59	53	45.3%24 W · 29 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Rockets	38c	27.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.66	1,283	23.4%300 W · 983 L	-178.2wins	-0.14per pick	37cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0xc869…bc8dbacked Wizards	57c	26.32$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.32	96	42.7%41 W · 55 L	-9.4wins	-0.10per pick	52cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Wizards	52c	25.75$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.36	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6436…aa37backed Rockets	52c	25.65$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.34	68	41.2%28 W · 40 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5d0…1a0fbacked Wizards	56c	23.02$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.13	28	60.7%17 W · 11 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	57cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked Wizards	54c	22.83$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.5	163	69.9%114 W · 49 L	+18.6wins	+0.11per pick	59cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0bf2…fa7bbacked Wizards	54c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.2	24	58.3%14 W · 10 L	+1.4wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Rockets (-16.5)this page
Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 5.5No won
Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Amen Thompson: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
Kevin Durant: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
Kyshawn George: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Kyshawn George: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
Reed Sheppard: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Reed Sheppard: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
Reed Sheppard: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
Rockets vs. WizardsRockets won
Rockets vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineRockets won
Rockets vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
Rockets vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
Rockets vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
Rockets vs. Wizards: O/U 221.5Over won
Rockets vs. Wizards: O/U 222.5Over won
Rockets vs. Wizards: O/U 223.5Over won
Rockets vs. Wizards: O/U 224.5Over won
Rockets vs. Wizards: O/U 225.5Over won
Spread: Rockets (-14.5)Wizards won
Spread: Rockets (-15.5)Wizards won
Tristan Vukcevic: Points O/U 10.5No won
Tristan Vukcevic: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Rockets (-16.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event