TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Tristan Vukcevic: Rebounds O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,489
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,144

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,489 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x373a…f4c1backed No69c551.37$380 inWon+$170.9390863.9%580 W · 328 L+80.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+20.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x05e0…e2cbbacked Yes31c485.55$151 inLost-$150.527153.5%38 W · 33 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b45…9723backed No69c455.55$314 inWon+$141.2226069.2%180 W · 80 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3d3…bd58backed Yes31c335.48$104 inLost-$1043727%10 W · 27 L-5.5wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-36.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1f45…2347backed No80c150.87$121 inWon+$30.3528100%28 W · 0 L+9.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+50.4%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked Yes31c79.85$25 inLost-$24.6824428.7%70 W · 174 L-22.4wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-30.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcaed…37d5backed Yes30c79$24 inLost-$23.71729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb8c…db83backed Yes30c70$21 inLost-$21825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98e3…daeebacked Yes49c63$31 inLost-$30.7320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No70c60$42 inWon+$184,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed No70c50$35 inWon+$1595260.2%573 W · 379 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed No70c39$27 inWon+$11.728842.7%123 W · 165 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x566b…bcbbbacked Yes31c37.29$11 inLost-$11.5728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-39%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdda2…4375backed Yes31c33.3$10 inLost-$10.252544%11 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabdd…2d96backed No69c30$21 inWon+$9.360267.3%405 W · 197 L+46.2wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+11.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x345d…4e41backed No70c20.48$14 inWon+$6.149267.4%62 W · 30 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.