TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Wizards: O/U 224.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$205,685
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$220,551

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $205,685 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 237 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under49c63,394$31,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,245.4243542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Over53c33,632$17,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,905.9987451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaccb…61dcbacked Over51c16,300$8,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,986.953171%22 W · 9 L+5.1wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+33.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over51c11,420$5,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,608.699,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over53c6,096$3,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,847.53,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over59c5,802$3,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,390.312,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under47c5,740$2,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,686.594,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over50c5,078$2,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,553.132,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Under47c5,000$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,35038251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Under49c4,602$2,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,254.8922648.2%109 W · 117 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under48c3,813$1,847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,846.884,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed Over53c3,628$1,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,705.119954.8%109 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6f8…fe4dbacked Under52c2,400$1,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2481338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over51c2,386$1,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,169.343,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over51c2,319$1,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.126,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Over63c2,251$1,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8381,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd248…0ceebacked Over48c2,101$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,092.521450%7 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf312…184dbacked Under52c2,002$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,041.042040%8 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec4…6529backed Over53c1,690$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.168751.7%45 W · 42 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over50c1,669$837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831.394,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over50c1,368$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.393,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf092…f999backed Over48c1,250$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6501428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-42.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed Under47c1,234$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.9821446.7%100 W · 114 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over50c1,017$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.15,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under44c1,001$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.048,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Under51c988.08$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50050954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Under51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50035942.1%151 W · 208 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2aa…6be4backed Over48c951$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.521464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+25.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x72ba…fa25backed Over48c898$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.961650%8 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Over51c885.1$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.751146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over52c824.5$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.7626753.2%142 W · 125 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Over51c752.23$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.928842.7%123 W · 165 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Under52c724.39$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.0721852.8%115 W · 103 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76dd…69d2backed Over49c700$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3571100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b3…2336backed Over50c696$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81a9…e555backed Under50c686$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f60…e370backed Under50c662$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1312…225ebacked Over49c660$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95d0…0aaebacked Under51c660$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa619…79e8backed Over49c660$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa79…00d8backed Over49c660$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91b8…ebcdbacked Under50c658$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67a3…4bebbacked Over49c654$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.54366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9007…5712backed Under51c640$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.4450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x712d…b780backed Under51c630$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9fb…387fbacked Under50c623$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.550%0 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1126…16b1backed Over50c619$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x079b…ed8cbacked Over50c618$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+25.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa130…fb09backed Under51c610$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c3e…c9bcbacked Over50c608$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3042100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd43a…7d99backed Under50c608$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb832…a589backed Under50c607$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7110…0372backed Under51c603$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.53540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6d1…109bbacked Under52c600$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3121637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e93…5e11backed Over49c600$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d4…572abacked Over50c598$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+46.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd419…4be1backed Over50c591$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28d9…f2d9backed Under51c590$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19e3…ab58backed Over49c590$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8479backed Under50c588$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe12d…56aebacked Over49c580$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb696…adadbacked Under50c577$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over63c575.84$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.883,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa86a…fe15backed Under51c575$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b78…b772backed Under50c572$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cb2…1f1bbacked Over50c572$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2862100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9911…cc64backed Under50c564$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2be4…2695backed Over49c560$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1a1…db34backed Over50c559$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x359c…11d4backed Under50c557$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66ff…f3f7backed Over49c554$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.54560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2f1…8516backed Over50c552$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2762100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9917…6e80backed Under50c551$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.560%0 W · 6 L-2.9wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x3588…2e67backed Under51c550$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6600…5f6bbacked Under51c550$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1222…0496backed Under50c550$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48d2…687cbacked Under50c546$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…1f6abacked Over49c545$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1cf…b4c8backed Under50c536$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Under50c535.64$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26647651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Under54c531.11$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.4918650%93 W · 93 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd60e…0a42backed Under51c530$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab37…d4e5backed Over50c530$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-60%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1096…d476backed Under51c530$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+43.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x994b…76a9backed Over50c528$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2642100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa4b…62e2backed Over50c528$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2641100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6436…b49abacked Under50c526$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x583b…a12abacked Over50c526$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd9e…1d50backed Over50c525$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5193…985abacked Over50c524$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca00…f2e8backed Under50c522$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cd8…0d53backed Over50c520$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc932…1a2ebacked Over50c514$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2572100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0f0…a51ebacked Over50c510$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2552100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Under50c508.98$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.8651354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa847…aaecbacked Over50c501$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07a0…7a80backed Over66c494.89$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.382763%17 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6e2…fa63backed Under50c493$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15df…ff29backed Under50c491$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+22.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7a7…eb80backed Over50c490$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+39.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.