NBA · resolved market
Kyshawn George: Assists O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x249552c94a6c252a9a8cf72cdee33f507042f0460cf449929ca3936a15722f36
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,898
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,904
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,898 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed Yes | 32c | 1,337$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.18 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…9723backed No | 68c | 799.99$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256 | 260 | 69.2%180 W · 80 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 66c | 599.98$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.99 | 908 | 63.9%580 W · 328 L | +80.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Yes | 34c | 375.69$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.5 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 67c | 355$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.53 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed No | 42c | 330.14$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.48 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 69c | 307.23$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.24 | 288 | 42.7%123 W · 165 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d3…bd58backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -5.5wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9c…e966backed Yes | 58c | 208.62$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 145 | 47.6%69 W · 76 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…ce87backed Yes | 58c | 172.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ea…4847backed Yes | 31c | 95.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd70…f5febacked Yes | 32c | 70.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Yes | 34c | 50.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 244 | 28.7%70 W · 174 L | -22.4wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe15f…93d7backed No | 67c | 49.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 216 | 72.2%156 W · 60 L | +28.6wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x345d…4e41backed No | 67c | 48.96$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 92 | 67.4%62 W · 30 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…c1d3backed No | 60c | 46.04$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 227 | 74.4%169 W · 58 L | +22.5wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…8cc1backed No | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 1,084 | 42.4%460 W · 624 L | -48.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked No | 73c | 26.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked No | 73c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 328 | 66.5%218 W · 110 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kyshawn George: Assists O/U 2.5this page
- Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Amen Thompson: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Kyshawn George: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Reed Sheppard: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Reed Sheppard: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Reed Sheppard: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Rockets vs. WizardsRockets won
- Rockets vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Rockets vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Wizards: O/U 221.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Wizards: O/U 222.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Wizards: O/U 223.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Wizards: O/U 224.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Wizards: O/U 225.5Over won
- Spread: Rockets (-14.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Rockets (-15.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Rockets (-16.5)Wizards won
- Tristan Vukcevic: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Tristan Vukcevic: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.