TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Rockets (-15.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Wizardsof Rockets, Wizards
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$227,774
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$282,367

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $227,774 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 293 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Wizards56c47,436$26,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,710.5236549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Rockets45c16,137$7,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,186.539,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Wizards41c13,063$5,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,712.744,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Wizards52c10,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,80048343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Rockets58c8,638$5,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,013.411,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Rockets46c8,072$3,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,708.844,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Rockets48c7,277$3,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,456.784,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Rockets56c5,862$3,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,254.6340243.8%176 W · 226 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Rockets51c4,851$2,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,480.162,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Rockets45c3,887$1,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,730.126,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa491…3177backed Wizards51c3,329$1,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,631.195959.3%35 W · 24 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Wizards54c3,296$1,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,516.326648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Rockets44c2,724$1,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,187.782,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29cc…3c29backed Rockets45c2,627$1,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1823857.9%22 W · 16 L+4.4wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+27.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Rockets49c2,613$1,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,279.418,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Rockets42c2,009$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.685,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Wizards51c1,951$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$950.6250954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Rockets54c1,800$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97252052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Wizards52c1,510$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.1228842.7%123 W · 165 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Rockets56c1,493$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837.983,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec4…6529backed Wizards55c1,455$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.558751.7%45 W · 42 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rockets45c1,360$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.72,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Rockets43c1,302$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.862,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Rockets46c1,210$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.483,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6292…d254backed Rockets46c1,100$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50620846.6%97 W · 111 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Rockets47c1,063$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.992,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Rockets47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47062948.6%306 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Wizards52c961.53$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.531,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Rockets51c902.03$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.0461747.8%295 W · 322 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Rockets48c893.92$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.081,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Wizards54c866$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.3654443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Rockets45c807.04$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.171,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Wizards53c799.92$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.763,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ca9…d946backed Wizards51c784.41$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.413748.6%18 W · 19 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-17.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x21a3…8278backed Rockets47c783.96$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.463351.5%17 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8aae…f789backed Wizards50c710$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+56.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xea9f…6e60backed Rockets51c710$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.1250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7897…f2e7backed Rockets50c696$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7299…88febacked Wizards49c696$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08ce…0c54backed Wizards50c694$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3471100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65c1…a47ebacked Rockets50c690$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea17…a55dbacked Rockets50c686$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1308…0d17backed Wizards50c686$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3432100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x328f…692abacked Wizards50c684$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+51%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3fa1…14a0backed Wizards49c678$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x319f…5432backed Wizards50c678$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+29.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa741…1f1ebacked Wizards50c678$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x445b…41f1backed Wizards49c672$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x779c…bf82backed Rockets51c670$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.730%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x979e…6c9fbacked Rockets50c667$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6799…645dbacked Wizards50c664$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3322100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x779a…035dbacked Wizards50c662$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x608b…6c2bbacked Wizards50c662$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c6d…d798backed Wizards50c654$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68b4…c42ebacked Rockets50c652$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fca…1ef1backed Rockets50c650.54$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0617…1b22backed Wizards49c646.59$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33d5…614abacked Rockets50c646$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89a7…a223backed Rockets50c644$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e14…1587backed Wizards50c644$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa520…2df0backed Rockets50c644$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf88c…adbebacked Rockets50c636$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f30…ac7fbacked Wizards49c636$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadf3…58cdbacked Rockets51c635$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.8520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9688…4336backed Wizards49c634$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50c3…92acbacked Rockets51c634$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x344a…0fa9backed Wizards49c634$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2ee…bde6backed Wizards50c630$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6325…c0f9backed Wizards49c628$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdc3…e435backed Wizards49c624$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c53…4522backed Wizards50c624$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d2b…effbbacked Rockets46c623.13$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.641450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe57d…f805backed Rockets50c620$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd21…b486backed Rockets51c620$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cb0…9a6cbacked Rockets46c618.57$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.681435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-38.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x986e…21aabacked Rockets50c616$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfba1…7893backed Rockets50c614$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50f4…29a3backed Rockets51c613$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Rockets49c612.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d8f…45b1backed Rockets50c610$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda09…6b90backed Wizards49c610$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6035…bb29backed Rockets50c608$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00f5…7b42backed Rockets46c607.37$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.393043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2039…b42ebacked Rockets51c600$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x284a…8c6fbacked Wizards50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3004100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0a01…b169backed Wizards49c593$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7d5…ce08backed Wizards50c592$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+53.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x55e8…8762backed Rockets50c592$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15d0…1550backed Wizards50c592$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c21…bc3ebacked Rockets50c591$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb649…de4bbacked Wizards49c588$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7859…bc6dbacked Rockets51c585$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d25…3112backed Rockets50c585$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x439a…a2e6backed Wizards50c580$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2901100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf379…a60fbacked Wizards50c579$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22a7…fde7backed Wizards50c578$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2891100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e5e…b76fbacked Wizards50c571$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x650e…caccbacked Rockets51c570$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44d7…23efbacked Wizards50c570$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Rockets56c569.76$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.365542.9%281 W · 374 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.