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NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 108.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,748
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,909

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,748 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 8 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x01b4…372ebacked Over2c784.42$16 inWon+$768.7329810.4%31 W · 267 L+22.5wins+0.08per pick3cpaid+230.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcb2e…038bbacked Over27c300$81 inWon+$2191172.7%8 W · 3 L+6.9wins+0.63per pick10cpaid+936.1%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0xa839…6f8cbacked Under45c73.08$33 inLost-$32.891338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under42c43.25$18 inLost-$18.252,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf392…bb0dbacked Over55c38.03$21 inWon+$17.111861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb342…cc01backed Over55c35.05$19 inWon+$15.771741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1093…d547backed Over58c34.48$20 inWon+$14.489768%66 W · 31 L+9.5wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+10.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under43c24$10 inLost-$10.363,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.