TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Wizards: 1H Moneyline

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Rocketsof Rockets, Wizards
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$20,281
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$26,270

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,281 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Wizards17c3,025$527 inLost-$527.355,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd43…88d7backed Wizards24c1,457$350 inLost-$35090%0 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Wizards15c1,339$201 inLost-$200.832,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Wizards29c1,184$346 inLost-$346.431,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Wizards17c797.43$135 inLost-$134.5248956.4%276 W · 213 L+31.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb178…1fa0backed Rockets63c635.5$400 inWon+$235.53444.1%15 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Wizards6c619.63$34 inLost-$34.3254549.5%270 W · 275 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x766a…d805backed Rockets77c373.48$288 inWon+$85.9475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick76cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa924…b1b9backed Wizards16c212.5$34 inLost-$3414636.3%53 W · 93 L+16.4wins+0.11per pick25cpaid+58.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6528…2dcebacked Rockets80c185.91$148 inWon+$37.777766.2%51 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa288…8a1dbacked Rockets64c104.17$67 inWon+$37.323046.7%14 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed Wizards45c100$45 inLost-$4512743.3%55 W · 72 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Wizards15c90$14 inLost-$13.52,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Wizards38c79.51$30 inLost-$30.211,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Wizards27c63.25$17 inLost-$17.0437845%170 W · 208 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2366…1078backed Rockets62c61.29$38 inWon+$23.2956352%293 W · 270 L+22.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ac1…3afebacked Wizards28c42.98$12 inLost-$122236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Rockets57c40$23 inWon+$17.288057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Rockets57c30$17 inWon+$12.990357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8af5…cd81backed Rockets63c23.81$15 inWon+$8.811770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf520…f05dbacked Rockets63c19.65$12 inWon+$7.27580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+53.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.