NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Wizards: O/U 222.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2c1fc036e431c9d4e48bc9f4f4f6d465e8eaa70a0583f2e77bc00329b4e798d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,559
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,092
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,559 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under | 44c | 21,262$9,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,457.65 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 56c | 9,783$5,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,348.33 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 44c | 5,447$2,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,417.66 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…aaf9backed Over | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over | 57c | 3,772$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,622.25 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 56c | 2,780$1,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.18 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 48c | 2,323$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.81 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Over | 58c | 2,032$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.2 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 56c | 1,505$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.4 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 57c | 1,476$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.68 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Under | 43c | 1,234$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.62 | 214 | 46.7%100 W · 114 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864d…2910backed Under | 45c | 725$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 53c | 535.33$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.61 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 55c | 475$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.75 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Over | 53c | 451.36$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.58 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 56c | 405.93$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.61 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa3…b74bbacked Over | 55c | 392$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…20eebacked Under | 44c | 371.53$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.47 | 358 | 43.6%156 W · 202 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 47c | 336.11$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.97 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d75…2fc8backed Over | 55c | 333$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Under | 44c | 320$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.8 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18b2…9141backed Over | 58c | 211.4$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.79 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 56c | 183.6$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Over | 56c | 160.71$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.71 | 563 | 52%293 W · 270 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 44c | 160$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Over | 53c | 142$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.74 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 43c | 139.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Over | 57c | 120$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 306 | 41.8%128 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 55c | 118.96$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.54 | 288 | 42.7%123 W · 165 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 47c | 118.31$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.61 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 52c | 117.98$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.73 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 243 | 58%141 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…6f56backed Over | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Over | 57c | 95.16$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.73 | 301 | 51.8%156 W · 145 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Over | 57c | 94.34$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.65 | 256 | 55.5%142 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Under | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 340 | 47.1%160 W · 180 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Under | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over | 55c | 75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 47c | 51.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.97 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Over | 55c | 41.21$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 57c | 27.55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Over | 62c | 25.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…c67dbacked Over | 56c | 23.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Over | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Over | 57c | 19.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 533 | 49.3%263 W · 270 L | -28.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Over | 55c | 18.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockets vs. Wizards: O/U 222.5this page
- Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Amen Thompson: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Kyshawn George: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Kyshawn George: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Reed Sheppard: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Reed Sheppard: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Reed Sheppard: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Rockets vs. WizardsRockets won
- Rockets vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Rockets vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Wizards: O/U 221.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Wizards: O/U 223.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Wizards: O/U 224.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Wizards: O/U 225.5Over won
- Spread: Rockets (-14.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Rockets (-15.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Rockets (-16.5)Wizards won
- Tristan Vukcevic: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Tristan Vukcevic: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.