TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Wizards: O/U 221.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$39,220
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$48,950

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,220 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Under44c12,096$5,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,309.784,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over56c2,930$1,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,289.173,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Over56c2,814$1,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,228.7540243.8%176 W · 226 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Over62c1,830$1,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.81,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Over57c1,760$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.3534855.2%192 W · 156 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under42c1,484$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.593,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7100…b346backed Over62c1,351$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.0920147.8%96 W · 105 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over61c899.1$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.162,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under43c749.02$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.8843542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over57c692.69$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.513,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x789e…cf5ebacked Over62c644.9$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.9475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+27.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c39…20eebacked Under42c581.66$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.335843.6%156 W · 202 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Over50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25027052.6%142 W · 128 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over75c469.99$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.1941556.9%236 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under39c439.17$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.064,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under49c426.91$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.392,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under42c308.49$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.914,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a43…1405backed Over57c270$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.12572%18 W · 7 L+3.8wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+22.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Over57c248.15$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.7126048.1%125 W · 135 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf11b…3fe3backed Over53c210$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$986056.7%34 W · 26 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a32…9875backed Over56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Under16c200$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60c2…8052backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10015347.1%72 W · 81 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Over58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8469049.4%341 W · 349 L-30.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under50c195.58$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.739,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6684…2985backed Over52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.317545.3%34 W · 41 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Over57c188$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.5665542.9%281 W · 374 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under42c180.85$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.752,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Under22c172.13$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4417844.4%79 W · 99 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Over62c161.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.7772250.6%365 W · 357 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1155…2315backed Over80c158$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.622170.6%156 W · 65 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under40c150$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Under38c138$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.9528842.7%123 W · 165 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Under44c132.25$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.4345452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Over60c125.33$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.1330641.8%128 W · 178 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over55c121.87$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.063,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c0…fb99backed Under42c110.23$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.71656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86a8…d0e7backed Over59c110.17$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.1710955%60 W · 49 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bee…aa9ebacked Over61c108.58$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.351540%6 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over59c107.47$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.728,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Over61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3928056.8%159 W · 121 L+22.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+50.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4d8…19c5backed Over60c99.66$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.6624358%141 W · 102 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Under51c95$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0230840.9%126 W · 182 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Over56c92.72$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.6541052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c54…7e41backed Under41c90.24$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378158%47 W · 34 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef93…9f0dbacked Under40c80.85$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.341650%8 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over52c80.63$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.613,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fc6…7affbacked Over61c65.81$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.811225%3 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-57.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x77a3…d2aebacked Over58c60.34$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.34966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+22.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa771…c2c1backed Over57c52.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.631040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-29%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6894…59d8backed Over51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.524645.9%113 W · 133 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c02…ca9cbacked Over61c49.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3108…8a52backed Under50c47.23$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.595345.3%24 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fbb…727fbacked Under41c46.7$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1514448.6%70 W · 74 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Over57c46$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7841354%223 W · 190 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdadd…a12dbacked Under41c44.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.457150.7%36 W · 35 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Over58c44$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4852052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x44e4…f624backed Over59c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.48048.8%39 W · 41 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c3c…cf9cbacked Over55c36.11$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.112744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Under37c35.84$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2311128.8%32 W · 79 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-19.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under43c35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0562049%304 W · 316 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Over57c34.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0542551.3%218 W · 207 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Under41c33.57$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7641050.7%208 W · 202 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a1f…0568backed Over60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.331942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3f9…0975backed Under43c32.56$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144231%13 W · 29 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-30.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdea5…c77bbacked Over66c31.5$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.591752.9%9 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick65cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf755…8e37backed Over65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.773860.5%23 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x07dd…0876backed Over58c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.69849%48 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Under43c29$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4721937%81 W · 138 L-15.9wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9140…17e0backed Over60c28.34$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.341643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc87d…6f31backed Over60c27.37$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.951747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf93d…49e4backed Over60c25.34$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.141338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-27.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ed8…0e99backed Over58c23.61$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9245653.5%244 W · 212 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b67…e889backed Over61c20.21$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8810951.4%56 W · 53 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7079…ffb1backed Over59c18.64$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.645637.5%21 W · 35 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x994d…7ff0backed Over59c17.8$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.35240.4%21 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.